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Bootstrapping covariate stationarity tests for inflation rates

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  • Lee, Cheng-Feng
  • Tsong, Ching-Chuan

Abstract

This paper investigates the stationarity properties of international inflation rates by bootstrapping two stationarity tests with covariates in Jansson (2004). When the asymptotic critical values are used, the two powerful tests are found to reject the null hypothesis less in the presence of a large negative moving-average (MA) error in inflation. To cope with this problem, a parametric bootstrap scheme is developed and then is investigated by a Monte Carlo study. The simulation results demonstrate that the bootstrap tests display a better control over the empirical rejection rates at finite samples. Furthermore, after applying these tests to the inflation in G-10 countries, we find that one of the two tests using bootstrap critical values yields inferences that differ from when using asymptotic ones, and as a whole, the bootstrap tests consistently provide strong evidence in support of mean reversion in inflation in most countries of the G-10.

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  • Lee, Cheng-Feng & Tsong, Ching-Chuan, 2009. "Bootstrapping covariate stationarity tests for inflation rates," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 26(6), pages 1443-1448, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecmode:v:26:y:2009:i:6:p:1443-1448
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Bolat, Süleyman & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Kyophilavong, Phouphet, 2017. "Testing the inflation rates in MENA countries: Evidence from quantile regression approach and seasonal unit root test," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 1089-1095.
    3. Chang, Tsangyao & Ranjbar, Omid & Tang, D.P., 2013. "Revisiting the mean reversion of inflation rates for 22 OECD countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 245-252.
    4. Cheng-Feng Lee & Ching-Chuan Tsong, 2013. "Bootstrapping Covariate Unit Root Tests: An Application To Inflation Rates," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 65, pages 165-174, May.

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