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Unintended consequences of China's new labor contract law on unemployment and welfare loss of the workers

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  • Akee, Randall
  • Zhao, Liqiu
  • Zhao, Zhong

Abstract

China's new Labor Contract Law, which intended to strengthen the labor protection for workers, went into effect on January 1, 2008. The law stipulated that the maximum cumulative duration of successive fixed-term (temporary) labor contracts is 10 years, and employees working for the same employer for more than 10 consecutive years are able to secure an open-ended (permanent) labor contract under the new law, which is highly desirable to employees. However, in order to circumvent the new Labor Contract Law, some employers may have dismissed workers, after the passage of the new law, who had worked in the same firm for more than 10 years. Using data from the 2008 China General Social Survey, we find strong evidence that firms did in fact dismiss their formal-contract employees who have been employed for more than 10 years. Additionally, using a regression discontinuity design based on this exogenous change in unemployment status for this particular group of workers, we show that the dismissed workers suffered significant welfare loss in terms of happiness. Our results are robust to various specifications and placebo tests.

Suggested Citation

  • Akee, Randall & Zhao, Liqiu & Zhao, Zhong, 2019. "Unintended consequences of China's new labor contract law on unemployment and welfare loss of the workers," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 87-105.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:53:y:2019:i:c:p:87-105
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2018.08.008
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    5. Qing Zhu & Renxian Zuo & Yuze Li & Shan Liu, 2021. "A system evaluation of NBA rookie contract execution efficiency with stacked Autoencoder and hybrid DEA," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(4), pages 2771-2807, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Labor Contract Law; Unemployment; Happiness; Regression Discontinuity Design; China;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • I31 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - General Welfare, Well-Being

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