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Local GMM estimation of time series models with conditional moment restrictions

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  • Gospodinov, Nikolay
  • Otsu, Taisuke

Abstract

This paper investigates statistical properties of the local generalized method of moments (LGMM) estimator for some time series models defined by conditional moment restrictions. First, we consider Markov processes with possible conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown forms and establish the consistency, asymptotic normality, and semi-parametric efficiency of the LGMM estimator. Second, we undertake a higher-order asymptotic expansion and demonstrate that the LGMM estimator possesses some appealing bias reduction properties for positively autocorrelated processes. Our analysis of the asymptotic expansion of the LGMM estimator reveals an interesting contrast with the OLS estimator that helps to shed light on the nature of the bias correction performed by the LGMM estimator. The practical importance of these findings is evaluated in terms of a bond and option pricing exercise based on a diffusion model for spot interest rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Gospodinov, Nikolay & Otsu, Taisuke, 2012. "Local GMM estimation of time series models with conditional moment restrictions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 170(2), pages 476-490.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:170:y:2012:i:2:p:476-490
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jeconom.2012.05.017
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    Cited by:

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    3. Raymond Kan & Cesare Robotti, 0. "Comment on: Pseudo-True SDFs in Conditional Asset Pricing Models," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 18(4), pages 729-735.
    4. Liyuan Cui & Guanhao Feng & Yongmiao Hong, 2024. "Regularized Gmm For Time‐Varying Models With Applications To Asset Pricing," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 65(2), pages 851-883, May.
    5. Chambers, Marcus J., 2013. "Jackknife estimation of stationary autoregressive models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 172(1), pages 142-157.
    6. Crudu, Federico & Sándor, Zsolt, 2011. "On the finite-sample properties of conditional empirical likelihood estimators," MPRA Paper 34116, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Zhentao Shi & Huanhuan Zheng, 2018. "Structural estimation of behavioral heterogeneity," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(5), pages 690-707, August.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Conditional moment restriction; Local GMM; Higher-order expansion; Conditional heteroskedasticity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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