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Modelling banknote printing costs: of cohorts, generations, and note-years

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  • Van Hove, Leo

Abstract

Menzies (2004) uses a ‘cohorts approach’ to model banknote printing costs. This paper proposes a ‘generational approach’ that allows for more realistic assumptions concerning currency growth and note replacement. The paper shows that Menzies' claim that the case for polymer banknotes becomes stronger with higher currency demand is an artefact of his model. In most scenarios, the number of notes in circulation does not affect the relative cost effectiveness of paper and polymer; and when it does, the impact goes in the other direction. A second finding is that the ‘note life over unit-cost rule of thumb’ can be misleading.

Suggested Citation

  • Van Hove, Leo, 2015. "Modelling banknote printing costs: of cohorts, generations, and note-years," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 238-249.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:46:y:2015:i:c:p:238-249
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2014.12.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Menzies, Gordon, 2004. "Money to burn, or melt? A cost-benefit analysis of Australian polymer banknotes," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(3), pages 355-368, December.
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    5. Massoud, Nadia, 2005. "How should Central Banks determine and control their bank note inventory?," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(12), pages 3099-3119, December.
    6. John Chant, 2004. "Counterfeiting: A Canadian Perspective," Staff Working Papers 04-33, Bank of Canada.
    7. Bouhdaoui, Y. & Bounie, D. & Van Hove, L., 2013. "When do plastic bills lower the bill for the central bank? A model and estimates for the U.S," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 45-60.
    8. Bouhdaoui, Y. & Bounie, D., 2012. "Efficient payments: How much do they cost for the Central Bank?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 29(5), pages 1579-1584.
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    10. Ben Fung & Enchuan Shao, 2011. "Modelling the Counterfeiting of Bank Notes: A Literature Review," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 2011(Autumn), pages 29-35.
    11. Bouhdaoui, Y. & Bounie, D. & Van Hove, L., 2011. "Central banks and their banknote series: The efficiency-cost trade-off," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1482-1488, July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bouhdaoui, Yassine & Van Hove, Leo, 2017. "On the socially optimal density of coin and banknote series: Do production costs really matter?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 252-267.
    2. Anirudh Tagat & Mehmet Özmen & Gregory Markowsky, 2024. "Banknote Life in India: A Survival Analysis Approach," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 22(2), pages 519-545, June.

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