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The Relationship between Crude Oil and Coal Markets: A New Approach

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  • Narjes Zamani

    (Department of Economics, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan.)

Abstract

The level of substitutability of crude oil and coal in production and consumption may lead to the relationship between them. In this paper, the relationships between crude oil market and coal market are investigated, using a structural vector autoregressive model (SVAR). We apply the Kilian (2009) index to distinguish between the effects of oil market demand shocks and global aggregate demand shocks. The empirical results suggest that coal prices are affected by the supply and demand shocks of the oil market, while oil supply shocks have no effect on oil prices. This shows a high level of interaction between the crude oil market and the coal market, arising mainly due to the role of substitution. The effect of global aggregate demand on the price of coal is higher than the effect on the price of oil. Meanwhile, the fear of future oil supply affects the coal market only temporarily.

Suggested Citation

  • Narjes Zamani, 2016. "The Relationship between Crude Oil and Coal Markets: A New Approach," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 801-805.
    • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ2:2016-04-17
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Sibande, Xolani & Demirer, Riza & Balcilar, Mehmet & Gupta, Rangan, 2023. "On the pricing effects of bitcoin mining in the fossil fuel market: The case of coal," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    3. Xu, Mengjie & Li, Xiang & Li, Qianwen & Sun, Chuanwang, 2024. "LNBi-GRU model for coal price prediction and pattern recognition analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).
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    7. Juan Meng & Bin Mo & He Nie, 2023. "The dynamics of crude oil future prices on China's energy markets: Quantile‐on‐quantile and casualty‐in‐quantiles approaches," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(12), pages 1853-1871, December.
    8. Ślusarczyk, Beata & Chłąd, Mateusz & Michałek, Janusz & Dacko-Pikiewicz, Zdzisława & Androniceanu, Armenia, 2023. "Strategies for supplying enterprises with energy in the context of changing coal prices on the Polish market - The effect of the war in Ukraine," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    9. Guo, Yanfeng & Zhao, Huanyu, 2024. "Volatility spillovers between oil and coal prices and its implications for energy portfolio management in China," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 89(PB), pages 446-457.
    10. Khan, Khalid & Su, Chi-Wei & Rehman, Ashfaq U., 2021. "Do multiple bubbles exist in coal price?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    11. Krzysztof Drachal, 2022. "Forecasting the Crude Oil Spot Price with Bayesian Symbolic Regression," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-29, December.
    12. Li, Zheng-Zheng & Su, Chi-Wei & Chang, Tsangyao & Lobonţ, Oana-Ramona, 2022. "Policy-driven or market-driven? Evidence from steam coal price bubbles in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Crude Oil Price; Coal Price; Oil Supply Shock;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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