IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecofin/v59y2022ics1062940821001789.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices

Author

Listed:
  • Plastun, Alex
  • Bouri, Elie
  • Gupta, Rangan
  • Ji, Qiang

Abstract

This paper examines price effects related to one day abnormal returns on the stock market indices of both developed and emerging countries while accounting for differences between environmental, social, governance (ESG), and conventional indices. Using daily data from MSCI family indices from 2007 to 2020 and various methods to avoid methodological bias, the following hypotheses are tested: after one-day abnormal returns, specific price effects (momentum/contrarian) appear (H1) in cases of positive (H1.1) and negative (H1.2) returns, price effects after one-day abnormal returns are stronger in the case of traditional indices as compared to ESG indices (H2), price effects after one-day abnormal returns are stronger during the crisis period (H3), a dynamic trigger approach is more appropriate for defining abnormal returns than a static approach (H4), price effects after one-day abnormal returns are stronger in emerging markets as compared to developed ones (H5). The results are mixed in the case of H1 and provide no evidence in favor of H2-H5. They also show no significant differences between ESG and conventional indices. The types of detected price effects are the same for the cases of ESG and conventional indices; their power is different in some cases. Overall, a strong contrarian effect is observed in the US stock market after one-day abnormal returns; a trading strategy constructed based on this observation could generate profits from trading. The main results offer additional evidence against the Efficient Market Hypothesis and provide implications that can assist practitioners in beating the market.

Suggested Citation

  • Plastun, Alex & Bouri, Elie & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2022. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns in developed and emerging markets: ESG versus traditional indices," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:59:y:2022:i:c:s1062940821001789
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101572
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940821001789
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101572?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to look for a different version below or search for a different version of it.

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jeroen Derwall & Kees Koedijk, 2009. "Socially Responsible Fixed‐Income Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1‐2), pages 210-229, January.
    2. Hanif, Waqas & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Mensi, Walid & Kang, Sang Hoon & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2021. "Nonlinear dependence and connectedness between clean/renewable energy sector equity and European emission allowance prices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    3. Richards, Anthony J, 1997. "Winner-Loser Reversals in National Stock Market Indices: Can They Be Explained?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 52(5), pages 2129-2144, December.
    4. Henke, Hans-Martin, 2016. "The effect of social screening on bond mutual fund performance," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 69-84.
    5. Elie Bouri & Riza Demirer & Rangan Gupta & Xiaojin Sun, 2020. "The predictability of stock market volatility in emerging economies: Relative roles of local, regional, and global business cycles," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(6), pages 957-965, September.
    6. Gunther Capelle-Blancard & Aurélien Petit, 2019. "Every Little Helps? ESG News and Stock Market Reaction," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 157(2), pages 543-565, June.
    7. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2019. "Rise and fall of calendar anomalies over a century," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 181-205.
    8. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2018. "Short-Term Price Overreactions: Identification, Testing, Exploitation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 913-940, April.
    9. Jeroen Derwall & Kees Koedijk, 2009. "Socially Responsible Fixed-Income Funds," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(1-2), pages 210-229.
    10. Borgards, Oliver & Czudaj, Robert L. & Hoang, Thi Hong Van, 2021. "Price overreactions in the commodity futures market: An intraday analysis of the Covid-19 pandemic impact," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    11. Krüger, Philipp, 2015. "Corporate goodness and shareholder wealth," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 115(2), pages 304-329.
    12. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Evolution of price effects after one-day abnormal returns in the US stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    13. Kudryavtsev, Andrey, 2013. "Stock price reversals following end-of-the-day price moves," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(1), pages 203-205.
    14. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan, 1990. "Evidence of Predictable Behavior of Security Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(3), pages 881-898, July.
    15. Boubaker, Sabri & Farag, Hisham & Nguyen, Duc Khuong, 2015. "Short-term overreaction to specific events: Evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 153-165.
    16. Parikakis, George S. & Syriopoulos, Theodore, 2008. "Contrarian strategy and overreaction in foreign exchange markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 319-324, September.
    17. Yao, Shouyu & Pan, Yuying & Sensoy, Ahmet & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Cheng, Feiyang, 2021. "Green credit policy and firm performance: What we learn from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C).
    18. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2020. "Momentum effects in the cryptocurrency market after one-day abnormal returns," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(3), pages 251-266, September.
    19. Cox, Don R & Peterson, David R, 1994. "Stock Returns Following Large One-Day Declines: Evidence on Short-Term Reversals and Longer-Term Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 49(1), pages 255-267, March.
    20. Caroline Flammer, 2015. "Does Corporate Social Responsibility Lead to Superior Financial Performance? A Regression Discontinuity Approach," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(11), pages 2549-2568, November.
    21. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2019. "Price overreactions in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(5), pages 1137-1155, August.
    22. Dan Daugaard, 2020. "Emerging new themes in environmental, social and governance investing: a systematic literature review," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 60(2), pages 1501-1530, June.
    23. Yves Jegourel & Samuel Maveyraud, 2010. "A reassessment of the European SRI Funds "underperformance": does the intensity of extra-financial negative screening matter?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 30(1), pages 913-923.
    24. Alves, Paulo & Carvalho, Luís, 2020. "Recent evidence on international stock market’s overreaction," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    25. Alqahtani, Abdullah & Bouri, Elie & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2020. "Predictability of GCC stock returns: The role of geopolitical risk and crude oil returns," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 239-249.
    26. Rapach, David E. & Wohar, Mark E. & Rangvid, Jesper, 2005. "Macro variables and international stock return predictability," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 137-166.
    27. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. "Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July.
    28. Chen, Shiu-Sheng, 2009. "Predicting the bear stock market: Macroeconomic variables as leading indicators," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(2), pages 211-223, February.
    29. Malin, Mirela & Bornholt, Graham, 2013. "Long-term return reversal: Evidence from international market indices," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 1-17.
    30. C. Edward Chang & H. Doug Witte, 2010. "Performance Evaluation of U.S. Socially Responsible Mutual Funds: Revisiting Doing Good and Doing Well," American Journal of Business, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 25(1), pages 9-24, April.
    31. Uddin, Gazi Salah & Arreola Hernandez, Jose & Labidi, Chiraz & Troster, Victor & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2019. "The impact of financial and economic factors on Islamic mutual fund performance: Evidence from multiple fund categories," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 52.
    32. A. Craig MacKinlay, 1997. "Event Studies in Economics and Finance," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 35(1), pages 13-39, March.
    33. Dyl, Edward A. & Yuksel, H. Zafer & Zaynutdinova, Gulnara R., 2019. "Price reversals and price continuations following large price movements," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 1-12.
    34. Jegadeesh, Narasimhan & Titman, Sheridan, 1993. "Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(1), pages 65-91, March.
    35. Bremer, Marc & Sweeney, Richard J, 1991. "The Reversal of Large Stock-Price Decreases," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 46(2), pages 747-754, June.
    36. Blackburn, Douglas W. & Cakici, Nusret, 2017. "Overreaction and the cross-section of returns: International evidence," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1-14.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dhasmana, Samriddhi & Ghosh, Sajal & Kanjilal, Kakali, 2023. "Does investor sentiment influence ESG stock performance? Evidence from India," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    2. Ruiyu Dong & Chaofeng Shao & Shuqi Xin & Zhirui Lu, 2023. "A Sustainable Development Evaluation Framework for Chinese Electricity Enterprises Based on SDG and ESG Coupling," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-26, June.
    3. Inova Fitri Siregar & Tubagus Ismail & Muhammad Taqi & Nurhayati Soleha, 2024. "Influence of ESG on Sustainability Reporting: Mediation Rule of Green Innovation and Investor Sentiment," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 452-463, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Wohar, Mark E., 2021. "Evolution of price effects after one-day abnormal returns in the US stock market," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    2. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2021. "Gold and oil prices: abnormal returns, momentum and contrarian effects," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(3), pages 353-368, September.
    3. Plastun, Alex & Sibande, Xolani & Gupta, Rangan & Ji, Qiang, 2024. "Price effects after one-day abnormal returns and crises in the stock markets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    4. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2020. "Momentum effects in the cryptocurrency market after one-day abnormal returns," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 34(3), pages 251-266, September.
    5. Adam Zaremba, 2019. "The Cross Section of Country Equity Returns: A Review of Empirical Literature," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-26, October.
    6. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, October.
    7. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2020. "Abnormal Returns and Stock Price Movements: Some Evidence from Developed and Emerging Markets," CESifo Working Paper Series 8783, CESifo.
    8. Asiya Sohail & Attiya Yasmin Javid, 2014. "The Global Financial Crisis and Investors’ Behaviour; Evidence from the Karachi Stock Exchange," PIDE-Working Papers 2014:106, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    9. Borgards, Oliver & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "The prevalence of price overreactions in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    10. Alves, Paulo & Carvalho, Luís, 2020. "Recent evidence on international stock market’s overreaction," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    11. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2018. "Short-Term Price Overreactions: Identification, Testing, Exploitation," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 51(4), pages 913-940, April.
    12. Zaremba, Adam & Kizys, Renatas & Raza, Muhammad Wajid, 2020. "The long-run reversal in the long run: Insights from two centuries of international equity returns," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 177-199.
    13. Wan, Jer-Yuh & Kao, Chung-Wei, 2009. "Evidence on the contrarian trading in foreign exchange markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1420-1431, November.
    14. Savor, Pavel G., 2012. "Stock returns after major price shocks: The impact of information," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(3), pages 635-659.
    15. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Luis Gil-Alana & Alex Plastun, 2019. "Long-term price overreactions: are markets inefficient?," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 43(4), pages 657-680, October.
    16. Lasfer, M. Ameziane & Melnik, Arie & Thomas, Dylan C., 2003. "Short-term reaction of stock markets in stressful circumstances," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 27(10), pages 1959-1977, October.
    17. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2018. "On the Frequency of Price Overreactions," CESifo Working Paper Series 7011, CESifo.
    18. Jeff Madura & Nivine Richie, 2010. "Overreaction of Exchange-Traded Funds During the Bubble of 1998–2002," Chapters, in: Brian Bruce (ed.), Handbook of Behavioral Finance, chapter 5, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    19. Nam, Kiseok & Washer, Kenneth M. & Chu, Quentin C., 2005. "Asymmetric return dynamics and technical trading strategies," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 391-418, February.
    20. Guglielmo Maria Caporale & Alex Plastun, 2019. "Price overreactions in the cryptocurrency market," Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 46(5), pages 1137-1155, August.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Abnormal returns; Momentum effect; Contrarian effect; ESG; Developed and emerging stock markets;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:59:y:2022:i:c:s1062940821001789. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620163 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.