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Energy consumption, economic policy uncertainty and carbon emissions; causality evidence from resource rich economies

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  • Adams, Samuel
  • Adedoyin, Festus
  • Olaniran, Eniola
  • Bekun, Festus Victor

Abstract

The study uses the World Uncertainty Index to analyze the long-run relationship of economic policy uncertainty and energy consumption for countries with high geopolitical risk over the period 1996–2017. The Kao test shows a cointegration association between energy consumption, economic growth, geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty, and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The results based on the Panel Pooled Mean Group-Autoregressive Distributed lag model (PMG-ARDL) show that energy consumption and economic growth contribute to (CO2) emissions. Additionally, there is a significant association between economic uncertainty and CO2 emissions in the long-run. The panel causality analysis by Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) shows a bidirectional relationship between CO2 emissions and energy consumption, economic policy uncertainty and CO2 emissions, economic growth and CO2 emissions, but a unidirectional causality from CO2 emissions to geopolitical risks. The findings call for vital changes in energy policies to accommodate economic policy uncertainties and geopolitical risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Adams, Samuel & Adedoyin, Festus & Olaniran, Eniola & Bekun, Festus Victor, 2020. "Energy consumption, economic policy uncertainty and carbon emissions; causality evidence from resource rich economies," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 179-190.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecanpo:v:68:y:2020:i:c:p:179-190
    DOI: 10.1016/j.eap.2020.09.012
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