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From mind to market: A global, dynamic analysis of R&D

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  • Hinloopen, Jeroen
  • Smrkolj, Grega
  • Wagener, Florian

Abstract

Existing models of R&D are not easily reconciled with four observable aspects of R&D: initial technologies (ideas) need to be developed further, only a minority of initial ideas are successfully brought to the market, production and process innovations take place simultaneously (whereby, initially, there is no production at all), and process innovations are implemented for technologies that are destined to leave the market. We present a detailed bifurcation analysis for a dynamic model of R&D that captures these observations in one, unifying framework. As we provide a global analysis, we do not limit initial technologies to carry marginal costs that are below the choke price. We show that there always exists a critical value of initial marginal cost above which the firm does not initiate any (R&D) activity; the path to the saddle-point steady state is never globally optimal. We also sketch some tentative policy implications of our analysis.

Suggested Citation

  • Hinloopen, Jeroen & Smrkolj, Grega & Wagener, Florian, 2013. "From mind to market: A global, dynamic analysis of R&D," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 2729-2754.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:37:y:2013:i:12:p:2729-2754
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2013.07.009
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    Cited by:

    1. Hinloopen, J. & Smrkolj, G. & Wagener, F.O.O., 2013. "In Defense of Trusts: R&D Cooperation in Global Perspective," CeNDEF Working Papers 13-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    2. Zhang, Wei-Bin, 2017. "Endogenous wealth and knowledge in Heckscher-Ohlin theory," International Journal of Development and Conflict, Gokhale Institute of Politics and Economics, vol. 7(2), pages 119-137.
    3. Bondarev, Anton, 2018. "Robust policy schemes for R&D games with asymmetric information," Working papers 2018/01, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    4. Smrkolj, Grega & Wagener, Florian, 2019. "Research among copycats: R&D, spillovers, and feedback strategies," International Journal of Industrial Organization, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 82-120.
    5. Jeroen Hinloopen & Grega Smrkolj & Florian Wagener, 2017. "Research and Development Cooperatives and Market Collusion: A Global Dynamic Approach," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 174(2), pages 567-612, August.
    6. Kováč, Eugen & Žigić, Krešimir, 2016. "Persistence of monopoly, innovation, and R&D spillovers," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(4), pages 714-734.
    7. Dawid, Herbert & Keoula, Michel Y. & Kopel, Michael & Kort, Peter M., 2015. "Product innovation incentives by an incumbent firm: A dynamic analysis," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 411-438.
    8. Herbert Dawid & Michel Y. Keoula & Peter M. Kort, 2017. "Numerical Analysis of Markov-Perfect Equilibria with Multiple Stable Steady States: A Duopoly Application with Innovative Firms," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 7(4), pages 555-577, December.
    9. Dawid, Herbert & Muehlheusser, Gerd, 2022. "Smart products: Liability, investments in product safety, and the timing of market introduction," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    10. Zhang Wei-Bin, 2017. "A Multi-Country Trade and Tourism with Endogenous Capital and Knowledge," Business Systems Research, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 71-91, March.
    11. Wei-Bin Zhang, 2018. "Growth, Research, and Free Trade with Knowledge as Global Public Capital," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 37-66.
    12. Anton Bondarev, 2019. "Robust Policy Schemes for Differential R&D Games with Asymmetric Information," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 9(2), pages 391-415, June.
    13. Anton Bondarev, 2021. "Games Without Winners: Catching-up with Asymmetric Spillovers," Dynamic Games and Applications, Springer, vol. 11(4), pages 670-703, December.
    14. Maria Caterina Bramati & Arsen Palestini & Mauro Rota, 2016. "Effects of Law-Enforcement Efficiency and Duration of Trials in an Oligopolistic Competition Among Fair and Unfair Firms," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 170(2), pages 650-669, August.
    15. Bondarev, Anton & Krysiak, Frank C., 2017. "Temporary and permanent technology lock-ins in the quality-differentiated Bertrand competition," Working papers 2017/09, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    16. Kiseleva, T. & Wagener, F.O.O., 2011. "Bifurcations of Optimal Vector Fields," CeNDEF Working Papers 11-05, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    17. Anton Bondarev & Frank C. Krysiak, 2017. "Robust policy schemes for R&D games with asymmetric information," Working papers 2017/14, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.
    18. Jeroen Hinloopen & Grega Smrkolj & Florian Wagener, 2016. "R&D Cooperatives and Market Collusion: A Global Dynamic Approach," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 16-048/II, Tinbergen Institute.
    19. Tatiana Kiseleva & Florian Wagener, 2015. "Bifurcations of Optimal Vector Fields," Mathematics of Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 40(1), pages 24-55, February.
    20. Gezer, Serhat, 2019. "Delaying product introduction: A dynamic analysis with endogenous time horizon," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 96-114.
    21. Herbert Dawid & Gerd Muehlheusser, 2019. "Smart products: liability, timing of market introduction, and investments in product safety," CESifo Working Paper Series 7673, CESifo.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bifurcations; Innovation; Monopoly; Optimal control; R&D;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D42 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - Monopoly
    • L12 - Industrial Organization - - Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance - - - Monopoly; Monopolization Strategies
    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives

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