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World total factor productivity growth and the steady-state rate in the 20th century

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  • Breton, Theodore R.

Abstract

I estimate a Solow model augmented with human capital in 42 countries for 1910–2000. Estimated TFP growth is 0.3%/year, and the steady-state rate for GDP/capita is 1.0%/year. Implicitly for high-income countries maintaining growth above this rate will be increasingly difficult.

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  • Breton, Theodore R., 2013. "World total factor productivity growth and the steady-state rate in the 20th century," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 119(3), pages 340-343.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecolet:v:119:y:2013:i:3:p:340-343
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2013.03.013
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    1. Breton, Theodore R., 2015. "Human capital and growth in Japan: Converging to the steady state in a 1% world," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 73-89.
    2. Theodore R. Breton & Andrew S. Breton, 2021. "Growth in a macro‐Mincer model: Good results with schooling and experience interactions," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(2), pages 563-581, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Economic growth; Solow model; Steady state; TFP growth; Convergence;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence

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