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Productivity growth, fixed exchange rates, and export-led growth

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  • Mao, Rui
  • Yao, Yang
  • Zou, Jingxian

Abstract

This paper studies how the fixed exchange rate regime (FERR) may promote growth when a country experiences faster rates of productivity growth in its tradable sector than its nontradable sector. In a simple two-sector model with money, we show that the FERR can reduce the Balassa-Samuelson effect if wage adjustment is subject to nominal rigidities. The undervaluation thus created suppresses real wage growth but increases the size of the tradable sector and leads to higher growth rates of the entire economy. Using cross-country panel data, our econometric exercises provide robust evidence that supports the results. Meanwhile, other fundamentals, including the external balance position, export share in the tradable sector, and the stage of development, play roles in determining the effects of FERR. Last, we apply the empirical results to run simulations on China from 1994 to 2007 to highlight the role of FERR in the country's export-led growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Mao, Rui & Yao, Yang & Zou, Jingxian, 2019. "Productivity growth, fixed exchange rates, and export-led growth," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-1.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:56:y:2019:i:c:7
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2019.101311
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    2. Bakari, Sayef, 2022. "Relationship among Domestic Investment, Exports and Economic Growth: Evidence form the Case of Greece," MPRA Paper 114418, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Zarei, Samira, 2019. "How do Real Exchange Rate Movements Affect the Economic Growth in Iran?," MPRA Paper 99102, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fixed exchange rate regimes; Real undervaluation; Export-led growth;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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