IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eco/journ1/2017-05-22.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Market Reaction to Cabinet Reshuffle: The Indonesian Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Supramono Supramono

    (Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana Salatiga, Indonesia,)

  • Widhiastuti Wilis

    (Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana Salatiga, Indonesia,)

  • I. Utami

    (Department of Management, Faculty of Economics and Business Universitas Kristen Satya Wacana Salatiga, Indonesia,)

Abstract

This event study investigates the Indonesian capital market reaction to the announcement of cabinet reshuffle as a major political event in Indonesia. We also detect the possibility of size effect anomaly related to this political event. Consequently, we not only study 43 large-capitalization firms that are classified into LQ 45 index but also 26 small-capitalization shares. Our findings show that there is no significant abnormal return surrounding the announcement date. We conclude that the announcement of cabinet reshuffle does not contain information value to the market and does not cause size effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Supramono Supramono & Widhiastuti Wilis & I. Utami, 2017. "Market Reaction to Cabinet Reshuffle: The Indonesian Evidence," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 7(5), pages 183-188.
  • Handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-05-22
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/download/5275/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.econjournals.com/index.php/ijefi/article/view/5275/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Malcolm Baker & Jeffrey Wurgler, 2006. "Investor Sentiment and the Cross‐Section of Stock Returns," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(4), pages 1645-1680, August.
    2. Stephen A. Ross, 1977. "The Determination of Financial Structure: The Incentive-Signalling Approach," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 8(1), pages 23-40, Spring.
    3. Rangel, José Gonzalo, 2011. "Macroeconomic news, announcements, and stock market jump intensity dynamics," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 35(5), pages 1263-1276, May.
    4. Boehmer, Ekkehart & Masumeci, Jim & Poulsen, Annette B., 1991. "Event-study methodology under conditions of event-induced variance," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 253-272, December.
    5. Banz, Rolf W., 1981. "The relationship between return and market value of common stocks," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 3-18, March.
    6. De Bondt, Werner F M & Thaler, Richard, 1985. "Does the Stock Market Overreact?," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 40(3), pages 793-805, July.
    7. Shahid Mahmood & Muhammad Irfan & Saeed Iqbal & Muhammad Kamran & Ali Ijaz, 2014. "Impact of Political Events on Stock Market: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Asian Business Strategy, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(12), pages 163-174.
    8. Shahid Mahmood & Muhammad Irfan & Saeed Iqbal & Muhammad Kamran & Ali Ijaz, 2014. "Impact of Political Events on Stock Market: Evidence from Pakistan," Journal of Asian Business Strategy, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(12), pages 163-174, December.
    9. Dashan Huang & Fuwei Jiang & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2015. "Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(3), pages 791-837.
    10. P. Corredor & E. Ferrer & R. Santamaria, 2015. "The Impact of Investor Sentiment on Stock Returns in Emerging Markets: The Case of Central European Markets," Eastern European Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(4), pages 328-355, July.
    11. Keim, Donald B., 1983. "Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality : Further empirical evidence," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 12(1), pages 13-32, June.
    12. Massa, Massimo & Yadav, Vijay, 2015. "Investor Sentiment and Mutual Fund Strategies," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 50(4), pages 699-727, August.
    13. Suk-Joong Kim & Michael D. McKenzie & Robert W. Faff, 2018. "Macroeconomic News Announcements and the Role of Expectations: Evidence for US Bond, Stock and Foreign Exchange Markets," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Information Spillovers and Market Integration in International Finance Empirical Analyses, chapter 5, pages 151-174, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    14. Dashan Huang & Fuwei Jiang & Jun Tu & Guofu Zhou, 2015. "Investor Sentiment Aligned: A Powerful Predictor of Stock Returns," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(3), pages 791-837.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Erdemlioglu, Deniz & Joliet, Robert, 2019. "Long-term asset allocation, risk tolerance and market sentiment," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 1-19.
    2. Qadan, Mahmoud & Aharon, David Y., 2019. "Can investor sentiment predict the size premium?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 10-26.
    3. Ung, Sze Nie & Gebka, Bartosz & Anderson, Robert D.J., 2023. "Is sentiment the solution to the risk–return puzzle? A (cautionary) note," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    4. Qiang Bu & Odd J. Stalebrink, 2020. "Can fund sentiment beta predict future performance?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 21(6), pages 524-534, October.
    5. Hou, Yang & Meng, Jiayin, 2018. "The momentum effect in the Chinese market and its relationship with the simultaneous and the lagged investor sentiment," MPRA Paper 94838, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Adam Zaremba & Jacob Koby Shemer, 2018. "Price-Based Investment Strategies," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-3-319-91530-2, July.
    7. Doran, James & Jiang, Danling & Peterson, David, 2007. "Short-Sale Constraints and the Non-January Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle," MPRA Paper 4995, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Bouteska, Ahmed & Kabir Hassan, M. & Gider, Zeynullah & Bataineh, Hassan, 2024. "The role of investor sentiment and market belief in forecasting V-shaped disposition effect: Evidence from a Bayesian learning process with DSSW model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    9. Bank, Matthias & Insam, Franz, 2019. "Risk premium contributions of the Fama and French mimicking factors," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 347-356.
    10. Chen, Zhongdong & Daves, Phillip R., 2018. "The January sentiment effect in the U.S. stock market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 94-104.
    11. Padma Kadiyala, 2022. "Response of ETF flows and long-run returns to investor sentiment," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 36(4), pages 489-531, December.
    12. Chen, Yi-Wen & Chou, Robin K. & Lin, Chu-Bin, 2019. "Investor sentiment, SEO market timing, and stock price performance," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 28-43.
    13. Svetlana Bryzgalova & Jiantao Huang & Christian Julliard, 2023. "Bayesian Solutions for the Factor Zoo: We Just Ran Two Quadrillion Models," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(1), pages 487-557, February.
    14. Shah, Syed Faisal & Albaity, Mohamed, 2022. "The role of trust, investor sentiment, and uncertainty on bank stock return performance: Evidence from the MENA region," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 26(C).
    15. Ahmad, Tanveer & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Rehman, Mobeen ur, 2014. "Risk or Sentiment: Value and Size Premium under Terrorism," MPRA Paper 60027, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    16. Zaremba, Adam & Umutlu, Mehmet, 2018. "Size matters everywhere: Decomposing the small country and small industry premia," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 1-18.
    17. Islam, Mohd. Anisul, 2021. "Investor sentiment in the equity market and investments in corporate-bond funds," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    18. Ngoc Bao Vuong & Yoshihisa Suzuki, 2022. "The Moderating Effect of Market-Specific Factors on the Return Predictability of Investor Sentiment," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(3), pages 21582440221, July.
    19. Li, Zhuo & Wen, Fenghua & Huang, Zhijian James, 2023. "Asymmetric response to earnings news across different sentiment states: The role of cognitive dissonance," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    20. Paudel, Shishir & Silveri, Sabatino (Dino) & Wu, Mark, 2022. "Investor sentiment and asset prices: Evidence from the ex-day," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    event study; market reaction; size effect; cabinet reshuffle; abnormal return.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • M2 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Business Economics

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eco:journ1:2017-05-22. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Ilhan Ozturk (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econjournals.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.