IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ2/2020-05-31.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Relationship Between Crude Oil prices and Macro-economic Variables: Evidence from BRICS Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Guntur Anjana Raju

    (Professor and Programme Director for Doctor of Philosophy (Commerce), Goa Business School, Goa University, Goa, India,)

  • Shripad Ramchandra Marathe

    (Research Scholar (Goa Business School) and Assistant Professor, Swami Vivekanand Vidyaprasarak Mandal s College of Commerce, Bori-Ponda, Goa, India.)

Abstract

The article analyses the relationship between Crude oil Prices and Macro-economic variables in BRICS countries using Quarterly data from March 31, 1999 to December 31, 2019 and an Autoregressive Distributed lag model has been developed to study the long term relationship between Crude oil and Macro-economic variable. The study found out that the long term relationship exists between the variables. We have also identified that all the countries react differently to the fluctuations in Oil prices. But interestingly China and India share some commonalities in terms of reacting to the changes in Crude Oil prices. Additionaly we have also found that fluctuations in the Oil price effect Trade Openness in every country under study except Russia.

Suggested Citation

  • Guntur Anjana Raju & Shripad Ramchandra Marathe, 2020. "Relationship Between Crude Oil prices and Macro-economic Variables: Evidence from BRICS Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(5), pages 264-271.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-05-31
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/download/9755/5283
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijeep/article/view/9755/5283
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Priyanka Aggarwal & Manoj Kumar Manish, 2020. "Effect of Oil Fluctuation on Stock Market Return: An Empirical Study from India," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(2), pages 213-217.
    2. Mongi Arfaoui & Aymen Ben Rejeb, 2017. "Oil, gold, US dollar and stock market interdependencies: a global analytical insight," European Journal of Management and Business Economics, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 26(3), pages 278-293, October.
    3. Hem C. Basnet & Kamal P. Upadhyaya, 2015. "Impact of oil price shocks on output, inflation and the real exchange rate: evidence from selected ASEAN countries," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(29), pages 3078-3091, June.
    4. Javed Ahmad Bhat & Aadil Ahmad ganaie & Naresh Kumar Sharma, 2018. "Macroeconomic Response to Oil and Food Price Shocks: A Structural VAR Approach to the Indian Economy," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(1), pages 66-90, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jin‐Yu Chen & Xue‐Hong Zhu & Mei‐Rui Zhong, 2021. "Time‐varying effects and structural change of oil price shocks on industrial output: Evidence from China's oil industrial chain," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 3460-3472, July.
    2. Aharon, David Y. & Azman Aziz, Mukhriz Izraf & Kallir, Ido, 2023. "Oil price shocks and inflation: A cross-national examination in the ASEAN5+3 countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    3. Sajad Ahmad Bhat & Javed Ahmad Bhat, 2021. "Impact of Exchange Rate Changes on the Trade Balance of India: An Asymmetric Nonlinear Cointegration Approach," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 56(1), pages 71-88, February.
    4. KILICARSLAN Zerrin & DUMRUL Yasemin, 2017. "Macroeconomic Impacts Of Oil Price Shocks: An Empirical Analysis Based On The Svar Models," Revista Economica, Lucian Blaga University of Sibiu, Faculty of Economic Sciences, vol. 69(5), pages 55-72, December.
    5. Muhammad Syafii Antonio & Aam S. Rusydiana & Wahyu Sugeng Imam Soeparno & Lina Nugraha Rani & Wahyu Ario Pratomo & Abdillah Arif Nasution, 2021. "The Impact of Oil Price and Other Macroeconomic Variables on The Islamic and Conventional Stock Index in Indonesia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(5), pages 418-424.
    6. Togonidze, Sophio & Kočenda, Evžen, 2022. "Macroeconomic responses of emerging market economies to oil price shocks: An analysis by region and resource profile," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(3).
    7. Mosso-Martínez, Margarita M. & López-Herrera, Francisco, 2020. "Variables económicas y deterioro de la calidad de la cartera de hipotecas bursatilizadas en México," eseconomía, Escuela Superior de Economía, Instituto Politécnico Nacional, vol. 15(52), pages 47-68, Primer se.
    8. Mohammad Asif & Vishal Sharma & Vinay Joshi Chandniwala & Parvez Alam Khan & Syed Mohd Muneeb, 2023. "Modelling the Dynamic Linkage Amidst Energy Prices and Twin Deficit in India: Empirical Investigation within Linear and Nonlinear Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(6), pages 1-23, March.
    9. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Cornel Oros & Aviral Kumar Tiwari, 2017. "Oil price–inflation pass-through in Romania during the inflation targeting regime," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(15), pages 1527-1542, March.
    10. BESSO, Christophe Raoul & FEUBI PAMEN, Eric Patrick, 2016. "Oil price shock and economic growth : Experience of CEMAC countries," MPRA Paper 76034, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 03 Jan 2017.
    11. Umar Tijjani Babuga & Niaz Ahmad Mohd Naseem, 2021. "Asymmetric Effect of Oil Price Change on Inflation: Evidence from Sub Saharan Africa Countries," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 448-458.
    12. Taghizadeh-Hesary, Farhad & Rasoulinezhad, Ehsan & Yoshino, Naoyuki, 2019. "Energy and Food Security: Linkages through Price Volatility," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 796-806.
    13. Baek, Jungho, 2021. "A new look at the oil price-exchange rate nexus: Asymmetric evidence from selected OPEC member countries," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 172-181.
    14. Julio César Alonso & Diego Alexánder Martínez Quintero, 2017. "Impacto del precio del petróleo sobre el PIB de los países de la Alianza del Pacífico," Revista Finanzas y Politica Economica, Universidad Católica de Colombia, vol. 9(2), pages 249-264, May.
    15. Narinder Pal Singh & Sugandha Sharma, 2018. "Cointegration and Causality among Dollar, Oil, Gold and Sensex across Global Financial Crisis," Vision, , vol. 22(4), pages 365-376, December.
    16. Rouhollah Shahnazi & Maryam Lashani Afrasiabi, 2018. "Effect of Exogenous Oil Revenue Shocks on Reallocation of Public and Private Investments in Iran," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(1), pages 27-37.
    17. Muhammad Ali Rizwan & Muhammad Zeeshan Younas & Hafiza Sadaf Zahra & Zartaj Jamil, 2020. "External Monetary Constraints Imposed by Developed Economies on Developing Economies: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan," Asian Development Policy Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 8(1), pages 7-29, March.
    18. Gürkan Bozma & Murat Akadg & Rahman Aydin, 2021. "Dynamic Relationships between Oil Price, Inflation and Economic Growth: A VARMA, GARCH-in-mean, asymmetric BEKK Model for Turkey," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 41(3), pages 1266-1281.
    19. Baek, Jungho & Yoon, Jee Hee, 2022. "Do macroeconomic activities respond differently to oil price shocks? New evidence from Indonesia," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 852-862.
    20. de Medeiros, Rennan Kertlly & da Silva Bejarano Aragón, Edilean Kleber & Besarria, Cássio da Nóbrega, 2023. "Effects of oil market sentiment on macroeconomic variables," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude Oil prices; Macro-economic variables; ARDL; Bound test;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2020-05-31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.