IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecmode/v36y2014icp69-78.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multi-period Markowitz's mean–variance portfolio selection with state-dependent exit probability

Author

Listed:
  • Wu, Huiling
  • Zeng, Yan
  • Yao, Haixiang

Abstract

This paper considers a multi-period mean–variance portfolio selection problem with uncertain time-horizon in a regime-switching market, where the conditional distribution of the time-horizon is assumed to be stochastic and depends on the market states as the returns of risky assets do. Existence of the optimal investment strategy is analyzed, and the closed-form expressions for the optimal investment strategy and the efficient frontier are derived. In addition, some interesting properties of the efficient frontier are illustrated by numerical analysis and by comparing with the efficient frontier of the case where the distribution of the uncertain time-horizon does not depend on market states.

Suggested Citation

  • Wu, Huiling & Zeng, Yan & Yao, Haixiang, 2014. "Multi-period Markowitz's mean–variance portfolio selection with state-dependent exit probability," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 69-78.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:36:y:2014:i:c:p:69-78
    DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.09.005
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999313003647
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.09.005?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Blanchet-Scalliet, Christophette & El Karoui, Nicole & Jeanblanc, Monique & Martellini, Lionel, 2008. "Optimal investment decisions when time-horizon is uncertain," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(11), pages 1100-1113, December.
    2. Richard, Scott F., 1975. "Optimal consumption, portfolio and life insurance rules for an uncertain lived individual in a continuous time model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 187-203, June.
    3. Zeng, Yan & Wu, Huiling & Lai, Yongzeng, 2013. "Optimal investment and consumption strategies with state-dependent utility functions and uncertain time-horizon," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 462-470.
    4. Suleyman Basak & Georgy Chabakauri, 2010. "Dynamic Mean-Variance Asset Allocation," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 23(8), pages 2970-3016, August.
    5. Menahem E. Yaari, 1965. "Uncertain Lifetime, Life Insurance, and the Theory of the Consumer," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 32(2), pages 137-150.
    6. Huang, Ming, 2003. "Liquidity shocks and equilibrium liquidity premia," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 104-129, March.
    7. Duan Li & Wan‐Lung Ng, 2000. "Optimal Dynamic Portfolio Selection: Multiperiod Mean‐Variance Formulation," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 10(3), pages 387-406, July.
    8. Yao, Haixiang & Zeng, Yan & Chen, Shumin, 2013. "Multi-period mean–variance asset–liability management with uncontrolled cash flow and uncertain time-horizon," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 492-500.
    9. Lionel Martellini & Branko Uroševi'{c}, 2006. "Static Mean-Variance Analysis with Uncertain Time Horizon," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(6), pages 955-964, June.
    10. Hakansson, Nils H, 1969. "Optimal Investment and Consumption Strategies under Risk, an Uncertain Lifetime, and Insurance," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 10(3), pages 443-466, October.
    11. Hong Liu & Mark Loewenstein, 2002. "Optimal Portfolio Selection with Transaction Costs and Finite Horizons," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(3), pages 805-835.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yuanyuan Zhang & Xiang Li & Sini Guo, 2018. "Portfolio selection problems with Markowitz’s mean–variance framework: a review of literature," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 125-158, June.
    2. Xidonas, Panos & Hassapis, Christis & Soulis, John & Samitas, Aristeidis, 2017. "Robust minimum variance portfolio optimization modelling under scenario uncertainty," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 60-71.
    3. Wu, Huiling & Chen, Hua, 2015. "Nash equilibrium strategy for a multi-period mean–variance portfolio selection problem with regime switching," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 79-90.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lionel Martellini & Branko Uroševi'{c}, 2006. "Static Mean-Variance Analysis with Uncertain Time Horizon," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 52(6), pages 955-964, June.
    2. Huang, Dashan & Zhu, Shu-Shang & Fabozzi, Frank J. & Fukushima, Masao, 2008. "Portfolio selection with uncertain exit time: A robust CVaR approach," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 594-623, February.
    3. Fahmy, Hany, 2020. "Mean-variance-time: An extension of Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio theory," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    4. Weidong Tian & Zimu Zhu, 2020. "A Portfolio Choice Problem Under Risk Capacity Constraint," Papers 2005.13741, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2021.
    5. Jang, Bong-Gyu & Koo, Hyeng Keun & Park, Seyoung, 2019. "Optimal consumption and investment with insurer default risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 44-56.
    6. Mousa, A.S. & Pinheiro, D. & Pinto, A.A., 2016. "Optimal life-insurance selection and purchase within a market of several life-insurance providers," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 133-141.
    7. Fenge Chen & Bing Li & Xingchun Peng, 2022. "Portfolio Selection and Risk Control for an Insurer With Uncertain Time Horizon and Partial Information in an Anticipating Environment," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 635-659, June.
    8. Tian Chen & Ruyi Liu & Zhen Wu, 2022. "Continuous-time mean-variance portfolio selection under non-Markovian regime-switching model with random horizon," Papers 2205.06434, arXiv.org.
    9. Zhou, Zhongbao & Xiao, Helu & Yin, Jialing & Zeng, Ximei & Lin, Ling, 2016. "Pre-commitment vs. time-consistent strategies for the generalized multi-period portfolio optimization with stochastic cash flows," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 187-202.
    10. Christian Dehm & Thai Nguyen & Mitja Stadje, 2020. "Non-concave expected utility optimization with uncertain time horizon," Papers 2005.13831, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2021.
    11. Huang, Zongyuan & Wang, Haiyang & Wu, Zhen, 2020. "A kind of optimal investment problem under inflation and uncertain time horizon," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 375(C).
    12. de Kort, J. & Vellekoop, M.H., 2017. "Existence of optimal consumption strategies in markets with longevity risk," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 107-121.
    13. Blanchet-Scalliet, Christophette & El Karoui, Nicole & Jeanblanc, Monique & Martellini, Lionel, 2008. "Optimal investment decisions when time-horizon is uncertain," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 44(11), pages 1100-1113, December.
    14. Reza Keykhaei, 2020. "Portfolio selection in a regime switching market with a bankruptcy state and an uncertain exit-time: multi-period mean–variance formulation," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 20(3), pages 1231-1254, September.
    15. Yuanyuan Zhang & Xiang Li & Sini Guo, 2018. "Portfolio selection problems with Markowitz’s mean–variance framework: a review of literature," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 17(2), pages 125-158, June.
    16. Huang, H. & Milevsky, M.A. & Salisbury, T.S., 2017. "Retirement spending and biological age," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 58-76.
    17. Abel, Andrew B & Warshawsky, Mark, 1988. "Specification of the Joy of Giving: Insights from Altruism," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 70(1), pages 145-149, February.
    18. Julien Hugonnier & Florian Pelgrin, 2013. "Health and (Other) Asset Holdings," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 80(2), pages 663-710.
    19. Huang, Huaxiong & Milevsky, Moshe A., 2008. "Portfolio choice and mortality-contingent claims: The general HARA case," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(11), pages 2444-2452, November.
    20. Blanchet-Scalliet, Christophette & El Karoui, Nicole & Martellini, Lionel, 2005. "Dynamic asset pricing theory with uncertain time-horizon," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 29(10), pages 1737-1764, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:36:y:2014:i:c:p:69-78. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/30411 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.