IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/agisys/v176y2019ics0308521x18313921.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Economic viability of newly introduced chicken strains at village level in Tanzania: FARMSIM model simulation approach

Author

Listed:
  • Andrew, Rogers
  • Makindara, Jeremia
  • Mbaga, Said H.
  • Alphonce, Roselyne

Abstract

A local chicken farming is an integral part of Tanzania's rural economy. However, despite its contributions to household economy and food security, local chicken productivity remains low because of low genetic potential, diseases and poor feeding. One of the options to increase local chicken productivity is the adoption of the chicken strains with high genetic potential. With that respect, Africa Genetic Gain project introduced Sasso and Kuroiler chicken strains for on-farm test purposes. Developmental design involved provision of 25 six weeks old chicks to 20 farmers in 12 sites making a total of 240 farmers in three regions. The study was carried out in Dodoma, Morogoro and Njombe regions to assess the effects of agro-ecological differences in the performance of these strains. The chicks were vaccinated against Mareks and Newcastle diseases at the hatchery; then against Infectious Bronchitis (IB) at 0, 7 10, 16 and 21 days. The Newcastle Disease vaccine was repeated after 10 and 21 days using LaSota vaccine. After 6 weeks, the chicks were again vaccinated against fowl pox ready for supply to farmers. A farm Simulation Model (FARMSIM) and Stochastic Efficiency with Respect to Function (SERF) were applied to access economic viability of these strains relative to local chickens. FARMSIM is a Monte Carlo Simulation Model that simultaneously evaluates a baseline and an alternative farming technology. To simulate using FARMSIM, Simulation and Econometrics to Analyse Risk (Simetar©), an excel add-in is needed as a simulating engine. Data were obtained through survey, farmers' records and simulation exercises. The results indicate that keeping Sasso strain was the most economically viable with the highest Net Present Value, Net Cash Farm Income and the highest probability of attaining economic return. Kuroiler was the second, followed by keeping local chickens without supplement and local chicken with supplement was the least economically viable enterprise. However, inclusion of risk behaviour revealed that extremely risk-averse farmers preferred mostly keeping local chickens without supplement whereas extremely risk loving farmers preferred the most Sasso strain. It is recommended that the introduced chicken strains should be promoted to increase household income and improve people's livelihoods. However, scaling up of the introduced chicken strains must be integrated with education on technical know-how for good farming practices, feed formulations, medication and shelter for improved productivity and reduced variability.

Suggested Citation

  • Andrew, Rogers & Makindara, Jeremia & Mbaga, Said H. & Alphonce, Roselyne, 2019. "Economic viability of newly introduced chicken strains at village level in Tanzania: FARMSIM model simulation approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:176:y:2019:i:c:s0308521x18313921
    DOI: 10.1016/j.agsy.2019.102655
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0308521X18313921
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.agsy.2019.102655?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richardson, James W. & Herbst, Brian K. & Outlaw, Joe L. & Gill, Robert Chope, II, 2007. "Including Risk in Economic Feasibility Analyses: The Case of Ethanol Production in Texas," Journal of Agribusiness, Agricultural Economics Association of Georgia, vol. 25(2), pages 1-18.
    2. Magda Fontana, 2006. "Computer simulations, mathematics and economics," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 53(1), pages 96-123, March.
    3. Hardaker, J.B. & Lien, Gudbrand D., 2010. "Stochastic efficiency analysis with risk aversion bounds: a comment," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(3), pages 1-5.
    4. Vorotnikova, Ekaterina & Borisova, Tatiana & VanSickle, John J., 2014. "Evaluation of the profitability of a new precision fungicide application system for strawberry production," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 77-88.
    5. Clarke, Neville & Bizimana, Jean-Claude & Dile, Yihun & Worqlul, Abeyou & Osorio, Javier & Herbst, Brian & Richardson, James W. & Srinivasan, Raghavan & Gerik, Thomas J. & Williams, Jimmy & Jones, Cha, 2017. "Evaluation of new farming technologies in Ethiopia using the Integrated Decision Support System (IDSS)," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 180(PB), pages 267-279.
    6. J. B. Hardaker & Gudbrand Lien, 2010. "Stochastic efficiency analysis with risk aversion bounds: a comment," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 54(3), pages 379-383, July.
    7. Richardson, James W. & Lemmer, Wessel J. & Outlaw, Joe L., 2007. "Bio-ethanol Production from Wheat in the Winter Rainfall Region of South Africa: A Quantitative Risk Analysis," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 10(2), pages 1-24.
    8. Lutengano Mwinuka & Khamaldin Daud Mutabazi & Stefan Sieber & Jeremia Makindara & Jean-Claude Bizimana, 2017. "An economic risk analysis of fertiliser microdosing and rainwater harvesting in a semi-arid farming system in Tanzania," Agrekon, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(3), pages 274-289, July.
    9. Subal C. Kumbhakar, 2002. "Specification and Estimation of Production Risk, Risk Preferences and Technical Efficiency," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 84(1), pages 8-22.
    10. Asci, Serhat & VanSickle, John J. & Cantliffe, Daniel J., 2014. "Risk in Investment Decision Making and Greenhouse Tomato Production Expansion in Florida," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 17(4), pages 1-26, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Angelos Liontakis & Alexandra Sintori & Irene Tzouramani, 2021. "The Role of the Start-Up Aid for Young Farmers in the Adoption of Innovative Agricultural Activities: The Case of Aloe Vera," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-24, April.
    2. Wilson Charles Wilson & Maja Slingerland & Frederick P. Baijukya & Hannah Zanten & Simon Oosting & Ken E. Giller, 2021. "Integrating the soybean-maize-chicken value chains to attain nutritious diets in Tanzania," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 13(6), pages 1595-1612, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yangxuan Liu & Michael R. Langemeier & Ian M. Small & Laura Joseph & William E. Fry & Jean B. Ristaino & Amanda Saville & Benjamin M. Gramig & Paul V. Preckel, 2018. "A Risk Analysis of Precision Agriculture Technology to Manage Tomato Late Blight," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-19, August.
    2. Feliciano, Diana & Nayak, Dali Rani & Vetter, Sylvia Helga & Hillier, Jon, 2017. "CCAFS-MOT - A tool for farmers, extension services and policy-advisors to identify mitigation options for agriculture," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 100-111.
    3. Wynn, Katherine & Spangenberg, German & Smith, Kevin & Wilson, William, 2017. "Valuing Genetically Modified Traits in Canola Using Real Options," Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 42(2), May.
    4. Rohrig, Maren B.K. & Hardeweg, Bernd & Lentz, Wolfgang, 2018. "Efficient farming options for German apple growers under risk – a stochastic dominance approach," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 21(1).
    5. Zapata, Samuel D. & Ribera, Luis A. & Palma, Marco A., 2017. "Effect Of Production Parameters On The Economic Feasibility Of A Biofuel Enterprise," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 49(3), pages 347-362, August.
    6. Vorotnikova, Ekaterina & Borisova, Tatiana & VanSickle, John J., 2014. "Evaluation of the profitability of a new precision fungicide application system for strawberry production," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 130(C), pages 77-88.
    7. Ibrahim L. Kadigi & Khamaldin D. Mutabazi & Damas Philip & James W. Richardson & Jean-Claude Bizimana & Winfred Mbungu & Henry F. Mahoo & Stefan Sieber, 2020. "An Economic Comparison between Alternative Rice Farming Systems in Tanzania Using a Monte Carlo Simulation Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-22, August.
    8. Kim, Man-Keun & Curtis, Kynda R. & Yeager, Irvin, 2014. "An Assessment of Market Strategies for Small-Scale Produce Growers," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 17(3), pages 1-18, September.
    9. Asci, Serhat & Borisova, Tatiana & VanSickle, John J., 2014. "Risks in Potato Production: Fertilizer, Water, and Producers’ Decision Making," 2014 Annual Meeting, February 1-4, 2014, Dallas, Texas 162536, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    10. Liu, Yangxuan & Langemeier, Michael & Small, Ian & Joseph, Laura & Fry, William, 2015. "Risk management strategies using potato precision farming technology," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205417, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    11. Tomasz Siudek & Aldona Zawojska, 2012. "How does general economy and agriculture sector performance influence farm producer support in the OECD countries?," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 58(3), pages 101-118.
    12. Asci, Serhat & Konduru, Srini & Williams, Lynn, 2020. "Potential of Solar Energy in Agricultural Production in Caribbean Countries," Farm and Business - The Journal of the Caribbean Agro-Economic Society, Caribbean Agro-Economic Society, vol. 12(1), December.
    13. Yi, Fujin & Lin, C.-Y. Cynthia & Thome, Karen, 2013. "An Analysis of the Effects of Government Subsidies and the Renewable Fuels Standard on the Fuel Ethanol Industry: A Structural Econometric Model," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 150224, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    14. Francis J. Baumont de Oliveira & Scott Ferson & Ronald A. D. Dyer & Jens M. H. Thomas & Paul D. Myers & Nicholas G. Gray, 2022. "How High Is High Enough? Assessing Financial Risk for Vertical Farms Using Imprecise Probability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-29, May.
    15. Mohammad Khakbazan & Hushton C. Block & John Huang & Jeff J. Colyn & Vern S. Baron & John A. Basarab & Changxi Li & Chinyere Ekine-Dzivenu, 2022. "Effects of Silage-Based Diets and Cattle Efficiency Type on Performance, Profitability, and Predicted CH 4 Emission of Backgrounding Steers," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, February.
    16. Morris, Brittany D. & Richardson, James W. & Frosch, Brian J. & Outlaw, Joe L. & Rooney, William L., 2009. "Economic Feasibility of Ethanol Production from Sweet Sorghum Juice in Texas," 2009 Annual Meeting, January 31-February 3, 2009, Atlanta, Georgia 46852, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    17. Kheiry Hassan M. Ishag, 2023. "Broiler Farming Risk and Stress Management Strategies," Journal of Sustainable Development, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(4), pages 112-112, May.
    18. Varner, Brandon & Epplin, Francis & Doye, Damona & Schatzer, R. & Edwards, Jeffrey, 2012. "Pasture Rental Rates for Fall-Winter Grazing of Winter Wheat," Journal of the ASFMRA, American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, vol. 2012, pages 1-12.
    19. Liu, Yangxuan & Langemeier, Michael & Small, Ian & Joseph, Laura & Fry, William & Ristaino, Jean & Saville, Amanda, 2017. "A Risk Analysis of precision farming for tomato production," 2017 Annual Meeting, February 4-7, 2017, Mobile, Alabama 253119, Southern Agricultural Economics Association.
    20. Dlamini, Thula S. & Fraser, Gavin C.G., 2010. "Economics of Meat Production from the Springbuck in the Eastern Cape Karoo," 2010 AAAE Third Conference/AEASA 48th Conference, September 19-23, 2010, Cape Town, South Africa 96181, African Association of Agricultural Economists (AAAE).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:agisys:v:176:y:2019:i:c:s0308521x18313921. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/agsy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.