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International trade and firms' attitude towards risk

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  • Broll, Udo
  • Mukherjee, Soumyatanu

Abstract

This paper examines the optimal production and trade decisions of the domestic firms facing uncertainties owing to the exchange rate volatility under mean-variance preferences. The impact of uncertain exchange rate fluctuations on trade is evaluated in a partial equilibrium framework, using the concept of risk-aversion elasticities. These elasticities measure how sensitive the firms are towards substituting between return and risk at the margin, with respect to changes in the distribution of the spot exchange rate. This simplest possible analytical framework is useful for explicit empirical estimation of risk-aversion elasticities in the literature of international economics.

Suggested Citation

  • Broll, Udo & Mukherjee, Soumyatanu, 2017. "International trade and firms' attitude towards risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 69-73.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:69-73
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.03.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Udo Broll & Soumyatanu Mukherjee, 2018. "The attitude of multinationals towards risks," Discussion Papers 2018-02, University of Nottingham, GEP.
    2. Vergara, Marcos & Bonilla, Claudio A., 2021. "Precautionary saving in mean-variance models and different sources of risk," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 280-289.
    3. Padhi, Sidhartha S. & Mukherjee, Soumyatanu & Edwin Cheng, T.C., 2024. "Optimal investment decision for industry 4.0 under uncertainties of capability and competence building for managing supply chain risks," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    4. Piotr Rubaj, 2021. "Risk Mitigation in Business Activities on Emerging Markets," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(4B), pages 699-712.
    5. Udo Broll & Soumyatanu Mukherjee & Rudra Sensarma, 2020. "Risk preferences estimation of exporting firms under exchange rate uncertainty," Scottish Journal of Political Economy, Scottish Economic Society, vol. 67(1), pages 126-136, February.
    6. Xu Guo & Andreas Wagener & Wing-Keung Wong & Lixing Zhu, 2018. "The two-moment decision model with additive risks," Risk Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 20(1), pages 77-94, February.
    7. Soumyatanu Mukherjee & Sidhartha S Padhi, 2018. "Risk connectivity and risk mitigation: An analytical framework," Discussion Papers 2018-11, University of Nottingham, CREDIT.
    8. Subhadip Mukherjee & Soumyatanu Mukherjee & Tapas Mishra & Udo Broll & Mamata Parhi, 2021. "Spot exchange rate volatility, uncertain policies and export investment decision of firms: a mean-variance decision approach," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(8), pages 752-773, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Two–moment decision model; Export; Imported intermediate input; Exchange rate risk; Risk–aversion elasticity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D21 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Theory
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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