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Modeling the dynamics of mosquito breeding sites vs rainfall in Barkedji area, Senegal

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  • Bicout, Dominique J.
  • Vautrin, Mathias
  • Vignolles, Cecile
  • Sabatier, Philippe

Abstract

Mosquito-borne diseases like Rift Valley Fever and Malaria that cause serious health threat to human and livestock populations are known to correlate with the tremendous increase of associated mosquito vectors following periods of widespread and heavy rainfall. In the Barkedji area, Senegal, rainfall occur only during the July–October wet season, and mosquito breeding sites are provided by relatively small temporary ponds, which account for the vast majority of the water surfaces during the rainy season. Given that rain fed ponds play a key role in the epidemiology of the mosquito-borne diseases, we have developed an approach allowing to model the flooding/drying dynamics of rain fed ponds in the Barkedji area by combining the detection of ponds using optical remote sensing techniques, field data on a small set of monitored ponds and modeling of both the pond profile, shapes and the flooding/drying dynamics at the single-pond level for each pond in the entire region.

Suggested Citation

  • Bicout, Dominique J. & Vautrin, Mathias & Vignolles, Cecile & Sabatier, Philippe, 2015. "Modeling the dynamics of mosquito breeding sites vs rainfall in Barkedji area, Senegal," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 317(C), pages 41-49.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:317:y:2015:i:c:p:41-49
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.08.027
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    1. M. C. Thomson & F. J. Doblas-Reyes & S. J. Mason & R. Hagedorn & S. J. Connor & T. Phindela & A. P. Morse & T. N. Palmer, 2006. "Malaria early warnings based on seasonal climate forecasts from multi-model ensembles," Nature, Nature, vol. 439(7076), pages 576-579, February.
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    1. Ngwa, Gideon A. & Teboh-Ewungkem, Miranda I. & Njongwe, James A., 2023. "Continuous-time predator-prey-like systems used to investigate the question: Can human consciousness help eliminate temporary mosquito breeding sites from around human habitats?," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 206(C), pages 437-469.

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