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Climate change impact assessment—A simulation experiment with Norway spruce for a forest district in Central Europe

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  • Thiele, Jan C.
  • Nuske, Robert S.
  • Ahrends, Bernd
  • Panferov, Oleg
  • Albert, Matthias
  • Staupendahl, Kai
  • Junghans, Udo
  • Jansen, Martin
  • Saborowski, Joachim

Abstract

Projected climate change implies that site conditions can no longer be expected to remain constant over a tree’s lifetime. The fast and complex changes in site characteristics and growth patterns diminish the value of traditional knowledge and profoundly alter the conditions of forest management. One way to tackle the inherent uncertainties are simulation studies addressing these new dynamics and mechanisms. The aim of this study is to present such a simulation model system comprising various established and validated process-based and statistical models assessing the complex and dynamic response of a forest stand to climate change.

Suggested Citation

  • Thiele, Jan C. & Nuske, Robert S. & Ahrends, Bernd & Panferov, Oleg & Albert, Matthias & Staupendahl, Kai & Junghans, Udo & Jansen, Martin & Saborowski, Joachim, 2017. "Climate change impact assessment—A simulation experiment with Norway spruce for a forest district in Central Europe," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 346(C), pages 30-47.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:346:y:2017:i:c:p:30-47
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2016.11.013
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    1. Marjan Goodarzi & Mehdi Pourhashemi & Zahra Azizi, 2019. "Investigation on Zagros forests cover changes under the recent droughts using satellite imagery," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 65(1), pages 9-17.
    2. Fuchs, Jasper M. & v. Bodelschwingh, Hilmar & Lange, Alexander & Paul, Carola & Husmann, Kai, 2022. "Quantifying the consequences of disturbances on wood revenues with Impulse Response Functions," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).

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