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Determinants of credit to households: An approach using the life-cycle model

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  • Rubaszek, Michał
  • Serwa, Dobromił

Abstract

This paper applies a life-cycle model with individual income uncertainty in order to investigate the determinants of credit to households. We show that the household credit to GDP ratio depends on the lending-deposit interest rate spread, individual income uncertainty, and individual income persistence. We subsequently provide empirical evidence for the prediction of a theoretical model on the basis of data from OECD and EU countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Rubaszek, Michał & Serwa, Dobromił, 2014. "Determinants of credit to households: An approach using the life-cycle model," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 572-587.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecosys:v:38:y:2014:i:4:p:572-587
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2014.05.004
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    2. José Alves & Rita Pereira, 2017. "The Portuguese Households' Indebtedness," Working Papers Department of Economics 2017/07, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, Department of Economics, Universidade de Lisboa.
    3. Kim, Hyeongjun & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2018. "An empirical study on credit card loan delinquency," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(3), pages 437-449.
    4. Stockhammer, Engelbert & Wildauer, Rafael, 2018. "Expenditure Cascades, Low Interest Rates or Property Booms? Determinants of Household Debt in OECD Countries," Review of Behavioral Economics, now publishers, vol. 5(2), pages 85-121, September.
    5. Piotr Bolibok, 2018. "The Macroeconomic Drivers Of Household Debt-To-Income Ratio: An Evidence Frome The Oecd Countries," Copernican Journal of Finance & Accounting, Uniwersytet Mikolaja Kopernika, vol. 7(2), pages 29-41.
    6. Mariarosaria Comunale & Markus Eller & Mathias Lahnsteiner, 2020. "Assessing credit gaps in CESEE based on levels justified by fundamentals – a comparison across different estimation approaches," Bank of Lithuania Working Paper Series 74, Bank of Lithuania.
    7. Berrak Bahadir & Neven Valev, 2021. "Credit information sharing and the shift in bank lending towards households," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(1), pages 60-72, January.
    8. Nigmonov, Asror & Shams, Syed & Alam, Khorshed, 2022. "Macroeconomic determinants of loan defaults: Evidence from the U.S. peer-to-peer lending market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    9. Andreea Maura Bobiceanu & Ioana Georgiana Fä‚Rcaè˜ & Andreea Maria Pece, 2022. "Covid Crisis Effects On Lending In The Romanian Banking Marke," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 30, pages 39-52, December.
    10. Massimiliano Affinito & Raffaele Santioni & Luca Tomassetti, 2023. "Inside household debt: disentangling mortgages and consumer credit, and household and bank factors. Evidence from Italy," Questioni di Economia e Finanza (Occasional Papers) 788, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    11. José Ricardo Borges Alves & Rita Maria Henriques Pereira, 2020. "The indebtedness of households up until the economic adjustment programme for Portugal: an empirical assessment," Public Sector Economics, Institute of Public Finance, vol. 44(4), pages 529-550.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Household credit; Life-cycle economies; Banking sector;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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