IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecomod/v213y2008i3p331-344.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bayesian calibration of a model describing carbon, water and heat fluxes for a Swedish boreal forest stand

Author

Listed:
  • Svensson, Magnus
  • Jansson, Per-Erik
  • Gustafsson, David
  • Kleja, Dan Berggren
  • Langvall, Ola
  • Lindroth, Anders

Abstract

This study quantified major fluxes of carbon (C), heat and water, including uncertainty estimates, in a boreal forest in northern Sweden, using a process-based model (CoupModel) and Bayesian calibration methodology. Coupled C, water and heat fluxes were described together with estimated uncertainties for all major components of the simulated C budget. Simulated mean gross primary production was 641±74gCm−2yr−1, total ecosystem respiration 570±55gCm−2yr−1 and net ecosystem productivity 71±37gCm−2yr−1. Most high-resolution measurements were well described but some interesting exceptions arose between model and measurements, e.g. latent heat flux was overestimated and field layer (understory) root litter production underestimated. Bayesian calibration reduced the assumed prior parameter ranges in 30 of 33 parameters, thus reducing the uncertainty in the estimates. There was a high degree of couplings between different sub-models and processes in the model, highlighting the importance of considering parameters not as singularities but in clusters.

Suggested Citation

  • Svensson, Magnus & Jansson, Per-Erik & Gustafsson, David & Kleja, Dan Berggren & Langvall, Ola & Lindroth, Anders, 2008. "Bayesian calibration of a model describing carbon, water and heat fluxes for a Swedish boreal forest stand," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 213(3), pages 331-344.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:213:y:2008:i:3:p:331-344
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.01.001
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380008000069
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.01.001?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ben D. MacArthur & Richard O. C. Oreffo, 2005. "Bridging the gap," Nature, Nature, vol. 433(7021), pages 19-19, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Chertov, Oleg & Komarov, Alexander & Shaw, Cindy & Bykhovets, Sergey & Frolov, Pavel & Shanin, Vladimir & Grabarnik, Pavel & Priputina, Irina & Zubkova, Elena & Shashkov, Maxim, 2017. "Romul_Hum—A model of soil organic matter formation coupling with soil biota activity. II. Parameterisation of the soil food web biota activity," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 125-139.
    2. Wu, J. & Jansson, P.E. & van der Linden, L. & Pilegaard, K. & Beier, C. & Ibrom, A., 2013. "Modelling the decadal trend of ecosystem carbon fluxes demonstrates the important role of functional changes in a temperate deciduous forest," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 260(C), pages 50-61.
    3. Xenakis, Georgios & Ray, Duncan & Mencuccini, Maurizio, 2008. "Sensitivity and uncertainty analysis from a coupled 3-PG and soil organic matter decomposition model," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 219(1), pages 1-16.
    4. Juston, John & Andrén, Olof & Kätterer, Thomas & Jansson, Per-Erik, 2010. "Uncertainty analyses for calibrating a soil carbon balance model to agricultural field trial data in Sweden and Kenya," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 221(16), pages 1880-1888.
    5. Wu, Si Hong & Jansson, Per-Erik & Kolari, Pasi, 2011. "Modeling seasonal course of carbon fluxes and evapotranspiration in response to low temperature and moisture in a boreal Scots pine ecosystem," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 222(17), pages 3103-3119.
    6. Bagnara, Maurizio & Van Oijen, Marcel & Cameron, David & Gianelle, Damiano & Magnani, Federico & Sottocornola, Matteo, 2018. "Bayesian calibration of simple forest models with multiplicative mathematical structure: A case study with two Light Use Efficiency models in an alpine forest," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 371(C), pages 90-100.
    7. Chen, Dianyu & Wang, Xing & Liu, Shouyang & Wang, Youke & Gao, Zhiyong & Zhang, Linlin & Wei, Xinguang & Wei, Xindong, 2015. "Using Bayesian analysis to compare the performance of three evapotranspiration models for rainfed jujube (Ziziphus jujuba Mill.) plantations in the Loess Plateau," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 341-357.
    8. Chen, Dianyu & Hsu, Kuolin & Duan, Xingwu & Wang, Youke & Wei, Xinguang & Muhammad, Saifullah, 2020. "Bayesian analysis of jujube canopy transpiration models: Does embedding the key environmental factor in Jarvis canopy resistance sub-model always associate with improving transpiration modeling?," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    9. He, Hongxing & Jansson, Per-Erik & Svensson, Magnus & Meyer, Astrid & Klemedtsson, Leif & Kasimir, Åsa, 2016. "Factors controlling Nitrous Oxide emission from a spruce forest ecosystem on drained organic soil, derived using the CoupModel," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 321(C), pages 46-63.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Vanessa Taylor & Sarah Ashelford & Patricia Fell & Penelope J Goacher, 2015. "Biosciences in nurse education: is the curriculum fit for practice? Lecturers' views and recommendations from across the UK," Journal of Clinical Nursing, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 24(19-20), pages 2797-2806, October.
    2. Booth, Heather, 2006. "Demographic forecasting: 1980 to 2005 in review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 547-581.
    3. Ercan Tomakin, 2014. "Teaching English Tenses (grammar) in the Turkish Texts; A Case of Simple Present Tense: Is?l Maketi Iter," International Journal of Learning and Development, Macrothink Institute, vol. 4(1), pages 115-131, March.
    4. Peter Viggo Jakobsen, 2009. "Small States, Big Influence: The Overlooked Nordic Influence on the Civilian ESDP," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 47(1), pages 81-102, January.
    5. Radha Jagannathan & Michael J. Camasso & Bagavan Das & Jale Tosun & Sadagopan Iyengar, 2017. "Family, society and the individual: determinants of entrepreneurial attitudes among youth in Chennai, South India," Journal of Global Entrepreneurship Research, Springer;UNESCO Chair in Entrepreneurship, vol. 7(1), pages 1-22, December.
    6. Tautenhahn, Susanne & Heilmeier, Hermann & Jung, Martin & Kahl, Anja & Kattge, Jens & Moffat, Antje & Wirth, Christian, 2012. "Beyond distance-invariant survival in inverse recruitment modeling: A case study in Siberian Pinus sylvestris forests," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 233(C), pages 90-103.
    7. Vincenzo Galasso, 2020. "Market Reactions to Quest for Decentralization and Independence: Evidence from Catalonia," CESifo Working Paper Series 8254, CESifo.
    8. Thijs Fassaert & Matty A.S. De Wit & Wilco C. Tuinebreijer & Jeroen W. Knipscheer & Arnoud P. Verhoeff & Aartjan T.F. Beekman & Jack Dekker, 2011. "Acculturation and Psychological Distress Among Non-Western Muslim Migrants - a Population-Based Survey," International Journal of Social Psychiatry, , vol. 57(2), pages 132-143, March.
    9. Jakub Bijak & Jason D. Hilton & Eric Silverman & Viet Dung Cao, 2013. "Reforging the Wedding Ring," Demographic Research, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany, vol. 29(27), pages 729-766.
    10. Philippe De Donder & Michel Le Breton & Eugenio Peluso, 2012. "Majority Voting in Multidimensional Policy Spaces: Kramer–Shepsle versus Stackelberg," Journal of Public Economic Theory, Association for Public Economic Theory, vol. 14(6), pages 879-909, December.
    11. Grace Kite, 2014. "Linked in? Software and Information Technology Services in India’s Economic Development," Journal of South Asian Development, , vol. 9(2), pages 99-119, August.
    12. Spyros Arvanitis & Ursina Kubli & Martin Woerter, 2006. "University-Industry Knowledge Interaction in Switzerland: What University Scientists Think about Co-operation with Private Enterprises," KOF Working papers 06-132, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    13. Falco, Paolo & Zaccagni, Sarah, 2020. "Promoting social distancing in a pandemic: Beyond the good intentions," OSF Preprints a2nys, Center for Open Science.
    14. León, Esperanza & Steele, Miriam & Palacios, Jesús & Román, Maite & Moreno, Carmen, 2018. "Parenting adoptive children: Reflective functioning and parent-child interactions. A comparative, relational and predictive study," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 352-360.
    15. Danilo Bertoni & Daniele Cavicchioli & Franco Donzelli & Giovanni Ferrazzi & Dario G. Frisio & Roberto Pretolani & Elena Claire Ricci & Vera Ventura, 2018. "Recent Contributions of Agricultural Economics Research in the Field of Sustainable Development," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 8(12), pages 1-20, December.
    16. Chantal Kroll & Roger Keller & Urte Scholz & Sonja Perren, 2011. "Evaluating the decisional balance construct of the Transtheoretical Model: are two dimensions of pros and cons really enough?," International Journal of Public Health, Springer;Swiss School of Public Health (SSPH+), vol. 56(1), pages 97-105, February.
    17. Stylos, Nikolaos & Vassiliadis, Chris A. & Bellou, Victoria & Andronikidis, Andreas, 2016. "Destination images, holistic images and personal normative beliefs: Predictors of intention to revisit a destination," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 40-60.
    18. Chatelain, Jean-Bernard & Ralf, Kirsten, 2018. "Publish and Perish: Creative Destruction and Macroeconomic Theory," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 46(2), pages 65-101.
    19. Nikolaos Satsios & Spyros Hadjidakis, 2018. "Applying the Theory of Planned Behaviour (TPB) in Saving Behaviour of Pomak Households," International Journal of Financial Research, International Journal of Financial Research, Sciedu Press, vol. 9(2), pages 122-133, April.
    20. Law, Tony & Zhang, Weitao & Zhao, Jingyang & Arhonditsis, George B., 2009. "Structural changes in lake functioning induced from nutrient loading and climate variability," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 220(7), pages 979-997.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:213:y:2008:i:3:p:331-344. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/ecological-modelling .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.