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The Halloween Effect on Energy Markets: An Empirical Study

Author

Listed:
  • Dmitry Burakov

    (Department of Financial Markets and Banks, Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation, Moscow, Russia,)

  • Max Freidin

    (Department of Marketing, Belarusian State Agricultural Academy, Mogilev region, Gorki, Belarus,)

  • Yuriy Solovyev

    (Department of Economics and Management of National Economy, Modern Humanitarian Academy, Moscow, Russia.)

Abstract

Seasonal anomalies play an important role in the global economic system. One of the most frequently empirically observed anomalies is the Halloween effect. Halloween effect describes the anomaly in the financial markets, which is that the returns of different assets in the summer period generally are lower than the returns in the winter period. This study tests the hypothesis of the existence of the Halloween effect on the energy markets over the period from 1985 to 2016. The sample includes series of prices for various energy resources. The econometric estimation showed that for a range of energy markets, returns during the summer period are higher than the returns in winter ones. The difference in returns is statistically significant, which speaks in favor the Halloween effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Dmitry Burakov & Max Freidin & Yuriy Solovyev, 2018. "The Halloween Effect on Energy Markets: An Empirical Study," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 8(2), pages 121-126.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2018-02-15
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tarek Tawfik Yousef Alkhateeb & Haider Mahmood & Zafar Ahmad Sultan & Nawaz Ahmad, 2017. "Oil Price and Employment Nexus in Saudi Arabia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 7(3), pages 277-281.
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    Cited by:

    1. Monika Krawiec & Anna Górska, 2021. "Are soft commodities markets affected by the Halloween effect?," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 67(12), pages 491-499.
    2. Lee, King Fuei, 2021. "An Anomaly within an Anomaly: The Halloween Effect in the Long-term Reversal Anomaly," MPRA Paper 110859, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Peter Arendas & Jana Kotlebova, 2019. "The Turn of the Month Effect on CEE Stock Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-19, October.
    4. Chhabra, Damini & Gupta, Mohit, 2020. "Market efficiency and calendar anomalies in commodity futures markets: a review," Agricultural Economics Research Review, Agricultural Economics Research Association (India), vol. 33(2), December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Halloween effect; financial market; energy market; bounded rationality; investor sentiment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • G41 - Financial Economics - - Behavioral Finance - - - Role and Effects of Psychological, Emotional, Social, and Cognitive Factors on Decision Making in Financial Markets
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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