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How will China shape the world economy?

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  • Jin, Xingye
  • Li, David Daokui
  • Wu, Shuyu

Abstract

We will provide an outlook for China's role in the world economy over the coming decades, an exercise which would not be possible without an analysis of the prospects for China's continued economic growth. Based on international and historical comparisons, we argue that today's China meets all three key conditions for continued economic growth, including a stable government that is supportive of a market economy; high and increasing quality of human capital, and openness to developed economies. Dependent on China's continued growth, we explore how China will impact many other economies through trade and investment, creating winners and losers in the world economy. Moreover, we argue that China will become a more active player in changing global economic governance not only through participating in reforms of existing institutions but also by leading efforts to establish new ones.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin, Xingye & Li, David Daokui & Wu, Shuyu, 2016. "How will China shape the world economy?," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 272-280.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:chieco:v:40:y:2016:i:c:p:272-280
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chieco.2016.07.006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Barry Eichengreen & Donghyun Park & Kwanho Shin, 2012. "When Fast-Growing Economies Slow Down: International Evidence and Implications for China," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 11(1), pages 42-87, Winter/Sp.
    2. Lant Pritchett & Lawrence H. Summers, 2013. "Asia-phoria meet regression to the mean," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Nov, pages 1-35.
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