IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecofin/v58y2021ics1062940821000899.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Hedging futures performance with denoising and noise-assisted strategies

Author

Listed:
  • Zheng, Chengli
  • Su, Kuangxi
  • Yao, Yinhong

Abstract

Noise processing is very important to improve hedging effectiveness. However, the existing methods are mainly considered from the view of denoising strategy, and the research on noise-assisted strategy is limited. In this paper, a framework that includes both denoising and noise-assisted strategies is proposed to comprehensively analyze the impact of noise proceeding on hedging effectiveness. In detail, the EMD technology is utilized to decompose the futures and spot original returns. Then, the decomposition terms are stepwise removed or added in the opposite way to obtain the denoised and noise-assisted returns. Finally, under the minimum-CVaR framework, the dynamic hedged portfolios based on original and processed returns are constructed to test the hedging effectiveness. Based on the daily prices of CSI300, S&P500, WTI crude oil, and gold futures contract which range from February 9, 2007, to January 10, 2020, the empirical results indicate that both denoising and noise-assisted hedging strategies can decrease CVaR compare with using original return. Furthermore, denoising or adding high-intensity noise has better hedging performance than low-intensity noise, adding uncorrelated noise performs better than adding correlated noise Robustness results by changing confidence level validate the above conclusions.

Suggested Citation

  • Zheng, Chengli & Su, Kuangxi & Yao, Yinhong, 2021. "Hedging futures performance with denoising and noise-assisted strategies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:58:y:2021:i:c:s1062940821000899
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2021.101466
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1062940821000899
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.najef.2021.101466?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hammoudeh, Shawkat & McAleer, Michael, 2013. "Risk management and financial derivatives: An overview," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 109-115.
    2. Allen, David E. & Singh, Abhay K. & Powell, Robert J., 2013. "EVT and tail-risk modelling: Evidence from market indices and volatility series," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 355-369.
    3. Francis X. Diebold & Georg Strasser, 2013. "On the Correlation Structure of Microstructure Noise: A Financial Economic Approach," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(4), pages 1304-1337.
    4. Liu, Chang & Sun, Xiaolei & Wang, Jun & Li, Jianping & Chen, Jianming, 2021. "Multiscale information transmission between commodity markets: An EMD-Based transfer entropy network," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 55(C).
    5. Cao, Jian & Li, Zhi & Li, Jian, 2019. "Financial time series forecasting model based on CEEMDAN and LSTM," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 519(C), pages 127-139.
    6. Zhu, Pengfei & Tang, Yong & Wei, Yu & Dai, Yimin & Lu, Tuantuan, 2021. "Relationships and portfolios between oil and Chinese stock sectors: A study based on wavelet denoising-higher moments perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    7. Zhiguang Cao & Richard D.F. Harris & Jian Shen, 2010. "Hedging and value at risk: A semi‐parametric approach," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(8), pages 780-794, August.
    8. Tan, Shay-Kee & Ng, Kok-Haur & Chan, Jennifer So-Kuen & Mohamed, Ibrahim, 2019. "Quantile range-based volatility measure for modelling and forecasting volatility using high frequency data," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 537-551.
    9. Robert D. Arnott & Jason C. Hsu & Jun Liu & Harry Markowitz, 2015. "Can Noise Create the Size and Value Effects?," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 61(11), pages 2569-2579, November.
    10. Emmanuelle Jay & Thibault Soler & Eugénie Terreaux & Jean-Philippe Ovarlez & Frédéric Pascal & Philippe de Peretti & Christophe Chorro, 2020. "Improving portfolios global performance using a cleaned and robust covariance matrix estimate," Université Paris1 Panthéon-Sorbonne (Post-Print and Working Papers) hal-02508748, HAL.
    11. Emmanuelle Jay & Thibault Soler & Eugénie Terreaux & Jean-Philippe Ovarlez & Frédéric Pascal & Philippe de Peretti & Christophe Chorro, 2020. "Improving portfolios global performance using a cleaned and robust covariance matrix estimate," Post-Print hal-02508748, HAL.
    12. Chu, Gang & Zhang, Wei & Sun, Guofeng & Zhang, Xiaotao, 2019. "A new online portfolio selection algorithm based on Kalman Filter and anti-correlation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 536(C).
    13. Ederington, Louis H, 1979. "The Hedging Performance of the New Futures Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 34(1), pages 157-170, March.
    14. Chen, Sheng-Syan & Lee, Cheng-few & Shrestha, Keshab, 2003. "Futures hedge ratios: a review," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 433-465.
    15. Olivier Dessaint & Thierry Foucault & Laurent Frésard & Adrien Matray, 2019. "Noisy Stock Prices and Corporate Investment," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 32(7), pages 2625-2672.
    16. Bertus, Mark & Godbey, Jonathan & Hinkelmann, Christoph & Mahar, James W., 2008. "Noise, equity prices, and hedging: A new approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 17(5), pages 886-902, December.
    17. Opie, Wei & Riddiough, Steven J., 2020. "Global currency hedging with common risk factors," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 136(3), pages 780-805.
    18. Briys, Eric & Crouhy, Michel & Schlesinger, Harris, 1993. "Optimal hedging in a futures market with background noise and basis risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 37(5), pages 949-960, June.
    19. Rania Jammazi & Duc Khuong Nguyen, 2017. "Estimating and forecasting portfolio’s Value-at-Risk with wavelet-based extreme value theory: Evidence from crude oil prices and US exchange rates," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(11), pages 1352-1362, November.
    20. Joel Peress & Daniel Schmidt, 2020. "Glued to the TV: Distracted Noise Traders and Stock Market Liquidity," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 75(2), pages 1083-1133, April.
    21. Berger, Theo & Czudaj, Robert L., 2020. "Commodity futures and a wavelet-based risk assessment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 554(C).
    22. Duan, Wei-Long & Fang, Hui, 2020. "The unified colored noise approximation of multidimensional stochastic dynamic system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 555(C).
    23. Zhu, Pengfei & Tang, Yong & Wei, Yu & Dai, Yimin, 2019. "Portfolio strategy of International crude oil markets: A study based on multiwavelet denoising-integration MF-DCCA method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 535(C).
    24. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    25. Lin, Ling & Kuang, Yuanpei & Jiang, Yong & Su, Xianfang, 2019. "Assessing risk contagion among the Brent crude oil market, London gold market and stock markets: Evidence based on a new wavelet decomposition approach," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    26. Fu, Junhui & Zhou, Qingling & Liu, Yufang & Wu, Xiang, 2020. "Predicting stock market crises using daily stock market valuation and investor sentiment indicators," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
    27. Rockafellar, R. Tyrrell & Uryasev, Stanislav, 2002. "Conditional value-at-risk for general loss distributions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1443-1471, July.
    28. Daly, J. & Crane, M. & Ruskin, H.J., 2008. "Random matrix theory filters in portfolio optimisation: A stability and risk assessment," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(16), pages 4248-4260.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Zhu, Pengfei & Lu, Tuantuan & Chen, Shenglan, 2022. "How do crude oil futures hedge crude oil spot risk after the COVID-19 outbreak? A wavelet denoising-GARCHSK-SJC Copula hedge ratio estimation method," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 607(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Su, Kuangxi & Yao, Yinhong & Zheng, Chengli & Xie, Wenzhao, 2023. "A novel hybrid strategy for crude oil future hedging based on the combination of three minimum-CVaR models," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 35-50.
    2. Huang, Jinbo & Ding, Ashley & Li, Yong & Lu, Dong, 2020. "Increasing the risk management effectiveness from higher accuracy: A novel non-parametric method," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).
    3. Barbi, Massimiliano & Romagnoli, Silvia, 2018. "Skewness, basis risk, and optimal futures demand," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 14-29.
    4. Wenming Shi & Kevin X. Li & Zhongzhi Yang & Ganggang Wang, 2017. "Time-varying copula models in the shipping derivatives market," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 1039-1058, November.
    5. Kuangxi Su & Yinhong Yao & Chengli Zheng & Wenzhao Xie, 2024. "Portfolio Selection Based on EMD Denoising with Correlation Coefficient Test Criterion," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 63(1), pages 391-421, January.
    6. Jules Sadefo Kamdem & Zoulkiflou Moumouni, 2020. "Comparison of Some Static Hedging Models of Agricultural Commodities Price Uncertainty," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 18(3), pages 631-655, September.
    7. Chai, Shanglei & Zhou, P., 2018. "The Minimum-CVaR strategy with semi-parametric estimation in carbon market hedging problems," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 64-75.
    8. Zoulkiflou Moumouni & Jules Sadefo-Kamdem, 2019. "New models of commodity risk hedging according to the behavior of economic decision-makers or Rollover Strategies," Working Papers hal-02417459, HAL.
    9. Sukcharoen, Kunlapath & Leatham, David J., 2017. "Hedging downside risk of oil refineries: A vine copula approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 493-507.
    10. Bajo, Emanuele & Barbi, Massimiliano & Romagnoli, Silvia, 2014. "Optimal corporate hedging using options with basis and production risk," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 56-71.
    11. Cui, Xueting & Zhu, Shushang & Sun, Xiaoling & Li, Duan, 2013. "Nonlinear portfolio selection using approximate parametric Value-at-Risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(6), pages 2124-2139.
    12. Malavasi, Matteo & Ortobelli Lozza, Sergio & Trück, Stefan, 2021. "Second order of stochastic dominance efficiency vs mean variance efficiency," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 290(3), pages 1192-1206.
    13. Rostagno, Luciano Martin, 2005. "Empirical tests of parametric and non-parametric Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) measures for the Brazilian stock market index," ISU General Staff Papers 2005010108000021878, Iowa State University, Department of Economics.
    14. Alois Pichler, 2013. "Premiums And Reserves, Adjusted By Distortions," Papers 1304.0490, arXiv.org.
    15. Alexander, Gordon J. & Baptista, Alexandre M. & Yan, Shu, 2013. "A comparison of the original and revised Basel market risk frameworks for regulating bank capital," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 249-268.
    16. Broll, Udo & Wong, Kit Pong, 2002. "Optimal full-hedging under state-dependent preferences," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 937-943.
    17. David Neděla & Sergio Ortobelli & Tomáš Tichý, 2024. "Mean–variance vs trend–risk portfolio selection," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 18(7), pages 2047-2078, July.
    18. Alexander, Gordon J. & Baptista, Alexandre M. & Yan, Shu, 2012. "When more is less: Using multiple constraints to reduce tail risk," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(10), pages 2693-2716.
    19. Kull, Andreas, 2009. "Sharing Risk – An Economic Perspective," ASTIN Bulletin, Cambridge University Press, vol. 39(2), pages 591-613, November.
    20. Nan Zhang & Heng Xu, 2024. "Fairness of Ratemaking for Catastrophe Insurance: Lessons from Machine Learning," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 35(2), pages 469-488, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Futures hedging; Noise processing; Empirical mode decomposition (EMD); Hedging performance;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:58:y:2021:i:c:s1062940821000899. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/620163 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.