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Probability of living through a period of economic instability

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  • Elliott, William
  • Friedline, Terri
  • Nam, Ilsung

Abstract

Welfare Based on Assets, a Way to Smooth Out Economic Instability and Develop Children's Human Capital is a four-part series of reports that focuses on the relationship between economic instability (i.e., income shocks, asset shocks, home loss, and asset poverty) and children's human capital development. Collectively, these reports build on the compelling observation that the pattern low-income families walk into is a present time oriented or consumption based pattern of behavior; in contrast, the pattern higher income families walk into is future oriented or asset based. In this first paper we find that between 2005 and 2009 the probability of a low-income child living through an income shock is between 43% (major shock) and 55% (minor shock). In contrast, the chance of a high-income child experiencing an income shock is between 6% (major shock) and 15% (minor shock) during the same period. We also find that the probability that a child will experience a net worth asset shock close to doubles for a child living in a black or low-income family between 2005 and 2009 when compared to 2000 and 2004. Policy implications are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Elliott, William & Friedline, Terri & Nam, Ilsung, 2013. "Probability of living through a period of economic instability," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 453-460.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:cysrev:v:35:y:2013:i:3:p:453-460
    DOI: 10.1016/j.childyouth.2012.12.014
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Yunju Nam, 2008. "Welfare Reform and Asset Accumulation: Asset Limit Changes, Financial Assets, and Vehicle Ownership," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 89(1), pages 133-154, March.
    2. Hacker, Jacob S., 2004. "Privatizing Risk without Privatizing the Welfare State: The Hidden Politics of Social Policy Retrenchment in the United States," American Political Science Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 98(2), pages 243-260, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Tapfuiwa J Katsinde, 2024. "The Effects of Economic Instability on Secondary School Students in Zimbabwe: A Case of a Province," International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science (IJRISS), vol. 8(7), pages 204-226, July.
    2. Anne Blumenthal & David W. Rothwell, 2018. "The Measurement and Description of Child Income and Asset Poverty in Canada," Child Indicators Research, Springer;The International Society of Child Indicators (ISCI), vol. 11(6), pages 1907-1933, December.
    3. Terri Friedline & Ilsung Nam & Vernon Loke, 2014. "Households’ Net Worth Accumulation Patterns and Young Adults’ Financial Health: Ripple Effects of the Great Recession?," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 390-410, September.
    4. Lewis, Melinda & Cramer, Reid & Elliott, William & Sprague, Aleta, 2014. "Policies to promote economic stability, asset building, and child development," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 15-21.

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