IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/csdana/v54y2010i12p3289-3299.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Bayesian variable selection for Poisson regression with underreported responses

Author

Listed:
  • Powers, Stephanie
  • Gerlach, Richard
  • Stamey, James

Abstract

Variable selection for Poisson regression when the response variable is potentially underreported is considered. A logistic regression model is used to model the latent underreporting probabilities. An efficient MCMC sampling scheme is designed, incorporating uncertainty about which explanatory variables affect the dependent variable and which affect the underreporting probabilities. Validation data is required in order to identify and estimate all parameters. A simulation study illustrates favorable results both in terms of variable selection and parameter estimation. Finally, the procedure is applied to a real data example concerning deaths from cervical cancer.

Suggested Citation

  • Powers, Stephanie & Gerlach, Richard & Stamey, James, 2010. "Bayesian variable selection for Poisson regression with underreported responses," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(12), pages 3289-3299, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:12:p:3289-3299
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167-9473(10)00147-7
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only.
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Smith, Michael & Kohn, Robert, 1996. "Nonparametric regression using Bayesian variable selection," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 317-343, December.
    2. A. S. Whittemore & G. Gong, 1991. "Poisson Regression with Misclassified Counts: Application to Cervical Cancer Mortality Rates," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 40(1), pages 81-93, March.
    3. Rosychuk, Rhonda J. & Shofiqul Islam, 2009. "Parameter estimation in a model for misclassified Markov data -- a Bayesian approach," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(11), pages 3805-3816, September.
    4. Roldán Nofuentes, J.A. & Luna del Castillo, J.D. & Montero Alonso, M.A., 2009. "Determining sample size to evaluate and compare the accuracy of binary diagnostic tests in the presence of partial disease verification," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 53(3), pages 742-755, January.
    5. Richard Gerlach & Ron Bird & Anthony D. Hall, 2000. "A Bayesian Approach to Variable Selection in Logistic Regression with Application to Predicting Earnings Direction from Accounting Information," Research Paper Series 47, Quantitative Finance Research Centre, University of Technology, Sydney.
    6. Leonhard Knorr‐Held, 1999. "Conditional Prior Proposals in Dynamic Models," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 26(1), pages 129-144, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Satkartar K. Kinney & David B. Dunson, 2007. "Fixed and Random Effects Selection in Linear and Logistic Models," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 63(3), pages 690-698, September.
    2. Stefan Lang & Eva-Maria Pronk & Ludwig Fahrmeir, 2002. "Function estimation with locally adaptive dynamic models," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 479-499, December.
    3. Brezger, Andreas & Lang, Stefan, 2006. "Generalized structured additive regression based on Bayesian P-splines," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(4), pages 967-991, February.
    4. Ron Bird & Richard Gerlach, 2006. "A Bayesian Model Averaging Approach to Enhance Value Investment," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 5(2), pages 111-127, August.
    5. Giordani, Paolo & Jacobson, Tor & Schedvin, Erik von & Villani, Mattias, 2014. "Taking the Twists into Account: Predicting Firm Bankruptcy Risk with Splines of Financial Ratios," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(4), pages 1071-1099, August.
    6. Hoeting, Jennifer A. & Ibrahim, Joseph G., 1998. "Bayesian predictive simultaneous variable and transformation selection in the linear model," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 28(1), pages 87-103, July.
    7. Bin Jiang & Anastasios Panagiotelis & George Athanasopoulos & Rob Hyndman & Farshid Vahid, 2016. "Bayesian Rank Selection in Multivariate Regression," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 6/16, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
    8. Fernandez, Carmen & Ley, Eduardo & Steel, Mark F. J., 2001. "Benchmark priors for Bayesian model averaging," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 100(2), pages 381-427, February.
    9. Ji, Yonggang & Lin, Nan & Zhang, Baoxue, 2012. "Model selection in binary and tobit quantile regression using the Gibbs sampler," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 827-839.
    10. Dimitris Korobilis, 2008. "Forecasting in vector autoregressions with many predictors," Advances in Econometrics, in: Bayesian Econometrics, pages 403-431, Emerald Group Publishing Limited.
    11. Bruno Scarpa & David B. Dunson, 2014. "Enriched Stick-Breaking Processes for Functional Data," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 109(506), pages 647-660, June.
    12. M. P. Wand, 2000. "A Comparison of Regression Spline Smoothing Procedures," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 15(4), pages 443-462, December.
    13. Shively, Thomas S. & Kockelman, Kara & Damien, Paul, 2010. "A Bayesian semi-parametric model to estimate relationships between crash counts and roadway characteristics," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 699-715, June.
    14. John A. Rice & Colin O. Wu, 2001. "Nonparametric Mixed Effects Models for Unequally Sampled Noisy Curves," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 57(1), pages 253-259, March.
    15. Nott, David J., 2008. "Predictive performance of Dirichlet process shrinkage methods in linear regression," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(7), pages 3658-3669, March.
    16. Luz Adriana Pereira & Daniel Taylor‐Rodríguez & Luis Gutiérrez, 2020. "A Bayesian nonparametric testing procedure for paired samples," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 76(4), pages 1133-1146, December.
    17. Enrique Moral-Benito, 2015. "Model Averaging In Economics: An Overview," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 29(1), pages 46-75, February.
    18. Gholamreza Hajargasht, 2009. "Nonparametric Panel Data Models, A Penalized Spline Approach," CEPA Working Papers Series WP052009, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
    19. Håvard Rue & Ingelin Steinsland & Sveinung Erland, 2004. "Approximating hidden Gaussian Markov random fields," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 877-892, November.
    20. Ruggieri, Eric & Lawrence, Charles E., 2012. "On efficient calculations for Bayesian variable selection," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(6), pages 1319-1332.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:csdana:v:54:y:2010:i:12:p:3289-3299. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/csda .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.