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The productivity growth slowdown and Kaldor’s growth facts

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  • Duernecker, Georg
  • Herrendorf, Berthold
  • Valentinyi, Ákos

Abstract

The productivity growth slowdown that started in the 1970s presents a challenge to Kaldor’s growth facts and the one-sector growth model. We ask: What natural modification of the growth model can generate a prolonged productivity growth slowdown? We show that the two-sector version with separate consumption and investment sectors has a balanced growth path equilibrium along which productivity growth slows down if two conditions hold: real GDP is measured with the Fisher index; productivity growth in the consumption sector slows down. We also show that real GDP measured with the Fisher index is a welfare measure in the two-sector version.

Suggested Citation

  • Duernecker, Georg & Herrendorf, Berthold & Valentinyi, Ákos, 2021. "The productivity growth slowdown and Kaldor’s growth facts," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:130:y:2021:i:c:s0165188921001354
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2021.104200
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fisher index; Kaldor’s growth facts; Productivity growth slowdown; Two-sector growth model;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models
    • O47 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - Empirical Studies of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity; Cross-Country Output Convergence
    • O51 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - U.S.; Canada

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