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Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Basic Energy Sources and the Tourism Sector Index

Author

Listed:
  • Imangulu Muradzada

    (Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC), Azerbaijan.)

  • Nurkhodza Akbulev

    (Azerbaijan State University of Economics (UNEC), Azerbaijan.)

Abstract

In the study, the short-term causality relationship between oil and natural gas prices, which are the main energy sources, and the XTRZM index was analysed with the Granger causality test. The DCC-GARCH model was used. Analyses were carried out over the monthly closing values between 02.01.1997 and 01.12.2022. According to the Granger causality test findings, the reason for both Brent oil and Crude Oil WTI in the XTRZM index is that Brent oil is the cause of Crude Oil WTI. It has been concluded that natural gas, Brent oil, and crude oil are not the causes of the XTRZM index and each other. Because Brent oil and crude oil are not included in the WTI XTRZM index, it has been determined that there is unidirectional Granger causality from the XTRZM index to Brent oil and crude oil WTI. According to the findings obtained from the DCC-GARCH model, there is a positive correlation between natural gas, Brent oil, crude oil, and the BIST tourism index.

Suggested Citation

  • Imangulu Muradzada & Nurkhodza Akbulev, 2023. "Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Basic Energy Sources and the Tourism Sector Index," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 513-521, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2023-04-52
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    BIST; Brent Oil; VAR Analysis; DCC-GARCH; Stock Indices; Tourism;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • B26 - Schools of Economic Thought and Methodology - - History of Economic Thought since 1925 - - - Financial Economics
    • C58 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Financial Econometrics
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance

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