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Analysing the impact of rising mortality in adult ages on financial and actuarial products

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  • Lledó, Josep
  • Atance, David

Abstract

A reversal in the trend seen since 2010 of a reduction in adult mortality holds significant economic and financial implications. Mortality and longevity models applied in 2010 projected central death rates that have not materialized, resulting in measurable economic effects. This study examines the economic consequences of two financial-actuarial products— a year-term life insurance and life annuities— in light of the worsening central death rates within the 55–70 age bracket. Conducted across twelve countries (Australia, Canada, Denmark, France, Greece, Germany, Italy, Japan, Spain, Sweden, the United Kingdom, and the United States), the research demonstrates substantial cost savings in annuity products and cost overruns in risk insurance products.

Suggested Citation

  • Lledó, Josep & Atance, David, 2023. "Analysing the impact of rising mortality in adult ages on financial and actuarial products," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:233:y:2023:i:c:s0165176523004500
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111424
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Atance & Ana Debón & Eliseo Navarro, 2020. "A Comparison of Forecasting Mortality Models Using Resampling Methods," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(9), pages 1-21, September.
    2. Salvatory R. Kessy & Michael Sherris & Andrés M. Villegas & Jonathan Ziveyi, 2022. "Mortality forecasting using stacked regression ensembles," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2022(7), pages 591-626, August.
    3. Josep Lledó & Jose M. Pavía & Francisco G. Morillas, 2017. "Assessing implicit hypotheses in life table construction," Scandinavian Actuarial Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2017(6), pages 495-518, July.
    4. Enrique Acosta & Alain Gagnon & Nadine Ouellette & Robert R. Bourbeau & Marilia R. Nepomuceno & Alyson A. van Raalte, 2020. "The boomer penalty: excess mortality among baby boomers in Canada and the United States," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2020-003, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
    5. Plat, Richard, 2009. "Stochastic portfolio specific mortality and the quantification of mortality basis risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(1), pages 123-132, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Mortality; Insurance; Annuities; Risk products; Economic impact;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General
    • M20 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics - - - General

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