IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v288y2014icp127-142.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling regional ecosystem development under uncertainty – A case study for New Binhai District of Tianjin

Author

Listed:
  • You, L.
  • Li, Y.P.
  • Huang, G.H.
  • Zhang, J.L.

Abstract

In this study, an interval-fuzzy regional ecosystem management (IF-REM) model is developed based on an interval fuzzy linear programming (IFLP) technique. The IF-REM model can handle uncertainties expressed as fuzzy sets and discrete intervals; it also incorporates ecosystem service valuation directly into the optimization process, such that an effective linkage between economic values and ecosystem services can be provided. The IF-REM model is applied to a real case of planning regional ecosystem development in New Binhai District of Tianjin, where the natural ecosystem has suffered the severe degradation induced by large-scale land reclamation projects along the coastal line. Results of land use patterns, industrial pollution-mitigation schemes, and cost-benefit analysis can be obtained. The results suggest that large scale reclamation projects can bring a series of negative effects to the coastal ecosystem, such as endangering animals and plants, changing intrinsic gas regulation, as well as altering natural nutrient cycling; moreover, the current cost for land reclamation is too low to reflect the ecosystem losses and unable to curb excessive reclamation projects, which implies that ecosystem service valuation is of great significance. These findings can facilitate the local decision makers in not only considering regional ecosystem integrity but also gaining insights into the tradeoff between socio-economic development and eco-environmental sustainability.

Suggested Citation

  • You, L. & Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Zhang, J.L., 2014. "Modeling regional ecosystem development under uncertainty – A case study for New Binhai District of Tianjin," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 288(C), pages 127-142.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:288:y:2014:i:c:p:127-142
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.06.008
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380014002762
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.06.008?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Bijay Baran Pal & Bhola Nath Moitra & Shyamal Sen, 2011. "A linear Goal Programming approach to multiobjective fractional programming with interval parameter sets," International Journal of Mathematics in Operational Research, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 3(6), pages 697-714.
    2. Yang, Tao & Liu, Jingling & Chen, Qiuying, 2013. "Assessment of plain river ecosystem function based on improved gray system model and analytic hierarchy process for the Fuyang River, Haihe River Basin, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 268(C), pages 37-47.
    3. Johst, Karin & Drechsler, Martin & Watzold, Frank, 2002. "An ecological-economic modelling procedure to design compensation payments for the efficient spatio-temporal allocation of species protection measures," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 37-49, April.
    4. Erol, Ayten & Randhir, Timothy O., 2013. "Watershed ecosystem modeling of land-use impacts on water quality," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 270(C), pages 54-63.
    5. Dong, Xiaobin & Yang, Weikun & Ulgiati, Sergio & Yan, Maochao & Zhang, Xinshi, 2012. "The impact of human activities on natural capital and ecosystem services of natural pastures in North Xinjiang, China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 28-39.
    6. Higgins, Steven I. & Turpie, Jane K. & Costanza, Robert & Cowling, Richard M. & Le Maitre, Dave C. & Marais, Christo & Midgley, Guy F., 1997. "An ecological economic simulation model of mountain fynbos ecosystems: Dynamics, valuation and management," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 155-169, August.
    7. Curtis, Ian A., 2004. "Valuing ecosystem goods and services: a new approach using a surrogate market and the combination of a multiple criteria analysis and a Delphi panel to assign weights to the attributes," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(3-4), pages 163-194, October.
    8. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Zhang, N. & Nie, S.L., 2011. "An inexact-stochastic with recourse model for developing regional economic-ecological sustainability under uncertainty," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 370-379.
    9. Dale, Virginia H. & Polasky, Stephen, 2007. "Measures of the effects of agricultural practices on ecosystem services," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 64(2), pages 286-296, December.
    10. Wang, Xuan & Chen, Weiqi & Zhang, Luoping & Jin, Di & Lu, Changyi, 2010. "Estimating the ecosystem service losses from proposed land reclamation projects: A case study in Xiamen," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(12), pages 2549-2556, October.
    11. Wang, Szu-Hua & Huang, Shu-Li & Budd, William W., 2012. "Integrated ecosystem model for simulating land use allocation," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 227(C), pages 46-55.
    12. Keshtkar, A.R. & Salajegheh, A. & Sadoddin, A. & Allan, M.G., 2013. "Application of Bayesian networks for sustainability assessment in catchment modeling and management (Case study: The Hablehrood river catchment)," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 268(C), pages 48-54.
    13. Glenz, C. & Iorgulescu, I. & Kienast, F. & Schlaepfer, R., 2008. "Modelling the impact of flooding stress on the growth performance of woody species using fuzzy logic," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 18-28.
    14. Williams, Byron K., 2009. "Markov decision processes in natural resources management: Observability and uncertainty," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(6), pages 830-840.
    15. Hein, Lars & van Koppen, Kris & de Groot, Rudolf S. & van Ierland, Ekko C., 2006. "Spatial scales, stakeholders and the valuation of ecosystem services," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 57(2), pages 209-228, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Pamela Kaval & Marjan van den Belt, 2017. "The Organizing Framework of Ecosystem Services and its use in River Management," Working Papers in Economics 17/22, University of Waikato.
    2. Cai, Mengting & Huang, Guohe & Chen, Jiapei & Li, Yunhuan & Fan, Yurui, 2018. "A generalized fuzzy chance-constrained energy systems planning model for Guangzhou, China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(PA), pages 191-204.
    3. Novkovska, Blagica, 2017. "Regional Development Disparities And Their Connection With Hidden Economy," UTMS Journal of Economics, University of Tourism and Management, Skopje, Macedonia, vol. 8(2), pages 151-158.
    4. Licheng Fang & Pangpang Gao & Shuguang Wang & Zhenhao Ma, 2023. "Coupling Fuzzy Bi-Level Chance Constraint Programming and Spatial Analysis for Urban Ecological Management," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-25, April.
    5. Zhongkai Feng & Wenjing Niu & Sen Wang & Chuntian Cheng & Zhenguo Song, 2019. "Mixed Integer Linear Programming Model for Peak Operation of Gas-Fired Generating Units with Disjoint-Prohibited Operating Zones," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-17, June.
    6. Zeng, X.T. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, H.L. & Li, Y.P. & Kong, X.M. & Fan, Y.R., 2016. "A simulation-based water-environment management model for regional sustainability in compound wetland ecosystem under multiple uncertainties," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 334(C), pages 60-77.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rodríguez-Ortega, T. & Olaizola, A.M. & Bernués, A., 2018. "A novel management-based system of payments for ecosystem services for targeted agri-environmental policy," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 34(PA), pages 74-84.
    2. Wang, Xuan & Chen, Weiqi & Zhang, Luoping & Jin, Di & Lu, Changyi, 2010. "Estimating the ecosystem service losses from proposed land reclamation projects: A case study in Xiamen," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(12), pages 2549-2556, October.
    3. Drechsler, Martin & Watzold, Frank, 2007. "The optimal dynamic allocation of conservation funds under financial uncertainty," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(2-3), pages 255-266, March.
    4. Min Fan & Li Chen & Qing Wang, 2019. "Assessing the high impacts of land use change: spatial characteristics of land uses and ecological compensation based on payment for ecosystem services model in a mountainous area, China," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 1431-1460, December.
    5. Li, Y.P. & Huang, G.H. & Zhang, N. & Nie, S.L., 2011. "An inexact-stochastic with recourse model for developing regional economic-ecological sustainability under uncertainty," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(2), pages 370-379.
    6. Zeng, X.T. & Huang, G.H. & Chen, H.L. & Li, Y.P. & Kong, X.M. & Fan, Y.R., 2016. "A simulation-based water-environment management model for regional sustainability in compound wetland ecosystem under multiple uncertainties," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 334(C), pages 60-77.
    7. Xiaohui Ding & Chen Zhou & Volker Mauerhofer & Weizhou Zhong & Guoping Li, 2019. "From Environmental Soundness to Sustainable Development: Improving Applicability of Payment for Ecosystem Services Scheme for Diverting Regional Sustainability Transition in Developing Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, January.
    8. Tianhong, Li & Wenkai, Li & Zhenghan, Qian, 2010. "Variations in ecosystem service value in response to land use changes in Shenzhen," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(7), pages 1427-1435, May.
    9. Shackleton, Ross T. & Angelstam, Per & van der Waal, Benjamin & Elbakidze, Marine, 2017. "Progress made in managing and valuing ecosystem services: a horizon scan of gaps in research, management and governance," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 27(PB), pages 232-241.
    10. Pascal, Nicolas & Allenbach, Michel & Brathwaite, Angelique & Burke, Lauretta & Le Port, Guillaume & Clua, Eric, 2016. "Economic valuation of coral reef ecosystem service of coastal protection: A pragmatic approach," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 21(PA), pages 72-80.
    11. Syndhia Mathé & Hélène Rey-Valette, 2015. "Local Knowledge of Pond Fish-Farming Ecosystem Services: Management Implications of Stakeholders’ Perceptions in Three Different Contexts (Brazil, France and Indonesia)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(6), pages 1-23, June.
    12. Ruchi Badola & Syed Ainul Hussain & Bidyut Kumar Mishra & Bidyarani Konthoujam & Sneha Thapliyal & Parag Madhukar Dhakate, 2010. "An assessment of ecosystem services of Corbett Tiger Reserve, India," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 30(4), pages 320-329, December.
    13. Shipley, Nathan J. & Johnson, Dana N. & van Riper, Carena J. & Stewart, William P. & Chu, Maria L. & Suski, Cory D. & Stein, Jeffrey A. & Shew, Justin J., 2020. "A deliberative research approach to valuing agro-ecosystem services in a worked landscape," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 42(C).
    14. Fontana, Veronika & Radtke, Anna & Bossi Fedrigotti, Valérie & Tappeiner, Ulrike & Tasser, Erich & Zerbe, Stefan & Buchholz, Thomas, 2013. "Comparing land-use alternatives: Using the ecosystem services concept to define a multi-criteria decision analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 128-136.
    15. Cornelis Leeuwen & Jos Frijns & Annemarie Wezel & Frans Ven, 2012. "City Blueprints: 24 Indicators to Assess the Sustainability of the Urban Water Cycle," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(8), pages 2177-2197, June.
    16. Brausmann, Alexandra & Bretschger, Lucas, 2018. "Economic development on a finite planet with stochastic soil degradation," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 1-19.
    17. Lucy Semerjian & Kunle Okaiyeto & Mike O. Ojemaye & Temitope Cyrus Ekundayo & Aboi Igwaran & Anthony I. Okoh, 2021. "Global Systematic Mapping of Road Dust Research from 1906 to 2020: Research Gaps and Future Direction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-21, October.
    18. Yajing Shao & Xuefeng Yuan & Chaoqun Ma & Ruifang Ma & Zhaoxia Ren, 2020. "Quantifying the Spatial Association between Land Use Change and Ecosystem Services Value: A Case Study in Xi’an, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-20, May.
    19. Smith, Helen F. & Sullivan, Caroline A., 2014. "Ecosystem services within agricultural landscapes—Farmers' perceptions," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 72-80.
    20. Brunet, Lucas & Tuomisaari, Johanna & Lavorel, Sandra & Crouzat, Emilie & Bierry, Adeline & Peltola, Taru & Arpin, Isabelle, 2018. "Actionable knowledge for land use planning: Making ecosystem services operational," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 27-34.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:288:y:2014:i:c:p:127-142. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.