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Capital market integration in ASEAN: A non-stationary panel data analysis

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  • Chan, Kenneth S.
  • Dang, Vinh Q.T.
  • Lai, Jennifer T.

Abstract

Motivated by the establishment of ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) at the end of 2015, we examine saving-investment relationship in various subgroups of ASEAN to assess their capital market integration. The results from second generation panel unit-root and cointegration tests that account for cross-sectional dependence as well as estimates of long-run saving-retention rate provide some evidence of market integration in ASEAN. The analysis of short-run dynamics suggests that capital mobility in ASEAN during 1980–2014 appears similar to that in OECD countries during 1970–1999. More importantly, across different panel estimators and subgroups of membership, there is considerable heterogeneity among the member countries. The saving-investment association is very weak, thereby implying very high capital mobility, in more developed members such as Singapore, Malaysia, and Brunei; the association is very strong, implying very low capital mobility, for much less developed members such as Laos, Myanmar, and Cambodia. The results call for renewed effort to develop capital markets in less developed nations and integrate them with the rest of the membership in ASEAN. In this paper, we also address several major shortcomings of the original Feldstein-Horioka framework.

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  • Chan, Kenneth S. & Dang, Vinh Q.T. & Lai, Jennifer T., 2018. "Capital market integration in ASEAN: A non-stationary panel data analysis," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 249-260.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecofin:v:46:y:2018:i:c:p:249-260
    DOI: 10.1016/j.najef.2018.04.010
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    Cited by:

    1. Ritesh Patel, 2021. "ASEAN-5 and Indian Financial Market Linkages: Evidence from Cointegration and Factor Analysis," Capital Markets Review, Malaysian Finance Association, vol. 29(1), pages 41-58.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ASEAN; Capital market integration; Saving-investment correlation; Capital mobility; Panel cointegration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration

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