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Is gold a hedge and safe haven for stock market?

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  • Ke Chen
  • Meng Wang

Abstract

The paper aims to examine the hedge and safe haven properties of gold relative to Dow Jones stock industry indices using quantile-GARCH approach. Splitting the sample period into two sub-periods, our results show that the hedge and safe haven properties of gold have a changing nature. In a whole period (1980–2017), gold is not a hedge for Oil&Gas, Basic materials and Utilities; gold is a safe haven for almost all sectors except Technology. While in sub-period I (1980–1995) gold is not a hedge for Oil&Gas but a strong safe haven for all sectors. In sub-period II (1996–2017) gold is not a hedge for Oil&Gas, Basic materials and Utilities, also not a safe haven for Oil&Gas, Basic materials, Utilities, Telecom and Technology.

Suggested Citation

  • Ke Chen & Meng Wang, 2019. "Is gold a hedge and safe haven for stock market?," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(13), pages 1080-1086, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:26:y:2019:i:13:p:1080-1086
    DOI: 10.1080/13504851.2018.1537469
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    Cited by:

    1. Konstantakis, Konstantinos N. & Xidonas, Panos & Michaelides, Panayotis G. & Goutte, Stéphane, 2023. "Gold and CoVid-19: Uncovering the safe haven hypothesis with dynamic MSR modeling," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Choi, Sangyup & Shin, Junhyeok, 2022. "Bitcoin: An inflation hedge but not a safe haven," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 46(PB).
    3. Mensi, Walid & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2021. "Precious metals, oil, and ASEAN stock markets: From global financial crisis to global health crisis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    4. Mei-jun, Ling & Guang-xi, Cao, 2024. "Dynamics of asymmetric multifractal cross-correlations between cryptocurrencies and global stock markets: Role of gold and portfolio implications," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    5. Bentes, Sónia R., 2023. "Is gold a safe haven for the CIVETS countries under extremely adverse market conditions? Some new evidence from the MF-DCCA analysis," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 623(C).
    6. Ariannejad , Aghil & Tehrani , Reza, 2021. "Study on Gold as a Hedge or Safe Haven for the Stock Market by a Markov Switching Approach," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 16(3), pages 377-398, September.
    7. Imran Yousaf & Elie Bouri & Shoaib Ali & Nehme Azoury, 2021. "Gold against Asian Stock Markets during the COVID-19 Outbreak," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-23, April.
    8. Li, Xiafei & Guo, Qiang & Liang, Chao & Umar, Muhammad, 2023. "Forecasting gold volatility with geopolitical risk indices," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    9. Xiafei Li & Dongxin Li & Xuhui Zhang & Guiwu Wei & Lan Bai & Yu Wei, 2021. "Forecasting regular and extreme gold price volatility: The roles of asymmetry, extreme event, and jump," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(8), pages 1501-1523, December.
    10. Ghulam Mujtaba & Asima Siddique & Nader Naifar & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2024. "Hedge and safe haven role of commodities for the US and Chinese equity markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(2), pages 2381-2414, April.
    11. Le, TN-Lan & Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2021. "Time and frequency domain connectedness and spill-over among fintech, green bonds and cryptocurrencies in the age of the fourth industrial revolution," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
    12. Mensi, Walid & Yousaf, Imran & Vo, Xuan Vinh & Kang, Sang Hoon, 2022. "Asymmetric spillover and network connectedness between gold, BRENT oil and EU subsector markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    13. Yang, Junhua & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Bossman, Ahmed & Gubareva, Mariya & Marfo-Yiadom, Edward, 2024. "Energy, metals, market uncertainties, and ESG stocks: Analysing predictability and safe havens," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(PB).
    14. Muhammad Abubakr Naeem & Mudassar Hasan & Muhammad Arif & Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad, 2020. "Can Bitcoin Glitter More Than Gold for Investment Styles?," SAGE Open, , vol. 10(2), pages 21582440209, May.
    15. Demiralay, Sercan & Gencer, Hatice Gaye & Bayraci, Selcuk, 2021. "How do Artificial Intelligence and Robotics Stocks co-move with traditional and alternative assets in the age of the 4th industrial revolution? Implications and Insights for the COVID-19 period," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    16. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md Rafayet & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2024. "Gold-backed cryptocurrencies: A hedging tool against categorical and regional financial stress," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    17. Burdekin, Richard C.K. & Tao, Ran, 2021. "The golden hedge: From global financial crisis to global pandemic," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 170-180.
    18. Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2022. "Is gold a long-run hedge, diversifier, or safe haven for oil? Empirical evidence based on DCC-MIDAS," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).

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