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Investment timing decisions in a stochastic duopoly model

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  • Marseguerra, Giovanni
  • Cortelezzi, Flavia
  • Dominioni, Armando

Abstract

We investigate the role of strategic considerations on the optimal timing of investment when firms compete for a new market (e.g., the provision of an innovative product) under demand uncertainty. Within a continuous time model of stochastic oligopoly, we show that strategic considerations are likely to be of limited impact when the new product is radically innovative whilst the fear of a rival’s entry may deeply affect firms’ decisions whenever innovation is to some extent limited. The welfare analysis shows surprisingly that the desirability of the different market structures considered does not depend on the fixed entry cost.

Suggested Citation

  • Marseguerra, Giovanni & Cortelezzi, Flavia & Dominioni, Armando, 2006. "Investment timing decisions in a stochastic duopoly model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 29(3), pages 611-625.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:29:y:2006:i:3:p:611-625
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2005.08.093
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joaquin, Domingo Castelo & Khanna, Naveen, 2001. "Investment timing decisions under threat of potential competition: Why firm size matters1," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 41(1), pages 1-17.
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    3. Grenadier, Steven R, 1996. "The Strategic Exercise of Options: Development Cascades and Overbuilding in Real Estate Markets," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(5), pages 1653-1679, December.
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    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Bing & Cao, Jiling & Chung, Hyuck, 2014. "Strategic real options with stochastic volatility in a duopoly model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 40-51.
    2. Giovanni Marseguerra & Flavia Cortelezzi, 2009. "Debt financing and real estate investment timing decisions," Journal of Property Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 26(3), pages 193-212, June.

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