IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/beexfi/v30y2021ics2214635021000538.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Abnormal volatility in seasoned equity offerings during economic disruptions

Author

Listed:
  • Prasad, Mason
  • Bakry, Walid
  • Varua, Maria Estela

Abstract

Australia has become one of most prolific issuers of seasoned equity offerings (SEOs) globally. Due to its convenience, firms issue SEOs as their primary capital raising mechanism particularly during economic disruptions i.e., the early 2000s dot-com bubble, 2008 Global Financial Crisis and COVID-19. Using an event study for ASX 200 firms from 1998 to 2020, we show that there is an increased intensity of SEO abnormal return volatility and volume during economic disruptions. We find evidence of abnormal return volatility and volume in standalone and restricted SEOs being higher relative to combined SEOs. We also identify that higher performing sectors experience larger abnormal return volatility and volume. Finally, using an improved measure of abnormal return volatility, we capture the time varying nature of volatility using GARCH and GJR-GARCH estimations. We highlight that the traditional abnormal return volatility measure tends to be overstated for some SEO types and understated for others.

Suggested Citation

  • Prasad, Mason & Bakry, Walid & Varua, Maria Estela, 2021. "Abnormal volatility in seasoned equity offerings during economic disruptions," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:30:y:2021:i:c:s2214635021000538
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100509
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2214635021000538
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100509?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Shahzad, Hassan & Duong, Huu Nhan & Kalev, Petko S. & Singh, Harminder, 2014. "Trading volume, realized volatility and jumps in the Australian stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 31(C), pages 414-430.
    2. Mark D. Walker & Qingqing Wu, 2019. "Equity issues when in distress," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 25(3), pages 489-519, June.
    3. Myers, Stewart C. & Majluf, Nicholas S., 1984. "Corporate financing and investment decisions when firms have information that investors do not have," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 187-221, June.
    4. Chan, Choon Chat & Fong, Wai Mun, 2006. "Realized volatility and transactions," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(7), pages 2063-2085, July.
    5. Robert A. Korajczyk & Deborah Lucas & Robert L. McDonald, 1990. "Understanding Stock Price Behavior around the Time of Equity Issues," NBER Chapters, in: Asymmetric Information, Corporate Finance, and Investment, pages 257-278, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Stewart C. Myers & Nicholas S. Majluf, 1984. "Corporate Financing and Investment Decisions When Firms Have InformationThat Investors Do Not Have," NBER Working Papers 1396, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Chia-Cheng Ho & Chin-Chuan Lee & Chien-Ting Lin & C. Edward Wang, 2005. "Liquidity, Volatility and Stock Price Adjustment: Evidence from Seasoned Equity Offerings in an Emerging Market," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 8(01), pages 31-51.
    8. Dima Alberg & Haim Shalit & Rami Yosef, 2008. "Estimating stock market volatility using asymmetric GARCH models," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(15), pages 1201-1208.
    9. Morgan, I G, 1976. "Stock Prices and Heteroscedasticity," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 49(4), pages 496-508, October.
    10. (Grace) Qing Hao, 2014. "Institutional Shareholder Investment Horizons and Seasoned Equity Offerings," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 43(1), pages 87-111, March.
    11. Suduan Chen, 2017. "Seasoned Equity Offerings or Capital Deductions? The Reaction of Stock Prices: Evidence from Taiwan," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(3), pages 644-660, March.
    12. Chris Veld & Patrick Verwijmeren & Yuriy Zabolotnyuk, 2020. "Wealth Effects of Seasoned Equity Offerings: A Meta‐Analysis," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 20(1), pages 77-131, March.
    13. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    14. DeFond, Mark & Hung, Mingyi & Trezevant, Robert, 2007. "Investor protection and the information content of annual earnings announcements: International evidence," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(1), pages 37-67, March.
    15. Imbs, Jean, 2007. "Growth and volatility," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1848-1862, October.
    16. Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993. "Time-Varying Volatility and the Dynamic Behavior of the Term Structure," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 25(3), pages 336-349, August.
    17. Kostas Mavromaras & Neha Deo & Heath Spong & Maria Estela Varua, 2017. "The Impact of the GFC on Sectoral Market Efficiency: Non-linear Testing for the Case of Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93, pages 38-56, June.
    18. Chen, Yi-Wen & Chou, Robin K. & Lin, Chu-Bin, 2019. "Investor sentiment, SEO market timing, and stock price performance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 28-43.
    19. Kajüter, Peter & Klassmann, Florian & Nienhaus, Martin, 2016. "Do Reviews by External Auditors Improve the Information Content of Interim Financial Statements?," The International Journal of Accounting, Elsevier, vol. 51(1), pages 23-50.
    20. Edith Ginglinger & Laure Matsoukis & Fabrice Riva, 2013. "Seasoned Equity Offerings: Stock Market Liquidity and the Rights Offer Paradox," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1-2), pages 215-238, January.
    21. Beaver, Wh, 1968. "Information Content Of Annual Earnings Announcements," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 6, pages 67-92.
    22. Chemmanur, Thomas J. & He, Shan & Hu, Gang, 2009. "The role of institutional investors in seasoned equity offerings," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 384-411, December.
    23. Landsman, Wayne R. & Maydew, Edward L. & Thornock, Jacob R., 2012. "The information content of annual earnings announcements and mandatory adoption of IFRS," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1), pages 34-54.
    24. Masulis, Ronald W. & Korwar, Ashok N., 1986. "Seasoned equity offerings : An empirical investigation," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1-2), pages 91-118.
    25. Krasker, William S, 1986. "Stock Price Movements in Response to Stock Issues under Asymmetric Information," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 41(1), pages 93-105, March.
    26. Yu, Jun, 2005. "On leverage in a stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 127(2), pages 165-178, August.
    27. Choe, Hyuk & Masulis, Ronald W. & Nanda, Vikram, 1993. "Common stock offerings across the business cycle : Theory and evidence," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 3-31, June.
    28. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    29. Wayne R. Landsman & Edward L. Maydew, 2002. "Has the Information Content of Quarterly Earnings Announcements Declined in the Past Three Decades?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(3), pages 797-808, June.
    30. Lucas, Deborah J & McDonald, Robert L, 1990. "Equity Issues and Stock Price Dynamics," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 45(4), pages 1019-1043, September.
    31. William F. Sharpe, 1964. "Capital Asset Prices: A Theory Of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions Of Risk," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 19(3), pages 425-442, September.
    32. Korajczyk, Robert A & Lucas, Deborah J & McDonald, Robert L, 1991. "The Effect of Information Releases on the Pricing and Timing of Equity Issues," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 4(4), pages 685-708.
    33. Jia Liu & Saeed Akbar & Syed Zulfiqar Ali Shah & Dayong Zhang & Dong Pang, 2016. "Market Reaction to Seasoned Offerings in China," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(5-6), pages 597-653, May.
    34. Phil Garton, 2008. "The resources boom and the two-speed economy," Economic Roundup, The Treasury, Australian Government, issue 3, pages 17-29, October.
    35. Bharat A. Jain & Omesh Kini, 1999. "The Life Cycle of Initial Public Offering Firms," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(9‐10), pages 1281-1307, November.
    36. Karpoff, Jonathan M., 1987. "The Relation between Price Changes and Trading Volume: A Survey," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(1), pages 109-126, March.
    37. Adrian Melia & Paul Docherty & Steve Easton, 2020. "The impact of regulation on the seasoned equity offering decision," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 45(1), pages 94-113, February.
    38. Glosten, Lawrence R & Jagannathan, Ravi & Runkle, David E, 1993. "On the Relation between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1779-1801, December.
    39. Balasingham Balachandran & Robert Faff & Michael Theobald, 2009. "New Insights into Rights Offerings as Signals of Firm Quality: Evidence from Australia," Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, Morgan Stanley, vol. 21(3), pages 80-85, June.
    40. Chen, Jing & Chollete, Lorán & Ray, Rina, 2010. "Financial distress and idiosyncratic volatility: An empirical investigation," Journal of Financial Markets, Elsevier, vol. 13(2), pages 249-267, May.
    41. Engle, Robert F & Ng, Victor K, 1993. "Measuring and Testing the Impact of News on Volatility," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 48(5), pages 1749-1778, December.
    42. Bharat A. Jain & Omesh Kini, 1999. "The Life Cycle of Initial Public Offering Firms," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(9-10), pages 1281-1307.
    43. Armitage, Seth, 1995. "Event Study Methods and Evidence on Their Performance," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(1), pages 25-52, March.
    44. Hassan, Syed Aun & Malik, Farooq, 2007. "Multivariate GARCH modeling of sector volatility transmission," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(3), pages 470-480, July.
    45. Namgyoo K. Park, 2004. "A guide to using event study methods in multi‐country settings," Strategic Management Journal, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 25(7), pages 655-668, July.
    46. Benoit Mandelbrot, 2015. "The Variation of Certain Speculative Prices," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Anastasios G Malliaris & William T Ziemba (ed.), THE WORLD SCIENTIFIC HANDBOOK OF FUTURES MARKETS, chapter 3, pages 39-78, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    47. Bae, Sung C & Jo, Hoje, 1999. "The Impact of Information Release on Stock Price Volatility and Trading Volume: The Rights Offering Case," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 153-169, September.
    48. repec:bla:jfinan:v:59:y:2004:i:2:p:899-931 is not listed on IDEAS
    49. repec:dau:papers:123456789/10852 is not listed on IDEAS
    50. Bayless, Mark & Chaplinsky, Susan, 1996. "Is There a Window of Opportunity for Seasoned Equity Issuance?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 51(1), pages 253-278, March.
    51. Murray Carlson & Adlai Fisher & Ron Giammarino, 2006. "Corporate Investment and Asset Price Dynamics: Implications for SEO Event Studies and Long‐Run Performance," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1009-1034, June.
    52. Lin, Frank & Gannon, Gerard, 2007. "Private placement and share price reaction: evidence from the Australian biotechnology and health care sector," Working Papers aef_2007_05, Deakin University, Department of Economics.
    53. Gallant, A Ronald & Rossi, Peter E & Tauchen, George, 1992. "Stock Prices and Volume," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 5(2), pages 199-242.
    54. Asquith, Paul & Mullins, David Jr., 1986. "Equity issues and offering dilution," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1-2), pages 61-89.
    55. Schipper, Katherine & Smith, Abbie, 1986. "A comparison of equity carve-outs and seasoned equity offerings : Share price effects and corporate restructuring," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1-2), pages 153-186.
    56. Edith Ginglinger & Laure Matsoukis & Fabrice Riva, 2013. "Seasoned Equity Offerings: Stock Market Liquidity and the Rights Offer Paradox," Journal of Business Finance & Accounting, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(1-2), pages 215-238, January.
    57. Junttila, Juha & Pesonen, Juho & Raatikainen, Juhani, 2018. "Commodity market based hedging against stock market risk in times of financial crisis: The case of crude oil and gold," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 255-280.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Lan, Yueqin & Huang, Yong & Yan, Chao, 2021. "Investor sentiment and stock price: Empirical evidence from Chinese SEOs," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 703-714.
    2. Melia, Adrian & Chan, Howard & Docherty, Paul & Easton, Steve, 2018. "Explanations of cycles in seasoned equity offerings: An examination of the choice between rights issues and private placements," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 16-25.
    3. Wu, Xueping & Au Yeung, Chau Kin, 2012. "Firm growth type and capital structure persistence," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(12), pages 3427-3443.
    4. Guo, Lin & Mech, Timothy S., 2000. "Conditional event studies, anticipation, and asymmetric information: the case of seasoned equity issues and pre-issue information releases," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 7(2), pages 113-141, August.
    5. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2002. "Market Timing and Capital Structure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 57(1), pages 1-32, February.
    6. Bayless, Mark & Jay, Nancy R., 2001. "An examination of the performance of SEOs using a comparison period approach6," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 53(4), pages 359-386.
    7. Franses,Philip Hans & Dijk,Dick van, 2000. "Non-Linear Time Series Models in Empirical Finance," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521779654, September.
    8. Thakor, Anjan V., 1993. "Information, Investment Horizon, and Price Reactions," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(4), pages 459-482, December.
    9. Yueh-Neng Lin & Ken Hung, 2008. "Is Volatility Priced?," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 9(1), pages 39-75, May.
    10. Benjamin Kleidt & Eckhard Scharmer & Dirk Schiereck, 2009. "Desinvestitionen von Aktienpaketen — Eine Analyse von Exchangeable Bonds," Schmalenbach Journal of Business Research, Springer, vol. 61(7), pages 738-780, November.
    11. Miglo, Anton, 2010. "The Pecking Order, Trade-off, Signaling, and Market-Timing Theories of Capital Structure: a Review," MPRA Paper 46691, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2013.
    12. Dong, Qi & Slovin, Myron B. & Sushka, Marie E., 2020. "Private equity exits after IPOs," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    13. Lerner, Josh & Shane, Hilary & Tsai, Alexander, 2003. "Do equity financing cycles matter? evidence from biotechnology alliances," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(3), pages 411-446, March.
    14. Mamdouh Medhat & Berardino Palazzo, 2020. "Equity Financing Risk," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-037, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    15. Gao, Xuechen & Hsu, Yuan-Teng & Wang, Xuewu (Wesley) & Yuan, Weici, 2022. "The choice of flotation methods: Evidence from Chinese seasoned equity offerings," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    16. Andersen, Torben G. & Bollerslev, Tim & Christoffersen, Peter F. & Diebold, Francis X., 2005. "Volatility forecasting," CFS Working Paper Series 2005/08, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).
    17. Korajczyk, Robert A. & Levy, Amnon, 2003. "Capital structure choice: macroeconomic conditions and financial constraints," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(1), pages 75-109, April.
    18. Faiza Asad & Saqib Gulzar & Kenbata Bangassa & Majid Jamal Khan, 2020. "Capital structure adjustment and market reaction following seasoned equity offerings," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(3), pages 388-411, July.
    19. Wijayana, Singgih & Gray, Sidney J., 2018. "Capital market consequences of cultural influences on earnings: The case of cross-listed firms in the U.S. stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 134-147.
    20. (Grace) Qing Hao, 2014. "Institutional Shareholder Investment Horizons and Seasoned Equity Offerings," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 43(1), pages 87-111, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Seasoned equity offering; Abnormal return volatility; Abnormal trading volume; GARCH; Event study; ASX;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:beexfi:v:30:y:2021:i:c:s2214635021000538. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/journal-of-behavioral-and-experimental-finance .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.