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Assessing and testing prediction uncertainty for single tree-based models: A case study applied to northern hardwood stands in southern Québec, Canada

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  • Fortin, Mathieu
  • Bédard, Steve
  • DeBlois, Josianne
  • Meunier, Sébastien

Abstract

Estimating prediction uncertainty for a single tree-based model is hindered by the complex structure of these models. In this paper, we addressed this issue with a case study applied to northern hardwood stands in Québec, Canada. SaMARE is a stochastic single tree-based model that was designed for these types of stands. Using a Monte Carlo approach, the model can provide a mean predicted value and its confidence limits for some plot-level attributes.

Suggested Citation

  • Fortin, Mathieu & Bédard, Steve & DeBlois, Josianne & Meunier, Sébastien, 2009. "Assessing and testing prediction uncertainty for single tree-based models: A case study applied to northern hardwood stands in southern Québec, Canada," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(20), pages 2770-2781.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:220:y:2009:i:20:p:2770-2781
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2009.06.035
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Meyer, Walter H., 1929. "Yields of Second-Growth Spruce and Fir in the Northeast," Technical Bulletins 157951, United States Department of Agriculture, Economic Research Service.
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    Cited by:

    1. Courbaud, B. & Lafond, V. & Lagarrigues, G. & Vieilledent, G. & Cordonnier, T. & Jabot, F. & de Coligny, F., 2015. "Applying ecological model evaludation: Lessons learned with the forest dynamics model Samsara2," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 314(C), pages 1-14.

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