IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/ecanpo/v83y2024icp404-420.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbate the disincentive effect of trade tariffs on global value chains (GVCs) embeddedness?

Author

Listed:
  • Chen, Lin
  • Tan, Jingrong

Abstract

This paper investigates the impact of trade tariffs on the global value chains (GVCs) embeddedness across 42 economies during the period 2007-2021. We employ empirical analysis to discern the nuanced effects of trade tariffs on GVCs embeddedness, with a focus on asymmetries between developed and developing countries and variations across industry sectors. Our findings reveal a significant dampening effect of trade tariffs on GVCs embeddedness, particularly pronounced in developing countries and the secondary industry sector. The exacerbating influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on the inhibitory relationship between trade tariffs and GVCs embeddedness is also considered, highlighting intensified effects, especially within developing countries and secondary industries.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Lin & Tan, Jingrong, 2024. "Does the COVID-19 pandemic exacerbate the disincentive effect of trade tariffs on global value chains (GVCs) embeddedness?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 404-420.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:83:y:2024:i:c:p:404-420
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2024.04.033
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0313592624001656
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.eap.2024.04.033?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dimitropoulos, Panagiotis & Koronios, Konstantinos & Sakka, Georgia, 2023. "International business sustainability and global value chains: Synthesis, framework and research agenda," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 29(5).
    2. Cosimo Beverelli & Victor Stolzenburg & Robert B. Koopman & Simon Neumueller, 2019. "Domestic value chains as stepping stones to global value chain integration," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(5), pages 1467-1494, May.
    3. Stephens, Emma & Timsina, Jagadish & Martin, Guillaume & van Wijk, Mark & Klerkx, Laurens & Reidsma, Pytrik & Snow, Val, 2022. "The immediate impact of the first waves of the global COVID-19 pandemic on agricultural systems worldwide: Reflections on the COVID-19 special issue for agricultural systems," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    4. Roger Strange, 2020. "The 2020 Covid-19 pandemic and global value chains," Economia e Politica Industriale: Journal of Industrial and Business Economics, Springer;Associazione Amici di Economia e Politica Industriale, vol. 47(3), pages 455-465, September.
    5. Yuwan Duan & Ting Ji & Dongzhou Mei, 2021. "Tariff costs embodied in product prices: a dynamic analysis from global value chain perspective," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(1), pages 88-113, January.
    6. Mary Amiti & Jozef Konings, 2007. "Trade Liberalization, Intermediate Inputs, and Productivity: Evidence from Indonesia," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(5), pages 1611-1638, December.
    7. Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Devpura, Neluka & Wang, Hua, 2020. "Japanese currency and stock market—What happened during the COVID-19 pandemic?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 191-198.
    8. Mahdi Ghodsi & Robert Stehrer, 2022. "Trade policy and global value chains: tariffs versus non-tariff measures," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 158(3), pages 887-916, August.
    9. Chen, Mo & Xue, Wei-Xian & Zhao, Xin-Xin & Chang, Chun-Ping & Liu, Xiaoxia, 2024. "The impact of economic sanctions on the COVID-19 pandemic," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 163-174.
    10. Baldwin, Richard & Robert-Nicoud, Frédéric, 2014. "Trade-in-goods and trade-in-tasks: An integrating framework," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(1), pages 51-62.
    11. Rebecca Freeman & Richard Baldwin, 2022. "Risks and Global Supply Chains: What We Know and What We Need to Know," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 153-180, August.
    12. Anderer, Christina & Dür, Andreas & Lechner, Lisa, 2020. "Trade policy in a “GVC World”: Multinational corporations and trade liberalization," Business and Politics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(4), pages 639-666, December.
    13. Meng Qin & Xiuyan Liu & Xiaoxue Zhou, 2020. "COVID-19 Shock and Global Value Chains: Is There a Substitute for China?," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(15), pages 3588-3598, December.
    14. Sally Chen & Eric Tsang & Leanne Si Ying Zhang, 2023. "Global supply chain interdependence and shock amplification - evidence from Covid lockdowns," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, March.
    15. Keijser, Charlotte & Belderbos, René & Goedhuys, Micheline, 2021. "Governance and learning in global, regional, and local value chains: The IT enabled services industry in South Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 141(C).
    16. Choksy, Umair Shafi & Ayaz, Muhammad & Al-Tabbaa, Omar & Parast, Mahour, 2022. "Supplier resilience under the COVID-19 crisis in apparel global value chain (GVC): The role of GVC governance and supplier’s upgrading," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 249-267.
    17. Ana M. Fernandes & Caroline Paunov, 2015. "The Risks of Innovation: Are Innovating Firms Less Likely to Die?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 638-653, July.
    18. Syed Aun R. Rizvi & Solikin M. Juhro & Paresh Kumar Narayan, 2021. "Understanding Market Reaction To Covid-19 Monetary And Fiscal Stimulus In Major Asean Countries," Bulletin of Monetary Economics and Banking, Bank Indonesia, vol. 24(3), pages 313-334, September.
    19. Vahid Nooraie, S. & Parast, Mahour Mellat, 2016. "Mitigating supply chain disruptions through the assessment of trade-offs among risks, costs and investments in capabilities," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(P1), pages 8-21.
    20. Bernard Hoekman, 2020. "Global Value Chains: Inter-Industry Linkages, Trade Costs and Policies," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(2), pages 189-193, September.
    21. Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2021. "COVID-19 research outcomes: An agenda for future research," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 439-445.
    22. Gary Gereffi, 2020. "What does the COVID-19 pandemic teach us about global value chains? The case of medical supplies," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 3(3), pages 287-301, September.
    23. Richard Baldwin, 2016. "The World Trade Organization and the Future of Multilateralism," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 30(1), pages 95-116, Winter.
    24. Khorana, Sangeeta & Escaith, Hubert & Ali, Salamat & Kumari, Sushma & Do, Quynh, 2022. "The changing contours of global value chains post-COVID: Evidence from the Commonwealth," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 153(C), pages 75-86.
    25. Hitt, Michael A. & Holmes, R. Michael & Arregle, Jean-Luc, 2021. "The (COVID-19) pandemic and the new world (dis)order," Journal of World Business, Elsevier, vol. 56(4).
    26. Blanchard,Emily J. & Bown,Chad P. & Johnson,Robert Christopher & Blanchard,Emily J. & Bown,Chad P. & Johnson,Robert Christopher, 2016. "Global supply chains and trade policy," Policy Research Working Paper Series 7536, The World Bank.
    27. Zhi Wang & Shang-Jin Wei & Kunfu Zhu, 2013. "Quantifying International Production Sharing at the Bilateral and Sector Levels," NBER Working Papers 19677, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    28. Hummels, David & Ishii, Jun & Yi, Kei-Mu, 2001. "The nature and growth of vertical specialization in world trade," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1), pages 75-96, June.
    29. Louise Curran & Khalid Nadvi & Liam Campling, 2019. "The influence of tariff regimes on global production networks (GPNs)," Journal of Economic Geography, Oxford University Press, vol. 19(4), pages 873-895.
    30. C. T. Vidya & K. P. Prabheesh, 2020. "Implications of COVID-19 Pandemic on the Global Trade Networks," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(10), pages 2408-2421, August.
    31. Robert Koopman & William Powers & Zhi Wang & Shang-Jin Wei, 2010. "Give Credit Where Credit Is Due: Tracing Value Added in Global Production Chains," NBER Working Papers 16426, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    32. Amendolagine, Vito & Presbitero, Andrea F. & Rabellotti, Roberta & Sanfilippo, Marco, 2019. "Local sourcing in developing countries: The role of foreign direct investments and global value chains," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 73-88.
    33. Ferrantino, Michael J. & Wang, Zhi, 2008. "Accounting for discrepancies in bilateral trade: The case of China, Hong Kong, and the United States," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 502-520, September.
    34. Fally, Thibault, 2015. "Structural gravity and fixed effects," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 76-85.
    35. McAusland, Carol & Millimet, Daniel L., 2013. "Do national borders matter? Intranational trade, international trade, and the environment," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 65(3), pages 411-437.
    36. Zhang, Zhen & Gao, Yue & Wei, Taoyuan, 2022. "The Impact of Trade Barrier Reductions on Global Value Chains for Agricultural Products in China and Countries along the ‘Belt and Road’," World Trade Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(2), pages 224-248, May.
    37. de Lucio, Juan & Díaz-Mora, Carmen & Mínguez, Raúl & Minondo, Asier & Requena, Francisco, 2023. "Do firms react to supply chain disruptions?," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 902-916.
    38. Ashraf, Sania & P., Jithin & Slim, Skander & Najeeb, Roshen, 2023. "Global value chains and economic complexity index: Evidence from generalized panel quantile regression," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 347-365.
    39. Michael Hitt & R. Michael Holmes & Jean-Luc Arregle, 2021. "The (COVID-19) Pandemic and the New World (Dis)Order," Post-Print hal-03188240, HAL.
    40. Mostafiz, Md Imtiaz & Musteen, Martina & Saiyed, Abrarali & Ahsan, Mujtaba, 2022. "COVID-19 and the global value chain: Immediate dynamics and long-term restructuring in the garment industry," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 139(C), pages 1588-1603.
    41. Lucia Tajoli & Giulia Felice, 2018. "Global Value Chains Participation and Knowledge Spillovers in Developed and Developing Countries: An Empirical Investigation," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 30(3), pages 505-532, July.
    42. Robert C. Johnson & Guillermo Noguera, 2012. "Proximity and Production Fragmentation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 102(3), pages 407-411, May.
    43. Simon J. Evenett, 2020. "Chinese whispers: COVID-19, global supply chains in essential goods, and public policy," Journal of International Business Policy, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 3(4), pages 408-429, December.
    44. Elias Hadjielias & Michael Christofi & Shlomo Tarba, 2022. "Contextualizing small business resilience during the COVID-19 pandemic: evidence from small business owner-managers," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 59(4), pages 1351-1380, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nenci, Silvia & Fusacchia, Ilaria & Giunta, Anna & Montalbano, Pierluigi & Pietrobelli, Carlo, 2022. "Mapping global value chain participation and positioning in agriculture and food: stylised facts, empirical evidence and critical issues," Bio-based and Applied Economics Journal, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA), vol. 11(2), July.
    2. Antimiani, Alessandro & Fusacchia, Ilaria & Salvatici, Luca, 2016. "Value Added Trade Restrictiveness Indexes. Measuring Protection with Global Value Chains," Conference papers 332745, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. João Amador & Sónia Cabral, 2014. "Global Value Chains: Surveying Drivers, Measures and Impacts," Working Papers w201403, Banco de Portugal, Economics and Research Department.
    4. Prabheesh, K.P. & Sasongko, Aryo & Indawan, Fiskara, 2023. "Did the policy responses influence credit and business cycle co-movement during the COVID-19 crisis? Evidence from Indonesia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 243-255.
    5. Georgios Angelidis & Charalambos Bratsas & Georgios Makris & Evangelos Ioannidis & Nikos C. Varsakelis & Ioannis E. Antoniou, 2021. "Global Value Chains of COVID-19 Materials: A Weighted Directed Network Analysis," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(24), pages 1-19, December.
    6. Rebecca Freeman & Richard Baldwin, 2022. "Risks and Global Supply Chains: What We Know and What We Need to Know," Annual Review of Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 14(1), pages 153-180, August.
    7. Magdalena Olczyk & Aleksandra Kordalska, 2017. "Gross Exports Versus Value-Added Exports: Determinants and Policy Implications for Manufacturing Sectors in Selected CEE Countries," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(1), pages 91-109, January.
    8. Luca Salvatici & Silvia Nenci, 2017. "New features, forgotten costs and counterfactual gains of the international trading system," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 44(4), pages 592-633.
    9. Arjan Lejour & Hugo Rojas-Romagosa & Paul Veenendaal, 2017. "Identifying hubs and spokes in global supply chains using redirected trade in value added," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(1), pages 66-81, January.
    10. Charles Ackah & Holger Görg & Aoife Hanley & Cecilia Hornok, 2024. "Africa’s businesswomen – underfunded or underperforming?," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 62(3), pages 1051-1074, March.
    11. Krantz, Sebastian, 2024. "Patterns of Global and Regional Integration in the East African Community," Kiel Working Papers 2245, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), revised 2024.
    12. Gideon Ndubuisi & Solomon Owusu, 2023. "Trade for catch-up: examining how global value chains participation affects productive efficiency," Journal of Productivity Analysis, Springer, vol. 59(2), pages 195-215, April.
    13. Adam Jakubik & Victor Stolzenburg, 2020. "Footloose Global Value Chains: How Trade Costs Make a Difference," Review of Industrial Organization, Springer;The Industrial Organization Society, vol. 57(2), pages 245-261, September.
    14. Nacewska-Twardowska Aleksandra, 2022. "Poland and global value chains at the beginning of the 21st century – An opportunity or a threat?," International Journal of Management and Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, Collegium of World Economy, vol. 58(1), pages 33-43, March.
    15. Pol Antràs & Davin Chor, 2021. "Global Value Chains," NBER Working Papers 28549, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Aleksandra Parteka & Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz, 2019. "Global Value Chains and Wages: Multi-Country Evidence from Linked Worker-Industry Data," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(3), pages 505-539, July.
    17. Saygılı, Hülya, 2017. "Production fragmentation and factor price convergence," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 535-544.
    18. Aleksandra Parteka & Joanna Wolszczak-Derlacz, 2020. "Wage response to global production links: evidence for workers from 28 European countries (2005–2014)," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 156(4), pages 769-801, November.
    19. Gideon Ndubuisi & Solomon Owusu, 2021. "How important is GVC participation to export upgrading?," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 44(10), pages 2887-2908, October.
    20. Congxin Li & Xu Zhang, 2022. "The Influencing Mechanisms on Global Industrial Value Chains Embedded in Trade Implied Carbon Emissions from a Higher-Order Networks Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-38, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:83:y:2024:i:c:p:404-420. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/economic-analysis-and-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.