IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2024-04-43.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Crypto and Conventional Financial Assets during Financial Crises: Evidence from the Russian Financial Market

Author

Listed:
  • Mirzat Ullah

    (Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg 620002 Russia; & School of Management Sciences, Ghulam Ishaq Khan (GIK) Institute of Engineering Sciences and Technology, Topi, Swabi, Pakistan)

  • Kazi Sohag

    (Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg 620002 Russia)

  • Farrukh Nawaz

    (Faculty of Business Studies, Arab Open University (AOU), Riyadh, Saudi Arabia)

  • Oleg Mariev

    (Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg 620002 Russia)

  • Umar Kayani

    (College of Business, Al Ain University, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates)

  • Igor Mayburov

    (Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg 620002 Russia)

  • Svetlana Doroshenko

    (Graduate School of Economics and Management, Ural Federal University, Yekaterinburg 620002 Russia)

Abstract

This study offers a multidimensional solution to mitigate the risk raised due to oil price volatility for navigating investments within the Russian financial landscape. This study assesses spillover effects between crypto assets and traditional financial assets encompassing equities, bonds, precious metals, foreign currency reserves, and crude oil prices. It adopts a significant temporal perspective to assess the potential ramifications of various financial crises, including global health crises and regional conflicts, on oil prices. Utilizing a daily frequency dataset spanning from January 1, 2018, to December 30, 2023, this study investigates the contagion effects of financial crises across normal, bullish, and bearish market conditions. It introduces oil price shocks for the first time to effectively gauge the impact of exogenous shocks on both crypto and conventional asset classes. Additionally, the study employs Cross Quantilogram (CQ) and TVP-VAR spillover estimation techniques to examine interconnectedness among the underlined assets. Furthermore, the study utilizes the quantile wavelet coherence estimation model to unveil volatility patterns, laying the groundwork for hypotheses related to diversification, hedging, and safe-haven investment strategies among the assets. The findings underscore the effectiveness of crypto assets in diversifying risk and serving as a hedge, particularly evident during crises, leading to heightened volatility. Conversely, government-owned bonds exhibit the lowest resilience to external shocks. Moreover, the dynamic interconnectedness among assets provides guidance to investors for implementing the proposed hypotheses that underscores the importance of prudent asset allocation policies for risk management, optimizing portfolio utilization.

Suggested Citation

  • Mirzat Ullah & Kazi Sohag & Farrukh Nawaz & Oleg Mariev & Umar Kayani & Igor Mayburov & Svetlana Doroshenko, 2024. "Impact of Oil Price Shocks on Crypto and Conventional Financial Assets during Financial Crises: Evidence from the Russian Financial Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(4), pages 472-483, July.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-04-43
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/16374/8005
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/16374
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Dirk G. Baur & Brian M. Lucey, 2010. "Is Gold a Hedge or a Safe Haven? An Analysis of Stocks, Bonds and Gold," The Financial Review, Eastern Finance Association, vol. 45(2), pages 217-229, May.
    2. Han, Heejoon & Linton, Oliver & Oka, Tatsushi & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2016. "The cross-quantilogram: Measuring quantile dependence and testing directional predictability between time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 193(1), pages 251-270.
    3. Nurkhodzha Akbulaev & Tural Abdulhasanov, 2023. "Analyzing the Connection between Energy Prices and Cryptocurrency throughout the Pandemic Period," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(1), pages 227-234, January.
    4. Lutz Kilian & Xiaoqing Zhou, 2022. "Oil prices, gasoline prices, and inflation expectations," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(5), pages 867-881, August.
    5. Larysa Ivanchenkova & Liubov Shevtsiv & Lyazzat Beisenova & Aliya Shakharova & Temur Berdiyorov, 2023. "Analysis of the Risks of Using the Blockchain Technology in the Accounting and Audit of a Fuel and Energy Complex Enterprise," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(2), pages 316-321, March.
    6. Mirzat Ullah & Kazi Sohag & Shabeer Khan & Hafiz M. Sohail, 2023. "Impact of Russia–Ukraine conflict on Russian financial market: Evidence from TVP-VAR and quantile-VAR analysis," Russian Journal of Economics, ARPHA Platform, vol. 9(3), pages 284-305, October.
    7. Yousaf, Imran & Patel, Ritesh & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2022. "The reaction of G20+ stock markets to the Russia–Ukraine conflict “black-swan” event: Evidence from event study approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(C).
    8. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Gozgor, Giray & Goodell, John W., 2023. "Impact of Russia-Ukraine war attention on cryptocurrency: Evidence from quantile dependence analysis," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 52(C).
    9. Mikhail Bondarev, 2020. "Energy Consumption of Bitcoin Mining," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 525-529.
    10. Shaen Corbet & John W. Goodell & Samet Gunay & Kerem Kaskaloglu, 2023. "Are DeFi tokens a separate asset class from conventional cryptocurrencies?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 322(2), pages 609-630, March.
    11. Wang, Yiwei & Wang, Ke & Chang, Chun-Ping, 2019. "The impacts of economic sanctions on exchange rate volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 58-65.
    12. Christophe Schinckus & Canh Phuc Nguyen & Felicia Chong Hui Ling, 2020. "Crypto-currencies Trading and Energy Consumption," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 355-364.
    13. Laura Grassi & Davide Lanfranchi & Alessandro Faes & Filippo Maria Renga, 2022. "Do we still need financial intermediation? The case of decentralized finance – DeFi," Qualitative Research in Accounting & Management, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 19(3), pages 323-347, February.
    14. Kumar, Sanjeev & Patel, Ritesh & Iqbal, Najaf & Gubareva, Mariya, 2023. "Interconnectivity among cryptocurrencies, NFTs, and DeFi: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine conflict," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    15. Salisu, Afees A. & Cuñado, Juncal & Gupta, Rangan, 2022. "Geopolitical risks and historical exchange rate volatility of the BRICS," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 179-190.
    16. Islam, Md. Monirul & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Samargandi, Nahla, 2024. "The nexus between Russian uranium exports and US nuclear-energy consumption: Do the spillover effects of geopolitical risks matter?," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
    17. Beckmann, Joscha & Berger, Theo & Czudaj, Robert, 2015. "Does gold act as a hedge or a safe haven for stocks? A smooth transition approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 16-24.
    18. Syed Jawad Hussain Shahzad & Naveed Raza & David Roubaud & Jose Arreola Hernandez & Stelios Bekiros, 2019. "Gold as Safe Haven for G-7 Stocks and Bonds: A Revisit," Journal of Quantitative Economics, Springer;The Indian Econometric Society (TIES), vol. 17(4), pages 885-912, December.
    19. Kayani, Umar Nawaz & Hassan, M. Kabir & Moussa, Faten & Hossain, Gazi Farid, 2023. "Oil in crisis: What can we learn," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 28(C).
    20. Caner Ozdurak & Alican Umut & Tugba Ozay, 2022. "The Interaction of Major Crypto-assets, Clean Energy, and Technology Indices in Diversified Portfolios," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 12(2), pages 480-490, March.
    21. Valeriia Denisova & Alexey Mikhaylov & Evgeny Lopatin, 2019. "Blockchain Infrastructure and Growth of Global Power Consumption," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 22-29.
    22. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Bouri, Elie & Roubaud, David & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Lucey, Brian, 2019. "Is Bitcoin a better safe-haven investment than gold and commodities?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 322-330.
    23. Kayani, Umar & Hasnaoui, Amir & Khan, Maaz & Zahoor, Nadia & Nawaz, Farrukh, 2024. "Analyzing fossil fuel commodities' return spillovers during the Russia and Ukraine crisis in the energy market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    24. Lahiani, Amine & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Vasbieva, Dinara G., 2021. "The safe-haven property of precious metal commodities in the COVID-19 era," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    25. Ilyes Abidi & Kamel Touhami, 2024. "Safe Haven for Crude Oil: Bitcoin or Precious Metals? New Insight from Time Varying Coefficient-Vector Autoregressive Model," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(1), pages 184-195, January.
    26. Anatolyy Dzyuba & Irina Solovyeva & Dmitry Konopelko, 2023. "Managing Electricity Costs in Industrial Mining and Cryptocurrency Data Centers," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 76-90, July.
    27. Klein, Tony, 2017. "Dynamic correlation of precious metals and flight-to-quality in developed markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 283-290.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Farrukh Nawaz & Umar Kayani & Ahmet Faruk Aysan, 2024. "Unraveling the Hidden Costs: How Cable Theft and Vandalism Fuel Soaring Energy Tariffs in Emerging Economies," International Review of Management and Marketing, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 255-262, October.
    2. Farrukh Nawaz & Mrestyal Khan & Umar Kayani & Indry Aristianto Pradipta & Aulia Luqman Aziz, 2024. "Impact of Volatility Spillovers upon Electric Utilities during the Russia-Ukraine Conflict," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(6), pages 597-604, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ustaoglu, Erkan, 2023. "Diversification, hedge, and safe-haven properties of gold and bitcoin with portfolio implications during the Russia–Ukraine war," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    2. Kumar, Anoop S & Padakandla, Steven Raj, 2022. "Testing the safe-haven properties of gold and bitcoin in the backdrop of COVID-19: A wavelet quantile correlation approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
    3. Hampl, Filip & Vágnerová Linnertová, Dagmar & Horváth, Matúš, 2024. "Crypto havens during war times? Evidence from the Russian invasion of Ukraine," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    4. Ali, Sajid & Bouri, Elie & Czudaj, Robert Lukas & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2020. "Revisiting the valuable roles of commodities for international stock markets," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    5. Pedini, Luca & Severini, Sabrina, 2022. "Exploring the hedge, diversifier and safe haven properties of ESG investments: A cross-quantilogram analysis," MPRA Paper 112339, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Enilov, Martin & Mensi, Walid & Stankov, Petar, 2023. "Does safe haven exist? Tail risks of commodity markets during COVID-19 pandemic," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 29(C).
    7. Hoque, Mohammad Enamul & Billah, Mabruk & Alam, Md Rafayet & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar, 2024. "Gold-backed cryptocurrencies: A hedging tool against categorical and regional financial stress," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    8. Sen, Chitrakalpa & Chakrabarti, Gagari, 2024. "Beyond the glitter: An empirical assessment of the true risk and hedging role of precious metals," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    9. Bouri, Elie & Jalkh, Naji, 2024. "Flight-to-safety across time and market conditions," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    10. Wen, Fenghua & Tong, Xi & Ren, Xiaohang, 2022. "Gold or Bitcoin, which is the safe haven during the COVID-19 pandemic?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    11. Ji, Qiang & Zhang, Dayong & Zhao, Yuqian, 2020. "Searching for safe-haven assets during the COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    12. Ihsan Erdem Kayral & Ahmed Jeribi & Sahar Loukil, 2023. "Are Bitcoin and Gold a Safe Haven during COVID-19 and the 2022 Russia–Ukraine War?," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-22, April.
    13. Bouri, Elie & Hussain Shahzad, Syed Jawad & Roubaud, David, 2020. "Cryptocurrencies as hedges and safe-havens for US equity sectors," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 294-307.
    14. Svetoslav Borisov, 2024. "Bitcoin – Hedge or Speculative Asset: Analysis of Its Role and Nature," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 5, pages 148-170.
    15. Akhtaruzzaman, Md & Boubaker, Sabri & Lucey, Brian M. & Sensoy, Ahmet, 2021. "Is gold a hedge or a safe-haven asset in the COVID–19 crisis?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    16. Bouteska, Ahmed & Hassan, M. Kabir & Rashid, Mamunur & Bilgin, Mehmet Hüseyin, 2024. "The dynamics of bonds, commodities and bitcoin based on NARDL approach," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 58-70.
    17. Patel, Ritesh & Gubareva, Mariya & Chishti, Muhammad Zubair, 2024. "Assessing the connectedness between cryptocurrency environment attention index and green cryptos, energy cryptos, and green financial assets," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(PA).
    18. David Gabauer & Rangan Gupta & Sayar Karmakar & Joshua Nielsen, 2022. "Stock Market Bubbles and the Forecastability of Gold Returns (and Volatility)," Working Papers 202228, University of Pretoria, Department of Economics.
    19. Chemkha, Rahma & BenSaïda, Ahmed & Ghorbel, Ahmed & Tayachi, Tahar, 2021. "Hedge and safe haven properties during COVID-19: Evidence from Bitcoin and gold," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 71-85.
    20. Janani Sri S. & Parthajit Kayal & G. Balasubramanian, 2022. "Can Equity be Safe-haven for Investment?," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 21(1), pages 32-63, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Price Shocks; Crypto Assets; Conventional Assets; Hedging; Diversification; Safe-Haven Investment Strategies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2024-04-43. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.