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Sentiment traders & IPO initial returns: The Indian evidence

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  • Clarke, Jonathan
  • Khurshed, Arif
  • Pande, Alok
  • Singh, Ajai K.

Abstract

We use India's unique regulatory design to test sentiment-based models of IPO initial returns. Using a sample of 362 Indian offerings from 2003 to 2014, we find that the traditional measure of IPO underpricing averages 23%. We decompose the traditional underpricing measure into two components: one related to voluntary underpricing by the underwriter and the other component related to the IPO's first-day trading activity. We find minimal levels of voluntary underpricing. However, initial returns on the first day average 14% and are primarily driven by the unmet demand of non-institutional investor groups. Overall, our results support sentiment-based models of IPO initial returns.

Suggested Citation

  • Clarke, Jonathan & Khurshed, Arif & Pande, Alok & Singh, Ajai K., 2016. "Sentiment traders & IPO initial returns: The Indian evidence," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 24-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:corfin:v:37:y:2016:i:c:p:24-37
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2015.10.007
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    Cited by:

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    9. Akron, Sagi & Samdani, Taufique, 2017. "Investor protection and institutional investors’ incentive for information production," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 1-15.
    10. Neupane, Suman & Marshall, Andrew & Paudyal, Krishna & Thapa, Chandra, 2017. "Do investors flip less in bookbuilding than in auction IPOs?," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 253-268.
    11. Hyoung-Goo Kang & Kyounghun Bae & Jung Ah Shin & Seongmin Jeon, 2021. "Will data on internet queries predict the performance in the marketplace: an empirical study on online searches and IPO stock returns," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 101-124, March.
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    13. Wadhwa, Kavita & Nagi Reddy, V. & Goyal, Abhinav & Mohamed, Abdulkadir, 2016. "IPOs and SEOs, real investments, and market timing: Emerging market evidence," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 21-41.
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    16. Chen, Jun & Ke, Bin & Wu, Donghui & Yang, Zhifeng, 2018. "The consequences of shifting the IPO offer pricing power from securities regulators to market participants in weak institutional environments: Evidence from China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 349-370.
    17. Rathnayake, Dilesha Nawadali & Louembé, Pierre Axel & Kassi, Diby François & Sun, Gang & Ning, Ding, 2019. "Are IPOs underpriced or overpriced? Evidence from an emerging market," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 171-190.
    18. Till Drebinger & Shailendra Kumar Rai & Heiko Hinrichs, 2019. "Performance of IPOs of Indian Companies Backed by Private Equity," Vision, , vol. 23(4), pages 397-409, December.
    19. Lu, Yuechan & Samdani, Taufique, 2019. "The economic role of institutional investors in auction IPOs," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 267-281.
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    21. Harsimran Sandhu & Kousik Guhathakurta, 2020. "Effects of IPO Offer Price Ranges on Initial Subscription, Initial Turnover and Ownership Structure—Evidence from Indian IPO Market," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    IPOs; Winner's curse; Voluntary underpricing; Initial returns; Sentiment traders;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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