IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/apmaco/v275y2016icp255-267.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Threshold behavior of a stochastic SIS model with Le´vy jumps

Author

Listed:
  • Zhou, Yanli
  • Yuan, Sanling
  • Zhao, Dianli

Abstract

In this paper, the dynamics of a stochastic SIS model with Lévy jumps are investigated. We first prove that this model has a unique global positive solution starting from the positive initial value. Then, taking the accumulated jump size into account, we find a threshold of the model, denoted by R˜0, which completely determines the extinction and prevalence of the disease: if R˜0<1, the disease dies out exponentially with probability one; if R˜0>1, the solution of the model tends to a point in time average which leads to the stochastical persistence of the disease. From the view of epidemiology, the existence of threshold is useful in determining treatment strategies and forecasting epidemic dynamics. Moreover, we find that Lévy noise can suppress disease outbreak. Finally, we introduce some numerical simulations to support the main results obtained.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhou, Yanli & Yuan, Sanling & Zhao, Dianli, 2016. "Threshold behavior of a stochastic SIS model with Le´vy jumps," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 275(C), pages 255-267.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:apmaco:v:275:y:2016:i:c:p:255-267
    DOI: 10.1016/j.amc.2015.11.077
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0096300315015799
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.amc.2015.11.077?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Perc, Matjaz, 2007. "Flights towards defection in economic transactions," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 97(1), pages 58-63, October.
    2. Lin, Yuguo & Jiang, Daqing & Wang, Shuai, 2014. "Stationary distribution of a stochastic SIS epidemic model with vaccination," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 187-197.
    3. Lahrouz, Aadil & Omari, Lahcen, 2013. "Extinction and stationary distribution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with non-linear incidence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(4), pages 960-968.
    4. Merton, Robert C., 1976. "Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 125-144.
    5. Mandal, Partha Sarathi & Banerjee, Malay, 2012. "Stochastic persistence and stationary distribution in a Holling–Tanner type prey–predator model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(4), pages 1216-1233.
    6. Bardhan, Indrajit & Chao, Xiulu, 1993. "Pricing options on securities with discontinuous returns," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 123-137, October.
    7. Tornatore, Elisabetta & Maria Buccellato, Stefania & Vetro, Pasquale, 2005. "Stability of a stochastic SIR system," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 354(C), pages 111-126.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Chao & Xun, Xinying & Zhang, Qingling & Li, Yuanke, 2019. "Dynamical analysis and optimal control in a hybrid stochastic double delayed bioeconomic system with impulsive contaminants emission and Lévy jumps," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 352(C), pages 99-118.
    2. Gao, Miaomiao & Jiang, Daqing, 2019. "Analysis of stochastic multimolecular biochemical reaction model with lévy jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 524(C), pages 601-613.
    3. Bao, Kangbo & Zhang, Qimin & Rong, Libin & Li, Xining, 2019. "Dynamics of an imprecise SIRS model with Lévy jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 489-506.
    4. Ruichao Li & Xiurong Guo, 2024. "Dynamics of a Stochastic SEIR Epidemic Model with Vertical Transmission and Standard Incidence," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-17, January.
    5. Gao, Miaomiao & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2019. "Threshold behavior of a stochastic Lotka–Volterra food chain chemostat model with jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 191-203.
    6. Tingting Ma & Xinzhu Meng & Zhengbo Chang, 2019. "Dynamics and Optimal Harvesting Control for a Stochastic One-Predator-Two-Prey Time Delay System with Jumps," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2019, pages 1-19, March.
    7. Cao, Zhongwei & Shi, Yuee & Wen, Xiangdan & Liu, Liya & Hu, Jingwei, 2020. "Analysis of a hybrid switching SVIR epidemic model with vaccination and Lévy noise," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
    8. Ali, Ishtiaq & Ullah Khan, Sami, 2020. "Analysis of stochastic delayed SIRS model with exponential birth and saturated incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    9. Haokun Qi & Lidan Liu & Xinzhu Meng, 2017. "Dynamics of a Nonautonomous Stochastic SIS Epidemic Model with Double Epidemic Hypothesis," Complexity, Hindawi, vol. 2017, pages 1-14, November.
    10. Sun, Shulin & Sun, Yaru & Zhang, Guang & Liu, Xinzhi, 2017. "Dynamical behavior of a stochastic two-species Monod competition chemostat model," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 298(C), pages 153-170.
    11. Zhang, Xinhong & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "Dynamics of a stochastic SIS model with double epidemic diseases driven by Lévy jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 471(C), pages 767-777.
    12. Liu, Chao & Xun, Xinying & Zhang, Guilai & Li, Yuanke, 2020. "Stochastic dynamics and optimal control in a hybrid bioeconomic system with telephone noise and Lévy jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 540(C).
    13. Zeng, Ting & Teng, Zhidong & Li, Zhiming & Hu, Junna, 2018. "Stability in the mean of a stochastic three species food chain model with general Le´vy jumps," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 258-265.
    14. Liu, Chao & Wang, Luping & Zhang, Qingling & Li, Yuanke, 2018. "Modeling and dynamical analysis of a triple delayed prey–predator–scavenger system with Lévy jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 1216-1239.
    15. Alkhazzan, Abdulwasea & Wang, Jungang & Nie, Yufeng & Khan, Hasib & Alzabut, Jehad, 2023. "An effective transport-related SVIR stochastic epidemic model with media coverage and Lévy noise," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 175(P1).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Ahmad, Bashir, 2017. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SEIR epidemic model with standard incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 476(C), pages 58-69.
    2. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Shi, Ningzhong & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2017. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with standard incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 469(C), pages 510-517.
    3. Zhao, Dianli & Zhang, Tiansi & Yuan, Sanling, 2016. "The threshold of a stochastic SIVS epidemic model with nonlinear saturated incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 443(C), pages 372-379.
    4. Cao, Zhongwei & Feng, Wei & Wen, Xiangdan & Zu, Li, 2019. "Dynamical behavior of a stochastic SEI epidemic model with saturation incidence and logistic growth," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 894-907.
    5. Settati, A. & Lahrouz, A. & Zahri, M. & Tridane, A. & El Fatini, M. & El Mahjour, H. & Seaid, M., 2021. "A stochastic threshold to predict extinction and persistence of an epidemic SIRS system with a general incidence rate," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    6. Shi, Zhenfeng & Zhang, Xinhong & Jiang, Daqing, 2019. "Dynamics of an avian influenza model with half-saturated incidence," Applied Mathematics and Computation, Elsevier, vol. 355(C), pages 399-416.
    7. Zhiming Li & Zhidong Teng, 2019. "Analysis of uncertain SIS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence and demography," Fuzzy Optimization and Decision Making, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 475-491, December.
    8. Lahrouz, Aadil & Omari, Lahcen, 2013. "Extinction and stationary distribution of a stochastic SIRS epidemic model with non-linear incidence," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(4), pages 960-968.
    9. Fu, Xiaoming, 2019. "On invariant measures and the asymptotic behavior of a stochastic delayed SIRS epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 1008-1023.
    10. Bardhan, Indrajit & Chao, Xiuli, 1996. "Stochastic multi-agent equilibria in economies with jump-diffusion uncertainty," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 20(1-3), pages 361-384.
    11. Rifhat, Ramziya & Wang, Lei & Teng, Zhidong, 2017. "Dynamics for a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence and periodic coefficients," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 481(C), pages 176-190.
    12. Liu, Qun & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed, 2018. "Stationary distribution and extinction of a stochastic HIV-1 model with Beddington–DeAngelis infection rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 414-426.
    13. Wang, Huazheng & Jiang, Daqing & Hayat, Tasawar & Alsaedi, Ahmed & Ahmad, Bashir, 2020. "Stationary distribution of stochastic NP ecological model under regime switching," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 549(C).
    14. Berrhazi, Badreddine & El Fatini, Mohamed & Lahrouz, Aadil & Settati, Adel & Taki, Regragui, 2018. "A stochastic SIRS epidemic model with a general awareness-induced incidence," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 512(C), pages 968-980.
    15. Bardhan, Indrajit & Chao, Xiuli, 1996. "On martingale measures when asset returns have unpredictable jumps," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 35-54, October.
    16. Yang, Bo, 2018. "A stochastic Feline immunodeficiency virus model with vertical transmission," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 448-458.
    17. Settati, A. & Lahrouz, A. & Assadouq, A. & El Fatini, M. & El Jarroudi, M. & Wang, K., 2020. "The impact of nonlinear relapse and reinfection to derive a stochastic threshold for SIRI epidemic model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    18. Zhang, Xiao-Bing & Huo, Hai-Feng & Xiang, Hong & Shi, Qihong & Li, Dungang, 2017. "The threshold of a stochastic SIQS epidemic model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 482(C), pages 362-374.
    19. Teng, Zhidong & Wang, Lei, 2016. "Persistence and extinction for a class of stochastic SIS epidemic models with nonlinear incidence rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 507-518.
    20. Bao, Kangbo & Zhang, Qimin & Rong, Libin & Li, Xining, 2019. "Dynamics of an imprecise SIRS model with Lévy jumps," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 520(C), pages 489-506.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:apmaco:v:275:y:2016:i:c:p:255-267. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/applied-mathematics-and-computation .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.