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Is the leadership of the Brent-WTI threatened by China’s new crude oil futures market?

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  • Palao, Fernando
  • Pardo, Ángel
  • Roig, Marta

Abstract

The recent listing of a new crude oil futures contract on the Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) has reopened the debate over whether crude oil produced in different countries or locations constitutes a unified world oil market. The aim of this paper is to study the information flows among Brent, West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and the new Medium Sour Crude Oil (SC) futures contract listed on INE futures markets to assess whether the trading of this new futures contract has altered the dominant role of the most traded oil benchmarks in the world. A multiple regression model identifies the Brent futures market as the most influential market in the oil price discovery process, while WTI appears to be the most sensitive. Furthermore, we have observed that SC does not influence any market and it is only sensitive to Brent news, even though WTI is the most heavily traded futures contract. Therefore, the launch of the SC futures contract has not yet altered the dominant role of Brent over WTI.

Suggested Citation

  • Palao, Fernando & Pardo, Ángel & Roig, Marta, 2020. "Is the leadership of the Brent-WTI threatened by China’s new crude oil futures market?," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:asieco:v:70:y:2020:i:c:s1049007820301172
    DOI: 10.1016/j.asieco.2020.101237
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Zhang, Dan & Farnoosh, Arash & Lantz, Frédéric, 2022. "Does something change in the oil market with the COVID-19 crisis?," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 252-268.
    2. Wang, Zi-Xin & Liu, Bing-Yue & Fan, Ying, 2023. "Network connectedness between China's crude oil futures and sector stock indices," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    3. Zhu, Pengfei & Lu, Tuantuan & Shang, Yue & Zhang, Zerong & Wei, Yu, 2023. "Can China's national carbon trading market hedge the risks of light and medium crude oil? A comparative analysis with the European carbon market," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 58(PA).
    4. He, Feng & Chen, Longxuan & Hao, Jing & Wu, Ji, 2024. "Financial market development and corporate risk management: Evidence from Shanghai crude oil futures launched in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    5. Shao, Mingao & Hua, Yongjun, 2022. "Price discovery efficiency of China's crude oil futures: Evidence from the Shanghai crude oil futures market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    6. Yanqiong Liu & Zhenghui Li & Yanyan Yao & Hao Dong, 2021. "Asymmetry of Risk Evolution in Crude Oil Market: From the Perspective of Dual Attributes of Oil," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-22, July.
    7. Yan, Wan-Lin & Cheung, Adrian (Wai Kong), 2024. "Connectedness among Chinese climate policy uncertainty, exchange rate, Chinese and international crude oil markets: Insights from time and frequency domain analyses of high order moments," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    8. Hu, Genhua & Jiang, Haifeng, 2023. "Time-varying jumps in China crude oil futures market impacted by COVID-19 pandemic," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    9. Cui, Jinxin & Maghyereh, Aktham, 2023. "Higher-order moment risk connectedness and optimal investment strategies between international oil and commodity futures markets: Insights from the COVID-19 pandemic and Russia-Ukraine conflict," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    10. Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Gul, Raazia & Shafiullah, Muhammad & Karim, Sitara & Lucey, Brian M., 2024. "Tail risk spillovers between Shanghai oil and other markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    11. Liu, Min & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2021. "Capturing the dynamics of the China crude oil futures: Markov switching, co-movement, and volatility forecasting," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    12. Yang, Kun & Wei, Yu & Li, Shouwei & Liu, Liang & Wang, Lei, 2021. "Global financial uncertainties and China’s crude oil futures market: Evidence from interday and intraday price dynamics," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    13. Dan Zhang & Arash Farnoosh & Frédéric Lantz, 2022. "Does something change in the oil market with the COVID-19 crisis?," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 169, pages 252-268.
    14. Qiang Ji & Dayong Zhang & Yuqian Zhao, 2022. "Intra-day co-movements of crude oil futures: China and the international benchmarks," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 313(1), pages 77-103, June.
    15. Wang, Xiaoyu & Wang, Jiaojiao & Wang, Wenhuan & Zhang, Shuquan, 2023. "International and Chinese energy markets: Dynamic spillover effects," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil market; Brent; WTI; INE; Influence; Benchmark;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G19 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Other

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