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Modelling banknote printing costs: of cohorts, generations, and note-years

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  • Van Hove, Leo

Abstract

Menzies (2004) uses a ‘cohorts approach’ to model banknote printing costs. This paper proposes a ‘generational approach’ that allows for more realistic assumptions concerning currency growth and note replacement. The paper shows that Menzies' claim that the case for polymer banknotes becomes stronger with higher currency demand is an artefact of his model. In most scenarios, the number of notes in circulation does not affect the relative cost effectiveness of paper and polymer; and when it does, the impact goes in the other direction. A second finding is that the ‘note life over unit-cost rule of thumb’ can be misleading.

Suggested Citation

  • Van Hove, Leo, 2015. "Modelling banknote printing costs: of cohorts, generations, and note-years," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 238-249.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:46:y:2015:i:c:p:238-249
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.12.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shao, Enchuan, 2014. "The threat of counterfeiting in competitive search equilibrium," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 168-185.
    2. Jorge E. Galán and & Miguel Sarmiento, 2008. "Banknote Printing at Modern central Banking: Trends, Costs and Efficiency," Money Affairs, CEMLA, vol. 0(2), pages 217-262, July-Dece.
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    4. Menzies, Gordon, 2004. "Money to burn, or melt? A cost-benefit analysis of Australian polymer banknotes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 355-368, December.
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    6. Bouhdaoui, Y. & Bounie, D. & Van Hove, L., 2013. "When do plastic bills lower the bill for the central bank? A model and estimates for the U.S," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 45-60.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bouhdaoui, Yassine & Van Hove, Leo, 2017. "On the socially optimal density of coin and banknote series: Do production costs really matter?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 252-267.
    2. Anirudh Tagat & Mehmet Özmen & Gregory Markowsky, 2024. "Banknote Life in India: A Survival Analysis Approach," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 22(2), pages 519-545, June.

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