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Impacts of globalization on the informal sector: Empirical evidence from developing countries

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  • Pham, Thi Hong Hanh

Abstract

A number of theoretical studies have traced the impacts of globalization (mostly characterized by trade integration) on informality, while relevant empirical literature has not been well developed. This paper aims to fill this knowledge gap by shedding further light on the impacts of different globalization dimensions (both economic and non-economic) on informality in developing countries. Employing a new Bayesian Model Averaging technique, which allows panel regression with fixed effects and endogenous regressors, we find that the indicators significantly affecting informality are trade integration, trade diversification and concentration, de facto and de jure financial openness, and social globalization. By contrast, many covariates found significant by previous empirical studies do not seem to be robust to being included in informality modelling.

Suggested Citation

  • Pham, Thi Hong Hanh, 2017. "Impacts of globalization on the informal sector: Empirical evidence from developing countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 207-218.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:62:y:2017:i:c:p:207-218
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2017.01.001
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    F16; F41; O17; J21; Globalization; Informal employment; Shadow economy; Bayesian Model Averaging; Developing countries;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F16 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade and Labor Market Interactions
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure

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