IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v291y2021ics0306261921003226.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Risk hedging for gas power generation considering power-to-gas energy storage in three different electricity markets

Author

Listed:
  • Lai, Shuying
  • Qiu, Jing
  • Tao, Yuechuan
  • Zhao, Junhua

Abstract

The increasing penetration of intermittent renewable energy has introduced great risks to energy systems and markets. As a result, extensive research on energy storage systems (ESS) has been undertaken to address the risks caused by renewable energy. Among different types of ESSs, the power-to-gas (P2G) storage devices are of great potential. Thus, P2G has been used in this paper as a storage device to provide gas fuel for gas power generators. The aim of this paper is to investigate a portfolio strategy for gas generators to earn profits and hedge risks in three different electricity markets, namely, the spot, the ancillary, and the financial markets. The presented approach is to apply energy storage and financial derivatives to hedge the market risks of gas generators, including short put option and short call option, and the option value deduction process is also involved. Simulations are carried out based on the real historical data from 2016 to 2018 in Australian electricity markets. Three cases are presented, namely, the traditional model, the individual market case, and the proposed portfolio model. Based on the comparison of the three cases, simulation results show that the proposed portfolio model will help gas generators to earn a return of 1.0429 and hedge risks down to 0.0018. It has been found that the returns of the proposed model from 2016 to 2018 are 26.3% higher, whereas the risks are 88.1% lower on average comparing with the traditional model and the individual market case.

Suggested Citation

  • Lai, Shuying & Qiu, Jing & Tao, Yuechuan & Zhao, Junhua, 2021. "Risk hedging for gas power generation considering power-to-gas energy storage in three different electricity markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:291:y:2021:i:c:s0306261921003226
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116822
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261921003226
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2021.116822?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2021. "Resolving New Keynesian Anomalies with Wealth in the Utility Function," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 103(2), pages 197-215, May.
    2. Zhang, Xian & Chan, K.W. & Wang, Huaizhi & Hu, Jiefeng & Zhou, Bin & Zhang, Yan & Qiu, Jing, 2019. "Game-theoretic planning for integrated energy system with independent participants considering ancillary services of power-to-gas stations," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 249-264.
    3. Ahmed, Sajjad & Elsholkami, Mohamed & Elkamel, Ali & Du, Juan & Ydstie, Erik B. & Douglas, Peter L., 2014. "Financial risk management for new technology integration in energy planning under uncertainty," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 75-81.
    4. Mehdizadeh, Ali & Taghizadegan, Navid & Salehi, Javad, 2018. "Risk-based energy management of renewable-based microgrid using information gap decision theory in the presence of peak load management," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 617-630.
    5. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11500 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Arnesano, M. & Carlucci, A.P. & Laforgia, D., 2012. "Extension of portfolio theory application to energy planning problem – The Italian case," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 112-124.
    7. Zhang, Linjia & Botti, Laurent & Petit, Sylvain, 2016. "Destination performance: Introducing the utility function in the mean-variance space," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 123-132.
    8. Li, Xiang & Qin, Zhongfeng & Kar, Samarjit, 2010. "Mean-variance-skewness model for portfolio selection with fuzzy returns," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(1), pages 239-247, April.
    9. Pascal Michaillat & Emmanuel Saez, 2018. "A New Keynesian Model with Wealth in the Utility Function," 2018 Meeting Papers 1276, Society for Economic Dynamics.
    10. Moghimi Ghadikolaei, Hadi & Ahmadi, Abdollah & Aghaei, Jamshid & Najafi, Meysam, 2012. "Risk constrained self-scheduling of hydro/wind units for short term electricity markets considering intermittency and uncertainty," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 16(7), pages 4734-4743.
    11. Batten, Jonathan A. & Kinateder, Harald & Szilagyi, Peter G. & Wagner, Niklas F., 2017. "Can stock market investors hedge energy risk? Evidence from Asia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 559-570.
    12. Fernandes, Gláucia & Gomes, Leonardo Lima & Brandão, Luiz Eduardo Teixeira, 2018. "A risk-hedging tool for hydro power plants," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 90(C), pages 370-378.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wu, Zhicong & Xu, Gang & Ge, Shiyu & Yang, Zhenjun & Xue, Xiaojun & Chen, Heng, 2024. "An efficient methanol pre-reforming gas turbine combined cycle with integration of mid-temperature energy upgradation and CO2 recovery: Thermodynamic and economic analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 358(C).
    2. Zeynali, Saeed & Nasiri, Nima & Marzband, Mousa & Ravadanegh, Sajad Najafi, 2021. "A hybrid robust-stochastic framework for strategic scheduling of integrated wind farm and plug-in hybrid electric vehicle fleets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).
    3. Živkov, Dejan & Balaban, Suzana & Simić, Milica, 2024. "Hedging gas in a multi-frequency semiparametric CVaR portfolio," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Müller, Tobias & Christoffel, Kai & Mazelis, Falk & Montes-Galdón, Carlos, 2022. "Disciplining expectations and the forward guidance puzzle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    2. Pablo A. Cuba-Borda & Sanjay R. Singh, 2019. "Understanding Persistent Stagnation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1243, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    3. Christian Bredemeier & Christoph Kaufmann & Andreas Schabert, 2017. "Interest Rate Spreads and Forward Guidance," Working Paper Series in Economics 96, University of Cologne, Department of Economics.
    4. Ansgar Rannenberg, 2019. "Inequality, the risk of secular stagnation and the increase in household deb," Working Paper Research 375, National Bank of Belgium.
    5. Mehrotra, Neil R. & Sergeyev, Dmitriy, 2021. "Debt sustainability in a low interest rate world," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(S), pages 1-18.
    6. Campbell, Jeffrey R. & Ferroni, Filippo & Fisher, Jonas D.M. & Melosi, Leonardo, 2019. "The limits of forward guidance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 118-134.
    7. Michau, Jean-Baptiste & Ono, Yoshiyasu & Schlegl, Matthias, 2023. "Wealth preference and rational bubbles," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    8. Diba, Behzad & Loisel, Olivier, 2021. "Pegging the interest rate on bank reserves: A resolution of New Keynesian puzzles and paradoxes," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 230-244.
    9. Erik Eyster & Kristóf Madarász & Pascal Michaillat, 2021. "Pricing Under Fairness Concerns," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 19(3), pages 1853-1898.
    10. Sebastian Gechert & Jan Siebert, 2019. "Preferences over wealth," IMK Working Paper 200-2019, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    11. Ansgar Rannenberg, 2019. "Forward guidance with preferences over safe assets," Working Paper Research 364, National Bank of Belgium.
    12. Chunhachinda, Pornchai & de Boyrie, Maria E. & Pavlova, Ivelina, 2019. "Measuring the hedging effectiveness of commodities," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 201-207.
    13. Gupta, Pankaj & Mittal, Garima & Mehlawat, Mukesh Kumar, 2013. "Expected value multiobjective portfolio rebalancing model with fuzzy parameters," Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(2), pages 190-203.
    14. Migliavacca, Milena & Goodell, John W. & Paltrinieri, Andrea, 2023. "A bibliometric review of portfolio diversification literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    15. Siamak Goudarzi & Mohammad Javad Jafari & Amir Afsar, 2017. "A Hybrid Model for Portfolio Optimization Based on Stock Clustering and Different Investment Strategies," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 602-608.
    16. Dmitriy Sergeyev & Chen Lian & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2023. "The Economics of Financial Stress," NBER Working Papers 31285, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    17. Wang, Yongli & Li, Jiapu & Wang, Shuo & Yang, Jiale & Qi, Chengyuan & Guo, Hongzhen & Liu, Ximei & Zhang, Hongqing, 2020. "Operational optimization of wastewater reuse integrated energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    18. Moore, Rachel & Pecoraro, Brandon, 2023. "Quantitative analysis of a wealth tax for the United States: Exclusions and expenditures," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    19. Valeria V. Lakshina, 2019. "Do Portfolio Investors Need To Consider The Asymmetry Of Returns On The Russian Stock Market?," HSE Working papers WP BRP 75/FE/2019, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    20. Thomas Aronsson & Sugata Ghosh & Ronald Wendner, 2023. "Positional preferences and efficiency in a dynamic economy," Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 61(2), pages 311-337, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:291:y:2021:i:c:s0306261921003226. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.