IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/oaefxx/v10y2022i1p2018163.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Oil price changes and stock returns: Fresh evidence from oil exporting and oil importing countries

Author

Listed:
  • Mohd Atif
  • Mustafa Raza Rabbani
  • Hana Bawazir
  • Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar
  • Daouia Chebab
  • Sitara Karim
  • Amani AlAbbas

Abstract

The study examines the vital connection between stock returns and oil price changes for oil exporting/importing countries separately. We present evidence employing granger causality, impulse response and error variance decomposition based on panel vector autoregression. The results of panel granger causality suggested that after oil price crash owing to covid-19 pandemic, the interdependence between oil and stock price changes increased. Similar results were revealed by impulse response graphs and forecast error variance decomposition. Specifically, in the period marked by the rapid outbreak of the covid-19 pandemic, causality from oil to stocks increased. Although we found that both oil exporting and oil importing countries were affected in a similar way, oil price changes had a larger impact on oil exporting countries. The findings of the present study have implications for investors and fund managers. By incorporating crude oil price in the prediction models, the accuracy of stock returns forecast can be improved.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohd Atif & Mustafa Raza Rabbani & Hana Bawazir & Iqbal Thonse Hawaldar & Daouia Chebab & Sitara Karim & Amani AlAbbas, 2022. "Oil price changes and stock returns: Fresh evidence from oil exporting and oil importing countries," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2018163-201, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:10:y:2022:i:1:p:2018163
    DOI: 10.1080/23322039.2021.2018163
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/23322039.2021.2018163
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/23322039.2021.2018163?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jassim Aladwani, 2024. "Oil Volatility Uncertainty: Impact on Fundamental Macroeconomics and the Stock Index," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-24, June.
    2. Imangulu Muradzada & Nurkhodza Akbulev, 2023. "Empirical Analysis of the Relationship between Basic Energy Sources and the Tourism Sector Index," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(4), pages 513-521, July.
    3. Chen, Yufeng & Msofe, Zulkifr Abdallah & Wang, Chuwen, 2024. "Asymmetric dynamic spillover and time-frequency connectedness in the oil-stock nexus under COVID-19 shock: Evidence from African oil importers and exporters," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 90(C).
    4. Khan, Nasir & Saleem, Asima & Ozkan, Oktay, 2023. "Do geopolitical oil price risk influence stock market returns and volatility of Pakistan: Evidence from novel non-parametric quantile causality approach," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    5. Nurkhodzha Akbulaev & Imangulu Muradzada & Ziyadhan Hasanov, 2023. "Relationship between Oil Prices and Russia Exchange Indices: Analysis of Frequency Causality," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 13(5), pages 607-615, September.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:oaefxx:v:10:y:2022:i:1:p:2018163. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/OAEF20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.