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An ensemble prognostic method for lithium-ion battery capacity estimation based on time-varying weight allocation

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  • Cheng, Yujie
  • Song, Dengwei
  • Wang, Zhenya
  • Lu, Chen
  • Zerhouni, Noureddine

Abstract

Capacity estimation is of great significance to help assess the performance degradation of lithium-ion batteries, so as to take actions to extend their lifetime. Traditional capacity estimation methods for Lithium-ion batteries are usually based on individual model-based or data-driven prognostic approaches. However, no single prognostic method performs appropriately for all possible situations as each individual method presents particular assumptions and application limitations. Therefore, this paper presents an ensemble prognostic framework that combines multiple individual prognostic algorithms to improve the accuracy and robustness of battery capacity estimation. In the proposed ensemble prognostic framework, the degraded capacity data of the full battery life cycles are divided into three parts: a training dataset, a validation dataset, and a test dataset, among which the training and validation datasets are employed for member prognostic model training, the validation dataset is utilized for weight calculation, and the test dataset is used for prognostic performance assessment. A validation-data based induced ordered weighted averaging (IOWA) operator, i.e. V-IOWA operator, is proposed to realize time-varying weight assignment. By summing the weighted prognostic results of each member prognostic algorithm, the ensemble prognostic results are finally obtained. Effectiveness of the proposed approach was validated based on datasets provided by NASA Ames Prognostics Center of Excellence. The experiment results indicated that the proposed ensemble prognostic approach outperforms individual prognostic algorithms with a higher accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Cheng, Yujie & Song, Dengwei & Wang, Zhenya & Lu, Chen & Zerhouni, Noureddine, 2020. "An ensemble prognostic method for lithium-ion battery capacity estimation based on time-varying weight allocation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 266(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:266:y:2020:i:c:s0306261920303299
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2020.114817
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    3. Sun, Tao & Wang, Shaoqing & Jiang, Sheng & Xu, Bowen & Han, Xuebing & Lai, Xin & Zheng, Yuejiu, 2022. "A cloud-edge collaborative strategy for capacity prognostic of lithium-ion batteries based on dynamic weight allocation and machine learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    4. Diego Castanho & Marcio Guerreiro & Ludmila Silva & Jony Eckert & Thiago Antonini Alves & Yara de Souza Tadano & Sergio Luiz Stevan & Hugo Valadares Siqueira & Fernanda Cristina Corrêa, 2022. "Method for SoC Estimation in Lithium-Ion Batteries Based on Multiple Linear Regression and Particle Swarm Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-21, September.
    5. Cao, Mengda & Zhang, Tao & Liu, Yajie & Zhang, Yajun & Wang, Yu & Li, Kaiwen, 2022. "An ensemble learning prognostic method for capacity estimation of lithium-ion batteries based on the V-IOWGA operator," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    6. Xu, Fan & Yang, Fangfang & Fei, Zicheng & Huang, Zhelin & Tsui, Kwok-Leung, 2021. "Life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on stacked denoising autoencoders," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    7. Zhu, Yuli & Jiang, Bo & Zhu, Jiangong & Wang, Xueyuan & Wang, Rong & Wei, Xuezhe & Dai, Haifeng, 2023. "Adaptive state of health estimation for lithium-ion batteries using impedance-based timescale information and ensemble learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    8. Zhang, Meng & Kang, Guoqing & Wu, Lifeng & Guan, Yong, 2022. "A method for capacity prediction of lithium-ion batteries under small sample conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    9. Meng, Huixing & Geng, Mengyao & Xing, Jinduo & Zio, Enrico, 2022. "A hybrid method for prognostics of lithium-ion batteries capacity considering regeneration phenomena," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    10. Sui, Xin & He, Shan & Vilsen, Søren B. & Meng, Jinhao & Teodorescu, Remus & Stroe, Daniel-Ioan, 2021. "A review of non-probabilistic machine learning-based state of health estimation techniques for Lithium-ion battery," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 300(C).

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