IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v218y2008i1p162-174.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Comparing environmental influences on coral bleaching across and within species using clustered binomial regression

Author

Listed:
  • Yee, Susan Harrell
  • Santavy, Deborah L.
  • Barron, Mace G.

Abstract

Differential susceptibility among reef-building coral species can lead to community shifts and loss of diversity as a result of temperature-induced mass bleaching events. We evaluate environmental influences on coral colony bleaching over an 8-year period in the Florida Keys, USA. Clustered binomial regression is used to develop models incorporating taxon-specific responses to the environment in order to identify conditions and species for which bleaching is likely to be severe. By building three separate models incorporating environment, community composition, and taxon-specific responses to environment, we show observed prevalence of bleaching reflects an interaction between community composition and local environmental conditions. Environmental variables, including elevated sea temperature, solar radiation, and reef depth, explained 90% and 78% of variability in colony bleaching across space and time, respectively. The effects of environmental variables were only partially explained (33% of variability) by corresponding differences in community composition. Taxon-specific models indicated individual coral species responded differently to local environmental conditions and had different sensitivities to temperature-induced bleaching. For many coral species, but not all, bleaching was exacerbated by high solar radiation. A 25% reduction in the probability of bleaching in shallow locations for one species may reflect an ability to acclimatize to local conditions. Overall, model results indicate predictions of coral bleaching require knowledge of not just the environmental conditions or community composition, but the responses of individual species to the environment. Model development provides a useful tool for coral reef management by quantifying the influence of the local environment on individual species bleaching sensitivities, identifying susceptible species, and predicting the likelihood of mass bleaching events with changing environmental conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Yee, Susan Harrell & Santavy, Deborah L. & Barron, Mace G., 2008. "Comparing environmental influences on coral bleaching across and within species using clustered binomial regression," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 218(1), pages 162-174.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:218:y:2008:i:1:p:162-174
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.06.037
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380008003141
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.06.037?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Charles R. C. Sheppard, 2003. "Predicted recurrences of mass coral mortality in the Indian Ocean," Nature, Nature, vol. 425(6955), pages 294-297, September.
    2. Maina, Joseph & Venus, Valentijn & McClanahan, Timothy R. & Ateweberhan, Mebrahtu, 2008. "Modelling susceptibility of coral reefs to environmental stress using remote sensing data and GIS models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 212(3), pages 180-199.
    3. Rob Rowan & Nancy Knowlton & Andrew Baker & Javier Jara, 1997. "Landscape ecology of algal symbionts creates variation in episodes of coral bleaching," Nature, Nature, vol. 388(6639), pages 265-269, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yee, Susan Harrell & Santavy, Deborah L. & Barron, Mace G., 2011. "Assessing the effects of disease and bleaching on Florida Keys corals by fitting population models to data," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(7), pages 1323-1332.
    2. Timothy McClanahan & Joseph Maina & Mebrahtu Ateweberhan, 2015. "Regional coral responses to climate disturbances and warming is predicted by multivariate stress model and not temperature threshold metrics," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(4), pages 607-620, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Timothy McClanahan & Joseph Maina & Mebrahtu Ateweberhan, 2015. "Regional coral responses to climate disturbances and warming is predicted by multivariate stress model and not temperature threshold metrics," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 131(4), pages 607-620, August.
    2. Francis Rathinam & Sayak Khatua & Zeba Siddiqui & Manya Malik & Pallavi Duggal & Samantha Watson & Xavier Vollenweider, 2021. "Using big data for evaluating development outcomes: A systematic map," Campbell Systematic Reviews, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 17(3), September.
    3. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the coastal and marine sector in Saint Kitts And Nevis," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38607, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    4. R. Buddemeier & Diana Lane & J. Martinich, 2011. "Modeling regional coral reef responses to global warming and changes in ocean chemistry: Caribbean case study," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(3), pages 375-397, December.
    5. Fiona J Webster & Russell C Babcock & Mike Van Keulen & Neil R Loneragan, 2015. "Macroalgae Inhibits Larval Settlement and Increases Recruit Mortality at Ningaloo Reef, Western Australia," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, April.
    6. Alleyne, Dillon & Gomes, Charmaine & Lorde, Troy & Phillips, Willard, 2013. "An assessment of the economic and social impacts of climate change on the Coastal and Marine Sector in the Caribbean," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38279, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    7. Nicholas A J Graham & Tim R McClanahan & M Aaron MacNeil & Shaun K Wilson & Nicholas V C Polunin & Simon Jennings & Pascale Chabanet & Susan Clark & Mark D Spalding & Yves Letourneur & Lionel Bigot & , 2008. "Climate Warming, Marine Protected Areas and the Ocean-Scale Integrity of Coral Reef Ecosystems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 3(8), pages 1-9, August.
    8. -, 2011. "An assessment of the economic impact of climate change on the coastal and marine sector in the British Virgin Islands," Sede Subregional de la CEPAL para el Caribe (Estudios e Investigaciones) 38609, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL).
    9. Maina, Joseph & Venus, Valentijn & McClanahan, Timothy R. & Ateweberhan, Mebrahtu, 2008. "Modelling susceptibility of coral reefs to environmental stress using remote sensing data and GIS models," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 212(3), pages 180-199.
    10. Kamal Jyoti Maji & Anil Kumar Dikshit & Ashok Deshpande, 2017. "Can fuzzy set theory bring complex issues in sizing air quality monitoring network into focus?," International Journal of System Assurance Engineering and Management, Springer;The Society for Reliability, Engineering Quality and Operations Management (SREQOM),India, and Division of Operation and Maintenance, Lulea University of Technology, Sweden, vol. 8(4), pages 2118-2128, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:218:y:2008:i:1:p:162-174. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.