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SIBBORK: A new spatially-explicit gap model for boreal forest

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  • Brazhnik, Ksenia
  • Shugart, H.H.

Abstract

Climate change is altering forests globally, some in ways that may promote further warming at the regional and even continental scales. In order to predict how forest ecosystems might adapt to a changing climate, it is important to understand the resilience and vulnerabilities that each species within that current ecosystem might have to a modified future environment. Complex systems that occupy large spatial domains and change slowly, on the order of decades to centuries, do not lend themselves easily to direct observation. A simulation model is often the more appropriate and attainable approach toward understanding the inner workings of large, slow-changing systems, and how they may change with imposed perturbations. We report on a new, spatially-explicit dynamic vegetation model SIBBORK developed for the purpose of investigating the effects of climatological changes on the long-term dynamics, structure and composition of the Siberian boreal forest.

Suggested Citation

  • Brazhnik, Ksenia & Shugart, H.H., 2016. "SIBBORK: A new spatially-explicit gap model for boreal forest," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 320(C), pages 182-196.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:320:y:2016:i:c:p:182-196
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.09.016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Peter M. Cox & Richard A. Betts & Chris D. Jones & Steven A. Spall & Ian J. Totterdell, 2000. "Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model," Nature, Nature, vol. 408(6809), pages 184-187, November.
    2. Holm, Jennifer A. & Shugart, H.H. & Van Bloem, S.J. & Larocque, G.R., 2012. "Gap model development, validation, and application to succession of secondary subtropical dry forests of Puerto Rico," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 233(C), pages 70-82.
    3. Larocque, Guy R. & Archambault, Louis & Delisle, Claude, 2011. "Development of the gap model ZELIG-CFS to predict the dynamics of North American mixed forest types with complex structures," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(14), pages 2570-2583.
    4. Richard A. Betts, 2000. "Offset of the potential carbon sink from boreal forestation by decreases in surface albedo," Nature, Nature, vol. 408(6809), pages 187-190, November.
    5. Peter M. Cox & Richard A. Betts & Chris D. Jones & Steven A. Spall & Ian J. Totterdell, 2000. "Erratum: Acceleration of global warming due to carbon-cycle feedbacks in a coupled climate model," Nature, Nature, vol. 408(6813), pages 750-750, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Kruse, Stefan & Wieczorek, Mareike & Jeltsch, Florian & Herzschuh, Ulrike, 2016. "Treeline dynamics in Siberia under changing climates as inferred from an individual-based model for Larix," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 338(C), pages 101-121.
    2. Nakagawa, Yoshiaki & Yokozawa, Masayuki & Ito, Akihiko & Hara, Toshihiko, 2017. "Effectively tuning plant growth models with different spatial complexity: A statistical perspective," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 361(C), pages 95-112.
    3. Luca Fraccascia & Ilaria Giannoccaro & Vito Albino, 2018. "Resilience of Complex Systems: State of the Art and Directions for Future Research," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2018, pages 1-44, August.
    4. Brazhnik, Ksenia & Shugart, H.H., 2017. "Model sensitivity to spatial resolution and explicit light representation for simulation of boreal forests in complex terrain," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 352(C), pages 90-107.

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