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Wishful betting

Author

Listed:
  • Lahav, Yaron
  • Santo, Or

Abstract

Wishful betting is the tendency to bet higher amounts on more desired outcomes. In our experiments, subjects profit from either buying or selling wheat, hence having an interest in specific price levels. We find wishful betting but no wishful thinking.

Suggested Citation

  • Lahav, Yaron & Santo, Or, 2022. "Wishful betting," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 218(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:218:y:2022:i:c:s0165176522002816
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2022.110778
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Braun, Sebastian & Kvasnicka, Michael, 2013. "National Sentiment and Economic Behavior: Evidence From Online Betting on European Football," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 14(1), pages 45-64.
    2. Nicholas Seybert & Robert Bloomfield, 2009. "Contagion of Wishful Thinking in Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 55(5), pages 738-751, May.
    3. Mayraz, Guy, 2011. "Wishful thinking," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 121942, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Sebastian Braun & Michael Kvasnicka, 2013. "National Sentiment and Economic Behavior," Journal of Sports Economics, , vol. 14(1), pages 45-64, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Behavioral economics; Wishful thinking; Wishful betting; Beliefs; Actions;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
    • C92 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Group Behavior
    • D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations

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