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Connecting the markets? Recent evidence on China’s capital account liberalization

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  • Chan, Marc K.
  • Kwok, Simon

Abstract

We use longitudinal data to investigate abnormal systematic changes in the price disparity of cross-listed stocks in China. We identify a recent liberalization policy that generated an unprecedented abrupt reduction in price disparity. The policy, known as Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect, partially liberalizes capital flow between both stock exchanges. We find that the announcement of the policy caused the price disparity to immediately reduce by 4.0 to 4.5 percentage points. To estimate the longer-run impact, we use a panel data model and a two-step estimator that accounts for unobserved common factors and potential nonstationarity in outcomes. The effect is somewhat smaller, reducing the price disparity by 1.6 to 2.1 percentage points, or 3.0 to 3.5 percentage points after adjusting for spillovers.

Suggested Citation

  • Chan, Marc K. & Kwok, Simon, 2018. "Connecting the markets? Recent evidence on China’s capital account liberalization," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 417-428.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:70:y:2018:i:c:p:417-428
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.08.016
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    Cited by:

    1. Jia Wu & Jiada Lin & Zhenyu Yang & Luo Dong, 2021. "Effects of cross‐border capital flows on stock returns of dual‐listed firms in mainland China and Hong Kong: Evidence from a natural experiment," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(2), pages 212-240, May.
    2. Qianwei Ying & Yanyan Zhu & Mengchao Yao & Ziyang Li, 2021. "Does stock market liberalisation restrain corporate financialisation?," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 61(5), pages 6263-6294, December.
    3. Li, Zhisheng & Liu, Chun & Ni, Xiaoran & Pang, Jiaren, 2024. "Stock market liberalization and corporate investment revisited: Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    4. Chan, Marc K & Kwok, Simon, 2015. "The Effect of Risk Sharing on Asset Prices: Natural Experiment from the Chinese Stock Market Liberalization," Working Papers 2015-19, University of Sydney, School of Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Liberalization; Chinese financial market; Law of one price; Cross-listed shares; Policy evaluation; Panel data;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F36 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Financial Aspects of Economic Integration
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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