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Bifurcations of optimal vector fields in the shallow lake model

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  • Kiseleva, Tatiana
  • Wagener, F.O.O.

Abstract

The solution structure of the set of optimal solutions of the shallow lake problem, a problem of optimal pollution management, is studied as we vary the values of the system parameters: the natural resilience, the relative importance of the resource for social welfare and the future discount rate. We find parameter values at which qualitative changes occur. Using theoretical results on the bifurcations of the solution structure to infinite horizon optimization problems obtained earlier, we give a fairly complete bifurcation analysis of the shallow lake problem. In particular, we show how the increase of the discount rate affects the parameter regions where an oligotrophic steady state, corresponding to low pollution level, is globally stable or locally stable under optimal dynamics. Asymptotically, an increase of the discount rate can be offset with a proportional increase of the relative social weight of the resource.

Suggested Citation

  • Kiseleva, Tatiana & Wagener, F.O.O., 2010. "Bifurcations of optimal vector fields in the shallow lake model," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 34(5), pages 825-843, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:34:y:2010:i:5:p:825-843
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Florian Wagener, 2013. "Shallow lake economics run deep: nonlinear aspects of an economic-ecological interest conflict," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 423-450, December.
    2. Karl-Göran Mäler & Anastasios Xepapadeas & Aart de Zeeuw, 2003. "The Economics of Shallow Lakes," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 26(4), pages 603-624, December.
    3. Dieter Grass & Jonathan P. Caulkins & Gustav Feichtinger & Gernot Tragler & Doris A. Behrens, 2008. "Optimal Control of Nonlinear Processes," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-540-77647-5, June.
    4. Wagener, F.O.O., 2005. "Structural analysis of optimal investment for firms with non-concave revenue," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 57(4), pages 474-489, August.
    5. Wagener, F. O. O., 2003. "Skiba points and heteroclinic bifurcations, with applications to the shallow lake system," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 27(9), pages 1533-1561, July.
    6. J. P. Caulkins & G. Feichtinger & D. Grass & G. Tragler, 2007. "Bifurcating DNS Thresholds in a Model of Organizational Bridge Building," Journal of Optimization Theory and Applications, Springer, vol. 133(1), pages 19-35, April.
    7. Wagener, F.O.O., 2003. "Structural analysis of optimal investment for firms with non-concave production," CeNDEF Working Papers 03-08, Universiteit van Amsterdam, Center for Nonlinear Dynamics in Economics and Finance.
    8. W.A. Brock & D. Starrett, 2003. "Managing Systems with Non-convex Positive Feedback," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 26(4), pages 575-602, December.
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