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An energy management strategy based on stochastic model predictive control for plug-in hybrid electric buses

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  • Xie, Shanshan
  • He, Hongwen
  • Peng, Jiankun

Abstract

Model predictive control (MPC) can effectively solve online optimization issues, even with various constraints, when maintained at high robustness. Considering the energy management issue of plug-in hybrid electric bus (PHEB) as a constrained nonlinear optimization problem, a strategy based on stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) is put forward and verified in this paper. Firstly, Markov Chain Monte Carlo Method (MCMC) is adopted to forecast velocity sequences at every current state, in the form of multi scale single step (MSSS), with post-processing algorithms to moderate fluctuations of the prediction results like average filtering, quadratic fitting, and the like. The offline simulation results show that the optimization can effectively improve the predictive accuracy, make the following energy management feasible and reduce the fuel consumption by 1.9%. Then the SMPC-based energy management strategy is proposed. In order to prevent the driving cycle state deficiencies from interrupting the prediction for practical application, a state reconstitution method is constructed accordingly. Besides, the predictive steps are made time-varying by an online accuracy estimation method and a corresponding threshold to maintain the accuracy of forecast. Finally, the hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) experiments are conducted and the results show that the SMPC-based strategy is reasonable and the fuel consumption decreases by 3.9% further with variable predictive steps than that of fixed ones. In summary, this paper illustrates an effective SMPC-based methodology for energy management for PHEB, and techniques like MSSS prediction with post-processing, state reconstitution method, online accuracy estimation can be adopted to solve similar problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Xie, Shanshan & He, Hongwen & Peng, Jiankun, 2017. "An energy management strategy based on stochastic model predictive control for plug-in hybrid electric buses," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 279-288.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:196:y:2017:i:c:p:279-288
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.12.112
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhang, Shuo & Xiong, Rui & Zhang, Chengning, 2015. "Pontryagin’s Minimum Principle-based power management of a dual-motor-driven electric bus," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 370-380.
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    3. Pérez, Laura V. & Bossio, Guillermo R. & Moitre, Diego & García, Guillermo O., 2006. "Optimization of power management in an hybrid electric vehicle using dynamic programming," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 73(1), pages 244-254.
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