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Regionalized decision-supporting tool application for scenario analyses considering stakeholder interactions: A case study of the Groningen province in the northern Netherlands

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  • Sahoo, Somadutta
  • Zuidema, Christian
  • van Stralen, Joost N.P.
  • Faaij, André

Abstract

Regionalized integrated energy system models considering stakeholder inputs are uncommon in the literature. This study tested and validated an existing quantitative optimization-based OPERA regional modeling framework. Stakeholder responses to surveys resulted in multiple future scenarios and sensitivities, applied to the Dutch province of Groningen energy transition. Stakeholder reflections in a workshop confirmed the potential of the model as a strategic decision-supporting tool. The tool successfully analyzed trade-offs, compromises, and complementarities regarding the different choices of stakeholders. The study reflected on the modest role of solar photovoltaics, which supplied 6.6–17.5 % of the primary energy, in comparison to policies and stakeholder assumptions. Biomass energy, at 18.2–28.5 %, was more prominent than expected. Similarly, choosing a scenario close to the current policy implied a strong dependency on imports, with net imports constituting 50 % of the energy supply. On the other hand, regional self-sufficiency implied spatial implications beyond stakeholder expectations. For example, land use associated with onshore wind energy was ∼13 % of the provincial land. The stakeholder interaction process highlighted capacity investments via other harmonized model linkages and the importance of the science-policy interfaces. Compared with contemporary models, the major advancements are spatial interfacing and the inclusion of land-use planning and policy constraints.

Suggested Citation

  • Sahoo, Somadutta & Zuidema, Christian & van Stralen, Joost N.P. & Faaij, André, 2025. "Regionalized decision-supporting tool application for scenario analyses considering stakeholder interactions: A case study of the Groningen province in the northern Netherlands," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 377(PD).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:377:y:2025:i:pd:s0306261924020506
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2024.124667
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