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Option-implied volatility spillover indices for FX risk factors

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  • Grobys, Klaus
  • Heinonen, Jari-Pekka

Abstract

This study employs option price data to back out the implied portfolio volatilities of the dollar and carry trade risk factors of the G-10 currencies. We construct a forward-looking option-implied volatility spillover index. Our findings indicate that the dollar and carry trade risk factors are orthogonal in the first moment and exhibit strong stochastic interrelations in the second expected moment.

Suggested Citation

  • Grobys, Klaus & Heinonen, Jari-Pekka, 2017. "Option-implied volatility spillover indices for FX risk factors," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 157(C), pages 83-87.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:157:y:2017:i:c:p:83-87
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2017.05.026
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
    2. Hanno Lustig & Nikolai Roussanov & Adrien Verdelhan, 2011. "Common Risk Factors in Currency Markets," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 24(11), pages 3731-3777.
    3. Nikkinen, Jussi & Vähämaa, Sami, 2009. "Central bank interventions and implied exchange rate correlations," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(5), pages 862-873, December.
    4. Grobys, Klaus, 2015. "Are volatility spillovers between currency and equity market driven by economic states? Evidence from the US economy," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 72-75.
    5. Garman, Mark B. & Kohlhagen, Steven W., 1983. "Foreign currency option values," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 231-237, December.
    6. Antonakakis, Nikolaos, 2012. "Exchange return co-movements and volatility spillovers before and after the introduction of euro," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(5), pages 1091-1109.
    7. Christensen, B. J. & Prabhala, N. R., 1998. "The relation between implied and realized volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 125-150, November.
    8. repec:wsr:wpaper:y:2012:i:080 is not listed on IDEAS
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Volatility spillovers; Currency markets; G10 currencies; Option-implied volatility; Risk factors; Expected volatility; Expected portfolio volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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